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More reservations won't make the stock go up. It's going to take deliveries and happy customers.

Deliveries are of course the immediate concern, but beyond that the next big "?" will be proving they can sustain demand IMO. Right now they have enough reservations to hit breakeven for at least a quarter, but beyond that if they could show with reservations that there is zero demand concern, that would be big.
 
Anybody actually worried (aside from Cali) about the price dip? If I had any extra money I'd be buying a lot more right now.

Only "worry" is that at these levels some (many) of the shorts may be covering and thereby 1) profiting (had hoped no shorts would) 2) decreasing the short interest so that any future short squeeze may be smaller. This would imply of course new investors coming into the stock, or current long holders increasing their positions.
 
Anybody actually worried (aside from Cali) about the price dip? If I had any extra money I'd be buying a lot more right now.
I'm a bit worried. The stock is lower than it was a year ago. It's not terribly far off the lows for the last year (ignored that 1-day "2 executives leave" blip). I can't afford to be any more invested in TSLA than I am, so buying more isn't an option for me.

Seems like there's more to be nervous about than at any point in the last year. Before now, it was always progressing along: new factory, factory event, early cars going through crash testing, etc. Now Tesla is having delays, some quality issues (causing the delays), all creating a much more ambitious ramp up than before, discussing raising more capital when I thought the DOE loan was supposed to be more than sufficient margin for error.

I don't see any "slack" left. Their burn rate ramping up the X (and Gen3?) early has left no margin for error with the S.
 
Only "worry" is that at these levels some (many) of the shorts may be covering and thereby 1) profiting (had hoped no shorts would) 2) decreasing the short interest so that any future short squeeze may be smaller. This would imply of course new investors coming into the stock, or current long holders increasing their positions.

Unless part of the reason it's going down is additional shorts coming in.
 
To elaborate on that, somehow I don't have a bad feeling about this. It's either shorts coming in who get smashed later, or it's people selling who wouldn't have had the confidence to go up very high any way. So we might get a more stable "foundation". Could be wrong of course, just how I feel about it.
 
Anybody actually worried (aside from Cali) about the price dip? If I had any extra money I'd be buying a lot more right now.
Only a little sad that I didn't sell at $36. I was about too but I didn't think it would have another big dip like this. I'm just sad for the missed opportunity to grow my stake, again.
 
@UncleRon

I'll try to put it in prose; constructive feedback appreciated.

January $15 put @ $0.95
You're basically giving someone the option to make you buy 100 shares of the stock between now and January at $15/share. And they're paying you $0.95/share (so $95 for all 100 shares) today for that option.

After doing so, one of 4 things can happen:
(1) Tesla stock is under $15/share in January, and the option holder exercises the option (making you buy the stock at the $15 price).
(2) Tesla stock is above $15/share in January, and the option holder lets the option expire.
(3) Sometime before January the option holder gets nervous, and behaves like (1) but immediately.
(4) Tesla doesn't exist in January. Sometime before that (3) happens.

For all 4 outcomes you either pocket $95 or you buy the stock for an effective cost of $14.05/share.

Actually, you can do a bit better. Technically, you could put the $95 in an interest bearing checking account and earn some interest until/unless the exercise (1, 3, or 4) occurs. Doing so would make your effective cost less than $14.05 (1, 3, or 4) or your cash more than $95 (2).
 
-Tesla Motors had its “buy” rating reaffirmed by analysts at Needham & Company.
-Tesla Motors had its “overweight” rating reaffirmed by analysts at Barclays Capital.
-Tesla Motors had its “accumulate” rating reaffirmed by analysts at Jefferies Group.

-Tesla Motors had its “buy” rating reaffirmed by analysts at Maxim Group. They now have a $50.00 price target on the stock. They wrote, “While TSLA reported 2Q12 downside, we expect attention to focus solely on trends for the Model S that do not take the stage until 2H12. While production has kicked off slower than planned—500 targeted for 3Q12—we believe its 5k target for 2012 is in reach as we believe the slow start seeks to iron out kinks and avoid a wide recall and management has a proven track record of ramping faster. Plus, the surge in July reservations to a 2,600/qtr. pace (after dipping 6% Q/Q to 1,700 in 2Q12) pushes it closer to its 25k target by 4Q13.”

Tesla Motors (TSLA) Weekly Ratings Changes | Daily Political

Thought you guys might want to see this.
 
To elaborate on that, somehow I don't have a bad feeling about this. It's either shorts coming in who get smashed later, or it's people selling who wouldn't have had the confidence to go up very high any way. So we might get a more stable "foundation". Could be wrong of course, just how I feel about it.

Yep. I just hope we're getting rid of all the fainthearted.
 
Unless part of the reason it's going down is additional shorts coming in.

Well, going in to short now is like getting in for a long position when it was at $39, but yes I see your point, some may take this dip (on no news mind you) as a signal that TSLA is going to crash somehow. Extremely unlikely IMO.

And I like to thought of the "foundation getting stronger".
 
Now Tesla is having delays, some quality issues (causing the delays), all creating a much more ambitious ramp up than before, discussing raising more capital when I thought the DOE loan was supposed to be more than sufficient margin for error.

Mr. Musk stated, repeatedly, that any capital they 'might' raise is NOT required. It would be used for 'cushion' and/or to put the pedal to the metal for R&D on GenIII car. So, I'm not understanding why it's being viewed by many as a negative thing, unless you think he and his finance specialist are lying?

I also see no reason for the jitters (or however you want to label the sediments) because they're taking their time building the car and correcting things they aren't 100% satisfied with, swapping out suppliers who aren't on board and can't obtain the high standards et al... This IS a positive, not a negative. The negative would be a recall.

People need to stop over-analyzing things, distorting comments and taking them out of context, and probably not have that sixth cup of java. :wink:
 
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