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Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2013
- Thread starter Robert.Boston
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Yes, I took the statement more as a "do whatever they want and partner with them as much as possible they are doing something right"
I really this guys assessment of gross margin.
Tesla Earnings Watch: Follow the Gross Margin Percent (TSLA)
Tesla Earnings Watch: Follow the Gross Margin Percent (TSLA)
I feel we are set up for a nice run back to ATH territory. Wishing and hoping more than reading any charts.
I feel this way because I wouldn't bet against Elon. He's not a sandbagger, but he has a strong sense for the markets. He was saying 'Tsunami of hurt for the shorts' when there was doubt about Tesla's viability and he needed to show confidence, even brashness. The 5-part trilogy came when the first profit was announced and things were accelerating - he built on momentum. The secondary offering, and his $100M purchase, solidified the financial base for several years when that was the focus. Now I wouldn't be surprised, if after saying a couple times recently that the share price is higher than Tesla has a right to expect, he comes out after announcing some great Q3 numbers and Q4/2014 guidance and says in passing while answering some random question at the ER call, "I guess these numbers are better than we have any right to expect." Or that "the production constraints have been removed to meet demand, I wonder if the share price constraints will loosen up now too". Blast off.
He has this Willy Wonka quality about him where you know he's always thinking three steps ahead of everyone else, and he's curious who is intelligent enough to see what he sees. He's doing it again, or still, and there's no reason to think that story changes for the foreseeable future.
I feel this way because I wouldn't bet against Elon. He's not a sandbagger, but he has a strong sense for the markets. He was saying 'Tsunami of hurt for the shorts' when there was doubt about Tesla's viability and he needed to show confidence, even brashness. The 5-part trilogy came when the first profit was announced and things were accelerating - he built on momentum. The secondary offering, and his $100M purchase, solidified the financial base for several years when that was the focus. Now I wouldn't be surprised, if after saying a couple times recently that the share price is higher than Tesla has a right to expect, he comes out after announcing some great Q3 numbers and Q4/2014 guidance and says in passing while answering some random question at the ER call, "I guess these numbers are better than we have any right to expect." Or that "the production constraints have been removed to meet demand, I wonder if the share price constraints will loosen up now too". Blast off.
He has this Willy Wonka quality about him where you know he's always thinking three steps ahead of everyone else, and he's curious who is intelligent enough to see what he sees. He's doing it again, or still, and there's no reason to think that story changes for the foreseeable future.
Mario Kadastik
Active Member
Pre-market to $164.5. No big news in the IB news region for TSLA. Volume so far is low (12k), but I guess that's because you americans finally adjusted your daylight time so it's 1.5h until market open, not 0.5h as it was last week 
very Low morning Volume (I guess we still have an hour and a half). I hope the stock settles back in so i can grab up my last few options at a decent price. Sadly i am on the road today so i have to guess at the bottom and hope i get it. I am in Chicago all week working with the Chicago PD
Mario Kadastik
Active Member
Loving the morning motion Anyway wanted to let you guys know that there's a SA article with a positive title (haven't clicked to read content):
Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA): Tesla CEO Elon Musk Says Stock Price Going Up Long-Term - Seeking Alpha
Anyway wanted to let you guys know that there's a SA article with a positive title (haven't clicked to read content): Tesla Motors Inc (TSLA): Tesla CEO Elon Musk Says Stock Price Going Up Long-Term - Seeking Alpha
CyberDutchie
Active Member
What price action do we want to see today? My thinking: a modest gain would be best. If we get a massive pop, it starts reeking like buy on the rumor, followed by sell on the news on Tuesday. Or is this not a concern?
marvinat0rz
Member
If the supply chain bottlenecks are indeed resolved, as suspected in the Long-term fundamentals thread, that is a major piece of news which will hopefully show up on the EC and allow for better guidance after earnings.
Mario Kadastik
Active Member
Well I'd love a strong move over the next two days so that I can hedge some of my Q3 plays And then of course a stronger even move after Q3 But that's wishful thinking. I'm fine if the move comes latest next week and Tesla finishes next week above $188
And then of course a stronger even move after Q3 But that's wishful thinking. I'm fine if the move comes latest next week and Tesla finishes next week above $188 
Mario Kadastik
Active Member
Well we are in a compressing channel today again. The upswings happen on volume and downswings on lower volume so the sentiment is green, but we seem to have a serious resistance around $167.3
Mario Kadastik
Active Member
Works for me.
It looks like we broke through the $167.3 resistance and it's now acting as support. It's getting tested again so let's hope it holds throughout the day. We've got to get above the moving averages and I think that'd be a nice move to start a stronger move upwards on earnings.
Hi Sleepyhead,
Can you tell us how you've positioned yourself? I was looking at $170-185 strike November 16 calls.
Thanks,
CyberDutchie
Active Member
Ditto. I'm loaded with Dec 21 160 calls--been averaging down over several weeks and still in the red w/ 23.75 cost but things starting to head in the right direction now!
Gtoffo
Member
I got carried away by the enthusiasm and added a little meat to the fire (now that solar payed off and I have some cash to loose)...... A pretty conservative play.... but it lowers my profit point a little bit since I still have a lot of what (now) seem like pretty crazy bull plays (bought before/during the meltdown).
anything <170$ in the big scheme of things is still a good price IMO...we'll see..... as usual, in hindsight buying today will either be the worst mistake or the biggest no-brainer in TSLA history....
anything <170$ in the big scheme of things is still a good price IMO...we'll see..... as usual, in hindsight buying today will either be the worst mistake or the biggest no-brainer in TSLA history....
MartinAustin
Active Member
Seems like hardly anyone is selling TSLA today. Volume is good. Rocketing up!
I was all in at $157 last week and I am obviously delighted... looking forward to the earnings report.
I was all in at $157 last week and I am obviously delighted... looking forward to the earnings report.
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