Energy Sector News

[petit_bateau]

WTI $87/bbl
Brent $90 /bbl
NL TTF gas €35 /MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

China vulnerable

Two dead after Hong Kong’s heaviest rain in at least 140 years

More than 200mm of rain recorded on Hong Kong’s main island and there is also disruption in Shenzhen

www.theguardian.com

UK weakness (I lose track of how often UK flip flops on this - and eventually this one too will get flipped at mates rates to the City)

Two years and £45m of taxpayer cash: the steady launch of state bank UKIB

Leeds-based bank may finally be in position to support regional development and net zero climate ambitions

www.theguardian.com

UK total failure - no bid (by my count the UK Conservatives have destroyed UK solar, UK insulation. UK onshore wind, UK offshore wind, UK smallwinf, UK hydro, and are doing a good job of destroying UK heat pumps, and are a long way to destroying UK automotive and UK battery mfg)

‘Biggest clean energy disaster in years’: UK auction secures no offshore windfarms

Lack of interest was widely expected after government failed to heed warnings about soaring costs

www.theguardian.com

and

Signal: UK lacks green investment for net-zero commitment

Private investment needed for the UK to reach its net-zero target, but unclear policies and insufficient public funding are obstacles.

www.energymonitor.ai

This is not just a UK issue, and not just a renewables issue

The RSPB took on ministers and fell to earth. How it happened is a warning to us all | George Monbiot

This is not just a story of a wildlife charity being bullied – it’s about the ugly truth of power dynamics in today’s Britain, says Guardian columnist George Monbiot

www.theguardian.com

.... and in USA Texas

Texas fracking billionaire brothers fuel rightwing media with millions of dollars

Farris and Dan Wilks’ deep pockets fund climate denialism education, conservative politicians and pro-fossil fuel projects

www.theguardian.com

... hence Texas ERCOT

ERCOT forced to declare emergency conditions in extreme heat as Texas flirts with blackouts

Experts say battery resources may have kept the grid operator from declaring rolling blackouts amid low renewables output and high thermal outages.

www.utilitydive.com

Mexico weakness

How Mexico came to have the weakest climate policy in the G20

Mexico is the only G20 nation without a net-zero pledge, and its policies are rated "critically insufficient" by Climate Action Tracker.

www.energymonitor.ai

Russia-Iran; and China-Europe bypassing Russia

Kazakhstan sees Middle Corridor volumes increase by 86%

Kazakhstan Railways (KTZ) has seen Middle Corridor volumes grow by 86 per cent for the first seven months of this year compared to 2022. The total volume amounted to 1.6 million tons, with the export volume contributing to most of the growth. According to KTZ, over all the recorded volume, 1.2...

www.railfreight.com

and

A new Duisport terminal starts construction, this time in Turkey

Duisport has started the construction of its new terminal, “Railport”, in Kartepe, Turkey. The terminal is around 100 kilometres from Istanbul and is considered Duisport’s most significant foreign investment, with 1.37 billion US dollars involved. It is planned to begin operation at the end of...

www.railfreight.com

Compare USA (16%) with global (19%) and one can see USA is catching up

Electric vehicles and hybrids make up 16% of U.S. light-duty vehicle sales - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

www.eia.gov

Shell, we have a problem

Shell putting residential storage and VPP firm sonnen up for sale - reports

Shell is putting its residential solar, storage and VPP company sonnen up for sale, according to German outlet Handelsblatt.

www.energy-storage.news

.... and the great carbon credit boondoggle also impacts Shell

Shell signals retreat from carbon offsetting

Oil company is latest firm to act amid indications that carbon credits do nothing to mitigate global heating

www.theguardian.com

More battery types

EnerVenue launches new metal-hydrogen battery variant

EnerVenue has developed a new metal-hydrogen battery. The US startup says the battery's efficiency ranges from 80% to 90%, depending on the cycle rate, and claims that its energy density per square foot is equal to or even better than lithium-ion batteries.

www.pv-magazine.com

Inverter factories are an easy build

Livoltek to build 1.8 GW inverter factory in Brazil

Livoltek plans to build a 1.8 GW inverter factory in Manaus, northern Brazil. It says the facility will manufacture single-phase and three-phase devices.

