mgboyes
Member
No doubt. I think there's likely to be a new battery chemistry just about now... I'd be happy if that could get to 80% charge in under a half hour. As to JB's 5-10 minutes, I'd be happy if that ends up being 80-90% in under 15 minutes with the following chemistry, which given a few comments, it seems they are targeting for 4-5 years from now.
If Tesla gets the charging under 10 minutes on a 400 mile range car (something else some Musk comments suggest they are looking to hit in 4-5 years), it basically leaves things like nationalism, quite intense brand loyalty, possibly lack of access to home charging, and a love of the sound of an ICE as the only reasons to prefer a gasoline car. It's not that I think Tesla needs this to have enough demand, it's that I think this will put demand over 50% of the market (obviously way more demand than Tesla could supply) and act as part of Elon's spur to get incumbent automakers to transition to EVs. I'd still expect it to take decades.
It's hard to see how you can ever get 10 minute charging in a 400 mile range car. That's 750kW or so, in which case the limiting factor will be how you dissipate ~75kW of waste heat from the pack during charging.