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Andyw2100
Well-Known Member
Unless he corrected it since you posted, I see pgiralt, who chose 8/16, as the most recent person shaded in red for "Did not place 3rd or better". MrClown, who chose 8/17, and I are both still green. Mr Clown could still take third, and as you point out, I could still take second. (I'd actually argue that should it be determined that autopilot was released yesterday, I could still win!
)Perhaps Jason corrected the spreadsheet after you posted.
Ah dang, sorry... looks like I was overzealous in my red highlights and was looking at the wrong date
Sorry for the confusion. Fixed that. I don't know what day it is half the time anyway. lol.Since it's "Price is Right" style, if your chosen date is AFTER (ie: higher) than the actual release date you can't win. So if it's released tomorrow (20th) everyone with dates for 8/21 and later can't win. 20th is first place since that's the closest, 19th second, 18th third, etc.
Your example looks correct for the data available. However it doesn't hold true if there are gaps. For example, andrewket has November 16, 2015, but can place 3rd or better any time between then and the 26th based on the entries since his would still be second closest without going over on the blank entries in between.
Hope this helps.
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I did.
I'd actually argue that should it be determined that autopilot was released yesterday, I could still win!
Of course. Spreadsheet is based on current knowledge and I've no issue reverting based on new info. That would definitely be welcome news
MarcG
Active Member
Ah dang, sorry... looks like I was overzealous in my red highlights and was looking at the wrong date
Since it's "Price is Right" style, if your chosen date is AFTER (ie: higher) than the actual release date you can't win. So if it's released tomorrow (20th) everyone with dates for 8/21 and later can't win. 20th is first place since that's the closest, 19th second, 18th third, etc.
Your example looks correct for the data available. However it doesn't hold true if there are gaps. For example, andrewket has November 16, 2015, but can place 3rd or better any time between then and the 26th based on the entries since his would still be second closest without going over on the blank entries in between.
Hope this helps.
Makes total sense, thanks!
Late to the party, but I've got a theory. We've got three major rollouts coming, and I'm guessing they'll all be released at once.
1. Autopilot. Big software update release.
2. Ludicrous mode. Again, the software that goes with the hardware is likely in version 7.0. People are waiting for this release with vague information too.
3. Model X. Guessing first deliveries in October/November. Very likely going to be rolled out with version 7.0.
Could they roll out autopilot and the ludicrous mode software irrespective of when the X hits the market? Sure. But given the proximity of the estimated dates for these three events, my gut is that even if autopilot and ludicrous software is ready, they wait for the X to come off the production line before rolling out both ludicrous mode software (and hardware installation) and also autopilot software to everybody. This will allow the X to make a bigger splash when it's finally released, equipped with autopilot and ludicrous mode, which would be the first time the public will get to use those features. Lot of good publicity about some great features that ultimately gets tied to the X, making it a success no matter how delayed the production was.
So, if I was a betting man, I'd scope my expectation of autopilot coming out when model X's start rolling off the production line. late October/early November.
1. Autopilot. Big software update release.
2. Ludicrous mode. Again, the software that goes with the hardware is likely in version 7.0. People are waiting for this release with vague information too.
3. Model X. Guessing first deliveries in October/November. Very likely going to be rolled out with version 7.0.
Could they roll out autopilot and the ludicrous mode software irrespective of when the X hits the market? Sure. But given the proximity of the estimated dates for these three events, my gut is that even if autopilot and ludicrous software is ready, they wait for the X to come off the production line before rolling out both ludicrous mode software (and hardware installation) and also autopilot software to everybody. This will allow the X to make a bigger splash when it's finally released, equipped with autopilot and ludicrous mode, which would be the first time the public will get to use those features. Lot of good publicity about some great features that ultimately gets tied to the X, making it a success no matter how delayed the production was.
So, if I was a betting man, I'd scope my expectation of autopilot coming out when model X's start rolling off the production line. late October/early November.
Oh nice. Just so I don't derail this thread, would you mind give a link to that info? I haven't heard a peep from anybody accepting delivery of a p90d yet, testing ludicrous mode, or that they're running it on 6.2. Thanks.
Honestly, come to think of it I'm inferring that it's 6.2 based on the dash interface of the one launch video I've been able to find so far. It doesn't match the interface of the leaked 7.0 video (since removed). Quote from the P85D HP thread:
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beeeerock
Active Member
Yeah, my thought exactly a moment ago in a related thread with a video... main dash area significantly re-skinned, but the rest of the touch screen stuff looked essentially the same... and nothing that looked autopilot-specific. I think I got excited for nothing - maybe we'll see the new look in advance of the full feature set - wouldn't want to have to digest it all at once... ;-)
beeeerock
Active Member
Agreed Officer Barbrady ;-) - It looked different but didn't seem to include any added features.
MarcG
Active Member
Uh oh, another potential reason for delays:
Apple Nabs Autonomous Driving Engineer From Tesla
Not sure what level "Autopilot Firmware Manager" has at Tesla, but it's probably high enough to impact the schedule...
Apple Nabs Autonomous Driving Engineer From Tesla
Not sure what level "Autopilot Firmware Manager" has at Tesla, but it's probably high enough to impact the schedule...
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Well, they were only manager for 4 months, not a long time. Not even long enough to come to grips with the team. Maybe they didn't want to be a manager and looked for something different. Maybe the project is nearing completion and they wanted to do something different. Or maybe it's all doomed to failure and they bugged out.
ddimit
Member
gizmoboy
Member
In my contact circle, Apple doesn't pay that great. Competitive but not big bucks for the Valley.
Andyw2100
Well-Known Member
There's a thread on this in the "News" forum. I believe the numbers thrown around there were a $250,000 signing bonus and a 60% increase over current salary.
Maybe it's already mentioned in this thread. But does it matter which model gets the update? For example if the first Model X gets released with 7.0 + AP functionality that meets the criteria but the firmware doesn't roll out to model S's only a few weeks later, which date counts? Makes me think of it another fun guessing game : what will come out first? Model X in the hands of the first signature owners or AP on existing model S's? I am leaning towards the model X at this point but not by much!
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