www.pv-magazine.com

Boomtime USA

US solar installations expected to jump 52% to nearly 32 GW in 2023: SEIA

The industry is outperforming SEIA’s March forecast, which predicted the best case scenario would see 2023 installations grow to 28.4 GW.

www.utilitydive.com

Slow steps USA

First GE Haliade-X 13 MW Wind Turbine Heads Offshore for Vineyard Wind 1 Site

Vineyard Wind, a joint venture between Avangrid and Copenhagen Infrastructure Partners has shipped the first GE Haliade-X 13 MW wind turbine from the New Bedford Marine Commerce Terminal to its location more than 30 miles (about 49 kilometres) off the coast of Cape Cod in the US.

www.offshorewind.biz

 

[lascavarian]

This may not be the best location for this comment but here it goes.

There is this company that seems to be selling carbon capture offsets to tech companies, it is called Heirloom Carbon.

I go to their website and it is all rosy with buzz words but light on the technology. I find a link to a white paper and some details…. Then on page 6 in mid paragraph they disclose their energy requirements.

https://uploads-ssl.webflow.com/639c8f646dc35afd81aeebc2/63c563a258baba2baf4813d9_Heirloom_Perspective-Article.pdf

Claims are based on net new low carbon energy sources???

They are essentially making lime (requires limestone plus 900 degree heating) which creates lots of CO2 which they bury etc. This is well understood with the problem of the huge energy required to deliver the 900 degrees of heat up front.

lime will absorb atmospheric CO2 and return to limestone naturally over about 100 years. This is old news. This is the benefit of hempcrete as a building material which actually is net carbon negative.

It seems the “net new low carbon energy sources“ required to drive this scam? could be much better used to just replace fossil fuels In the first place. Stop making CO2 then you don’t have to bury it later on.

This smells a lot like a fossil fuel scam. It seems a horrible deceit. Just convert to sustainable energy sources and stop burning fossil fuels. My opinion of course.

 

[petit_bateau]

Global problems

‘A critical moment’: UN warns world will miss climate targets unless fossil fuels phased out

Governments failing to cut emissions fast enough to meet Paris agreement goals and avoid disaster, major report says

www.theguardian.com

UK problems (and suddenly everyone is an expert)

Does the UK government still have an offshore wind strategy? | Nils Pratley

After the failed auction, ministers must accept that the workhorse of their renewables plan isn’t as cheap as it once was

www.theguardian.com

and

What went wrong at UK government’s offshore wind auction?

Industry sources say auction was ‘catastrophic’, after failure to secure any new offshore windfarms

www.theguardian.com

 

[petit_bateau]

WTI $87/bbl
Brent $91 /bbl
NL TTF gas €36 /MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

EU gas storage @ 94% full

Gas Infrastructure Europe - AGSI

agsi.gie.eu

EU CBAM is a coming ...

As EU carbon border levy looms, businesses scramble to get ready

Some stakeholders are pushing back against a new EU carbon border levy on imports of climate-unfriendly goods due to start on 1 October.

www.energymonitor.ai

... so expect more carbon pricing

Signal: Global carbon pricing to be a priority from 2024

Introducing carbon pricing globally would reduce emissions and increase revenue for further green investment.

www.energymonitor.ai

Rail/etc corridors

G20: EU and US back trade corridor linking Europe, Middle East and India

Joe Biden describes ambitious rail and sea plan to counter China’s Belt and Road project as a ‘really big deal’

www.theguardian.com

Piraeus cut off (but not I think Thessaloniki)

Greece: 50 km of destroyed tracks require 50 million euro investments

The aftermath of Storm Daniel in Greece last week is becoming all the more visible. The central north-south Greek railway axis has been impacted heavily, with 50 kilometres of railway infrastructure in Central Greece destroyed. The Hellenic Railways Organisation (OSE) managing director...

www.railfreight.com

Cons blink, taxpayer bribes disbursed to BMW Oxford, no battery announcement (I think EU CATL planned)

BMW announces £600m package to save Oxford Mini plant

Government-backed investment will help secure 4,000 jobs in electric vehicle production

www.theguardian.com

Lawfare

Small island nations take high-emitting countries to court to protect the ocean

Countries threatened by rising sea levels are asking a tribunal to decide on responsibility for pollution of the marine environment

www.theguardian.com

Small is beautiful

Record U.S. small-scale solar capacity was added in 2022

www.eia.gov

Wreckage of missing UK offshore bids leaves scant solar pickings

UK allocates 1.9 GW of solar at $59/MWh

The UK government has announced the results of its latest renewable energy auction, originally planned for 2022. It was accessible to installations exceeding 5 MW in size, with 56 solar projects securing 15-year contracts-for-difference (CfDs).

www.pv-magazine.com

 

[petit_bateau]

WTI $87/bbl
Brent $91 /bbl
NL TTF gas €35 /MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

Lithium batteries averaging below $100/kWh

https://twitter.com/x/status/1701251192037474756

https://twitter.com/x/status/1699457169509278070

(I've checked my own database and I had projected this $100 transition for end-2022, with a end-2023 price projection of approx $80/kWh and approx 2.5 TWh cumulative deployment. It seems that market factors (i.e. demand) are pushing prices above trend at present)

On the subject of forecasts the IEA are now proclaiming peak fossils this decade

IEA Claims Global Oil Demand Will Peak Before 2030 | OilPrice.com

The head of the International Energy Agency has said that demand for oil, natural gas, and coal will soon peak, even without new climate policies.

oilprice.com

(personally I forecast 2026 for peak fossils, maybe 2025, though it is a gentle plateau so could shift either direction by a few years depending on happenstance)

But propping up fossils remains a World Bank thing

World Bank spent billions of dollars backing fossil fuels in 2022, study finds

Campaigners estimate about $3.7bn in trade finance was supplied to oil and gas projects despite bank’s green pledges

www.theguardian.com

It really shouldn't be necessary to write this stuff but the fossil FUD is strong

Heat pumps twice as efficient as fossil fuel systems in cold weather, study finds

Doubts about whether heat pumps work well in subzero conditions shown to be unfounded, say researchers

www.theguardian.com

from

https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351(23)00351-3

Tata for solar in India

Tata secures $425 million from US development bank for 4.3 GW solar fab

Tata Power’s greenfield 4.3 GW solar cell and module manufacturing plant in the Indian state of Tamil Nadu is expected to start PV module production by the end of this year.

www.pv-magazine.com

Grid congestion action

Real-time interface to reduce Netherlands’ grid congestion

All new PV plants over 1 MW in the Netherlands will have to use a real-time interface to make their facilities better communicate with the grid operator starting from next year. Utrecht-based Withthegrid, has developed an interface that is compatible with a number of brand-name inverters.

www.pv-magazine.com

and

Israel frees up grid space for 2 GW of renewables

Israel has announced plans to deploy 2 GW of grid-connected renewables. It will allow for additional renewable plants to be built without causing grid congestion, based on specific parameters.

www.pv-magazine.com

Dogger Bank installs are go

First Turbines Up at World's Biggest Offshore Wind Farm

The first two wind turbines have been installed at Dogger Bank A, the first of the three phases of the UK's 3.6 GW Dogger Bank Wind Farm, the world's biggest offshore wind farm under construction.

www.offshorewind.biz

Hostages

Iran, US on verge of prisoner swap under Qatar-mediated deal

The unfreezing of Iranian funds next week will see as many as five detained U.S. dual nationals leave Iran and a similar number of Iranian prisoners held in the U.S. fly home, according to sources.

www.reuters.com

 

[ItsNotAboutTheMoney]

It really shouldn't be necessary to write this stuff but the fossil FUD is strong

Heat pumps twice as efficient as fossil fuel systems in cold weather, study finds

Doubts about whether heat pumps work well in subzero conditions shown to be unfounded, say researchers

www.theguardian.com

from

https://www.cell.com/joule/fulltext/S2542-4351(23)00351-3

I watch Electric Vehicle Man on YouTube and his story of getting a heat pump and the varying quotes he got for the work implies a huge mis-selling problem.

 

[navguy12]

Proof of concept: Solar powered sea-water fed farms:

Floating sea farms: A solution to feed the world and ensure freshwater by 2050

The sun and the sea—both abundant and free—are being harnessed in a unique project to create vertical sea farms floating on the ocean that can produce fresh water for drinking and agriculture.

phys.org

 

[petit_bateau]

I watch Electric Vehicle Man on YouTube and his story of getting a heat pump and the varying quotes he got for the work implies a huge mis-selling problem.

Mis-selling is a real issue in this segment.

I got quotes for fitting an ASHP at my GF's rather large pile, in the UK. The quote pack I issued the various contractors included dimensioned building plans for all rooms; existing 45kW oil boiler model/etc situation; existing insulation package listings for all rooms/roofs/etc; my heat loss calculations (using a standardised MCS format); and notes re the existing wet loop radiators/etc; and full electrical supply considerations. You couldn't have asked for a better quote request pack.

The quotes I received in response varied from £10,600 inc VAT to £25,000 inc VAT for supply & install. The sizing varied from 14kW to 28kW. One lot wanted £5,000 just to do a site survey and indicated that they had in mind 40kW and £40,000. (This would also have required a new electrical supply). Another lot said it was impossible to do an ASHP for such a large property.

My calculations were that the 14kW solution was correctly sized and was the one we selected, and was also the cheapest price. It has worked absolutely fine and is performing exactly as anticipated.

I have since come across clients of some of the other more expensive companies, who are paying to rip out the disastrous systems in their properties.

It is an absolute scandal what is going on out there.

 

[navguy12]

Mis-selling is a real issue in this segment.

I got quotes for fitting an ASHP at my GF's rather large pile, in the UK. The quote pack I issued the various contractors included dimensioned building plans for all rooms; existing 45kW oil boiler model/etc situation; existing insulation package listings for all rooms/roofs/etc; my heat loss calculations (using a standardised MCS format); and notes re the existing wet loop radiators/etc; and full electrical supply considerations. You couldn't have asked for a better quote request pack.

The quotes I received in response varied from £10,600 inc VAT to £25,000 inc VAT for supply & install. The sizing varied from 14kW to 28kW. One lot wanted £5,000 just to do a site survey and indicated that they had in mind 40kW and £40,000. (This would also have required a new electrical supply). Another lot said it was impossible to do an ASHP for such a large property.

My calculations were that the 14kW solution was correctly sized and was the one we selected, and was also the cheapest price. It has worked absolutely fine and is performing exactly as anticipated.

I have since come across clients of some of the other more expensive companies, who are paying to rip out the disastrous systems in their properties.

It is an absolute scandal what is going on out there.

Going to approach my parish about “when are we going to eliminate our carbon footprint?” in the next while.

If the idea goes anywhere, I would think the next six months would be simply gathering raw data before contemplating any available solutions.

 

[petit_bateau]

Going to approach my parish about “when are we going to eliminate our carbon footprint?” in the next while.

If the idea goes anywhere, I would think the next six months would be simply gathering raw data before contemplating any available solutions.

In very rough terms the carbon footprint for any western/industrialised economy splits three ways:
- 1/3 transport;
- 1/3 heat/cold/cook;
- 1/3 everything else.
The same holds true at parish scale as at country scale.

It is always easier to raise such a proposal if one has previously identified at least one viable pathway. That way during the information-gathering period one can be fairly confident that things won't head down a 'too-difficult' dead-end that is ultimately counterproductive. The middle third (heat/cool/cook) is often the hardest to tackle (the last third tends to come along naturally as a result of tackling the top two).

Therefore my advice is to get hold of a standard building heat modelling spreadsheet and work through the solution pathways that address the (several?) most common building archetypes in your parish. That way you will have a handle on how tractable your parish's issues are before you go public.

I can offer a public-domain heat modelling spreadsheet that is valid for the UK (it comes from MCS, I didn't write it*) but unfortunately the environmental data in it is UK-specific and it doesn't contain the weather profiles for Canada, and regrettably those pages are locked so it is difficult to hack it to include Canada. You will need something similar for Canada that is accepted (i.e. as being a valid engineering tool) and it would be best if it was freeware rather than require a licence fee, as that way many fellow parishioners can explore their own building issues. (One can adapt the MCS one with a bit of thought to cater for everything through to Passivhaus with MHRV, and it also gives helpful comparisons for other sources such as oil burners, direct electric, etc. I have also added in a basic solar, vehicles, and storage calculator - email me if you want a copy).

I don't know if such a thing exists in Canada. Maybe you already know where to go (in which case tell us). Otherwise you might want to ask around some of the institutions/etc that are mentioned in this PEI/WeiCan link set as towhether they can point you in the right direction. See Government / Research Institutions / Associations - Wind Energy Institute of Canada .


* all credit to John Holden etc, see MCS Launch New & Improved Heat Pump Calculator - MCS

 

[petit_bateau]

WTI $89/bbl
Brent $92 /bbl
NL TTF gas €35 /MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

(I really do wonder if there is any point tracking both Brent and WTI these days, given that Brent includes WTI now, and the differential is darn near a constant. Until of course the day when it is not a constant.)

EU marks self

EU states must bridge ‘planning gap’ in order to hit climate targets, report warns

Clean Air Task Force calls for overhaul of action plans with many countries, including Germany and France, missing drafts deadline

www.theguardian.com

Proof is

Renewables connection times higher than desired – E.DSO

A survey by E.DSO has found multiple factors determining renewables connection lead times with different approaches by DSOs to tackle these.

www.smart-energy.com

Sits vac

European Parliament mulls rejecting EU climate commissioner nominee

Many MEPs aren’t happy about conservative EU climate commissioner nominee Wopke Hoekstra. But is this a battle worth fighting?

www.energymonitor.ai

Carbon capture boondoggles

The world’s biggest carbon capture facility is being built in Texas. Will it work?

The plant will inject 500,000 tons of carbon dioxide into the ground each year – but is it just greenwashing from big oil?

www.theguardian.com

FUD strong offshore USA

As US East Coast ramps up offshore wind power projects, much remains unknown

As the U.S. races to build offshore wind power projects, much remains unknown about how the facilities could affect the environment.

www.renewableenergyworld.com

USA gas LNG strong

The United States exported more LNG than any other country in the first half of 2023

www.eia.gov

China naughty step ( .... maybe)

EU to investigate 'flood' of Chinese electric cars, assessing tariffs

The European Commission launched an investigation on Wednesday into whether to impose punitive tariffs to protect European Union producers against cheaper Chinese electric vehicle (EV) imports it says are benefiting from state subsidies.

www.reuters.com

Standardisation by markets

Google to adopt standardized PPA contract for most renewable energy RFPs after yearlong trial

Trading the conventional open-ended process for a standardized contract cut PPA negotiation time by 80%, Google's head of data center energy said.

www.utilitydive.com

Hydrogen matters

The Hydrogen Stream: Liquid hydrogen test flight could enable long-distance flights

H2FLY claims that a recent three-hour test flight, entirely powered by liquid hydrogen, could lead to sustainable long-range flights fueled by liquefied, cryogenic hydrogen. Solaris, meanwhile, has started selling hydrogen buses in Italy.

www.pv-magazine.com

Big claims in flow battery world

High-energy, membrane-free organic redox flow battery

US researchers have developed a new high-voltage, membrane-free, nonaqueous lithium-based organic redox flow battery. They say that the elimination of the membrane decreases the upfront costs of the battery by as much as 30%.

www.pv-magazine.com

Rail affected by drought

https://www.railfreight.com/railfreight/2023/09/12/caspian-sea-low-water-levels-a-concern-for-middle-corridor-operations

 

[transpondster]

EU gas storage @ 94% full

Gas Infrastructure Europe - AGSI

agsi.gie.eu

This week should exceed what was maximum stored the last year

 

[navguy12]

In very rough terms the carbon footprint for any western/industrialised economy splits three ways:
- 1/3 transport;
- 1/3 heat/cold/cook;
- 1/3 everything else.
The same holds true at parish scale as at country scale.

It is always easier to raise such a proposal if one has previously identified at least one viable pathway. That way during the information-gathering period one can be fairly confident that things won't head down a 'too-difficult' dead-end that is ultimately counterproductive. The middle third (heat/cool/cook) is often the hardest to tackle (the last third tends to come along naturally as a result of tackling the top two).

Therefore my advice is to get hold of a standard building heat modelling spreadsheet and work through the solution pathways that address the (several?) most common building archetypes in your parish. That way you will have a handle on how tractable your parish's issues are before you go public.

I can offer a public-domain heat modelling spreadsheet that is valid for the UK (it comes from MCS, I didn't write it*) but unfortunately the environmental data in it is UK-specific and it doesn't contain the weather profiles for Canada, and regrettably those pages are locked so it is difficult to hack it to include Canada. You will need something similar for Canada that is accepted (i.e. as being a valid engineering tool) and it would be best if it was freeware rather than require a licence fee, as that way many fellow parishioners can explore their own building issues. (One can adapt the MCS one with a bit of thought to cater for everything through to Passivhaus with MHRV, and it also gives helpful comparisons for other sources such as oil burners, direct electric, etc. I have also added in a basic solar, vehicles, and storage calculator - email me if you want a copy).

I don't know if such a thing exists in Canada. Maybe you already know where to go (in which case tell us). Otherwise you might want to ask around some of the institutions/etc that are mentioned in this PEI/WeiCan link set as towhether they can point you in the right direction. See Government / Research Institutions / Associations - Wind Energy Institute of Canada .


* all credit to John Holden etc, see MCS Launch New & Improved Heat Pump Calculator - MCS

Thanks for the guidance; I will definitely offer some sort of solution when the topic gets broached.

My quick search has found some Canada specific items, from the Natural Resources Canada page:

Data analysis software and modelling tools

CanmetENERGY's engineering experts have developed innovative clean energy project analysis, modelling, and simulation software tools to help users:

natural-resources.canada.ca

 

[winfield100]

Going to approach my parish about “when are we going to eliminate our carbon footprint?” in the next while.

If the idea goes anywhere, I would think the next six months would be simply gathering raw data before contemplating any available solutions.

@navguy12

one thing you could do is use PV Watts (v6.2 or so)
say if you wished you were in Sherbrooke Ont. now, and had a 10Kw system, you would get around ~11,500 kwh/yr
and PV watts is _free_ , so shed no tears quite easy to use (maybe a bit off in directions))

PVWatts

Estimates the energy production and cost of energy of grid-connected photovoltaic (PV) energy systems throughout the world. It allows homeowners, small building owners, installers and manufacturers to easily develop estimates of the performance of potential PV installations

pvwatts.nrel.gov

IF you want to get way deeper, also free, is "System Advisor Model" (SAM) that you can specify inverters, PV panels, azimuth, tilt, local electric rates with or without batteries, very detailed (and a bit of a steep learning curve)

Home - System Advisor Model - SAM.

The System Advisor Model (SAM) is a performance and financial model designed to estimate the cost of energy for grid-connected power projects based on installation and operating costs and system design in order to facilitate decision making for people involved in the renewable energy industry.

sam.nrel.gov

 

[navguy12]

@navguy12

one thing you could do is use PV Watts (v6.2 or so)
say if you wished you were in Sherbrooke Ont. now, and had a 10Kw system, you would get around ~11,500 kwh/yr
and PV watts is _free_ , so shed no tears quite easy to use (maybe a bit off in directions))

PVWatts

Estimates the energy production and cost of energy of grid-connected photovoltaic (PV) energy systems throughout the world. It allows homeowners, small building owners, installers and manufacturers to easily develop estimates of the performance of potential PV installations

pvwatts.nrel.gov

IF you want to get way deeper, also free, is "System Advisor Model" (SAM) that you can specify inverters, PV panels, azimuth, tilt, local electric rates with or without batteries, very detailed (and a bit of a steep learning curve)

Home - System Advisor Model - SAM.

The System Advisor Model (SAM) is a performance and financial model designed to estimate the cost of energy for grid-connected power projects based on installation and operating costs and system design in order to facilitate decision making for people involved in the renewable energy industry.

sam.nrel.gov

@winfield100 thanks.

 

[iPlug]

As of the EIA update today for the week ending 9/8/2023, the U.S. is now up to 12.9 million barrels per day (bpd) of field crude oil production. So we are seeing some U.S. production elasticity in the face of OPEC+ market manipulation with their supply cuts:

Nearly up to the pre-COVID peak of 13.1 million bpd:

Weekly U.S. Field Production of Crude Oil (Thousand Barrels per Day)

 

[petit_bateau]

@navguy12

one thing you could do is use PV Watts (v6.2 or so)
say if you wished you were in Sherbrooke Ont. now, and had a 10Kw system, you would get around ~11,500 kwh/yr
and PV watts is _free_ , so shed no tears quite easy to use (maybe a bit off in directions))

PVWatts

Estimates the energy production and cost of energy of grid-connected photovoltaic (PV) energy systems throughout the world. It allows homeowners, small building owners, installers and manufacturers to easily develop estimates of the performance of potential PV installations

pvwatts.nrel.gov

IF you want to get way deeper, also free, is "System Advisor Model" (SAM) that you can specify inverters, PV panels, azimuth, tilt, local electric rates with or without batteries, very detailed (and a bit of a steep learning curve)

Home - System Advisor Model - SAM.

The System Advisor Model (SAM) is a performance and financial model designed to estimate the cost of energy for grid-connected power projects based on installation and operating costs and system design in order to facilitate decision making for people involved in the renewable energy industry.

sam.nrel.gov

The real issue in Ontario is reducing winter demand, which in turn means the ability to model varying amounts of insulation in the typical buildings in the area is the greatest need (imho). Figuring out how much solar for the summertime in Ontario is the easy bit. Knowing how far to push housing upgrade projects is quite a difficult area (imho).

 

[petit_bateau]

WTI $89/bbl
Brent $92 /bbl
NL TTF gas €35 /MWh (EU Natural Gas - 2022 Data - 2010-2021 Historical - 2023 Forecast - Price - Quote)

EU China EV spat stuff, good write up

EU-China Electric Car Spat More Good News for Battery Metal Miners

Given the high stakes and the trouble, particularly the German mass market automakers like Volkswagen, are facing, the eventual imposition of tariffs or other measures to limit Chinese carmakers’ access to Europe has an air of inevitability to it.

www.adamasintel.com

and

‘We have not forgotten how China’s unfair trade practices affected our solar industry’

The president of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, said in the 2023 State of the Union Address this week that European solar manufacturers face stiff competition from heavily subsidized Chinese rivals and noted that the bloc is launching an anti-subsidy investigation into electric...

www.pv-magazine.com

... and recovering from that will be expensive

Europe needs €30 billion by 2027 to rebuild PV, says Agora Energiewende

Agora Energiewende says Europe needs €30 billion ($32.2 billion) by 2027 to rebuild its PV industry. It calls for up to €30 billion until 2027 and up to €94.5 billion from 2028 to 2034 to revive the European solar sector.

www.pv-magazine.com

.... and the effects are never-ending

New figures provide clarity on solar module glut, ‘dumping’ prices

German PV analyst Karl-Heinz Remmers looks at current price trends in the global and European PV industry. The figures he provides could explain how overcapacity and warehouses full of PV modules are affecting market prices.

www.pv-magazine.com

Tesla Powerwall 3 (but when will it be available outside USA/Can ?)

Tesla launches Powerwall 3 battery

Tesla has launched the Powerwall 3 battery with an energy capacity of 13.5 kW and continuous on-grid power of 11.5 kW, featuring dimensions of 110 cm x 61 cm x 19.3 cm and a weight of 130 kg.

www.pv-magazine.com

8MW TLP floater reality

First Provence Grand Large Floating Wind Turbine Sets Sail

The first floating wind turbine for the Provence Grand Large offshore wind project set sail to its site on Monday, located more than 17 kilometres off the coast of Port-Saint-Louis-du-Rhône in France.

www.offshorewind.biz

Ukraine self-sufficient for 2023/24 gas heat season, storage indicates bidirectional lines with EU

Foreign traders build up gas reserves in Ukrainian storage, Kyiv says

Foreign traders have collected 1.8 billion cubic meters (bcm) of natural gas in underground storage in Ukraine ahead of the winter season, Ukraine's energy ministry said on Wednesday.

www.reuters.com

 

[petit_bateau]

A few things I seem to have missed today

- expect much more like this

Libya’s floods are result of climate crisis meeting a failed state

Storm Daniel was by no means the only factor behind the devastation wrought on the city of Derna

www.theguardian.com

 

[CorneliusXX]

Octopus has created their own heat pump. I'm very impressed with how quickly this company innovates. They have become the UKs 2nd largest energy retailer. They are pushing hard into all areas of the sustainable energy future.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1702289978665869731