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I will take it week by week, seeking to STO -CC’s on pushes up, and if there are breaks in support, will become more aggressive in preserving capital. So in all likelihood, assuming we will find out the results at the SH meeting after hours, will not have any options positions open, giving...

Sitting tight.. haven’t sold any weeklies yet given the straight drop at the open. Still rangebound and tight between $171 and $180

Yes I only trade weeklies, don’t like multiple week exposure

Will be playing by ear, but if we do get a move above $180 I am expecting $187ish, where I will consider -$195cc’s or -$200’s, depending on how things develop.. adding, the reason I expect $187 if we get above $180, is that on the daily chart the next area of supply is at the 100 day MA and EMA...

Closed this week’s -180CC’s at the close yesterday.. didn’t do anything today. Will let price action early next week dictate next options move. Current plan is to wait until we get above 180 to sell any cc’s, and if we don’t get that, will only sell cc’s below 180 if we break 171 and 168, to...

Completely agree. Looking at both the daily and weekly charts, if concerned about downside, then focus on protecting capital if price drops below $168.. as the daily and weekly Bollinger bands have room to the mid-140’s. But until $168 is given up, shorter term risk is to the upside. For this...

As it relates to this Friday’s expiration, is the market saying that it does not want TSLA to close the week above 180? That is my sense based on price action and the options positioning/GEX levels that others have posted… FWIW (probably not worth much tho)

I fixed it haha

This is very insightful. Thank you for sharing.

little salty are we EVNow? I have now gone through over 100 roundabouts in one week… there are many near me.. zero interventions.. sorry if I triggered you, just speaking to my experience. Was just trying to answer the question, and give my perspective. But you do you!

Yes. Order of magnitude better. Flawless at roundabouts which previously could not execute at all. Also can identify and slow down naturally for speed bumps. Just to give a couple examples. Check out Edgecase on X

160 Stock Option Max Pain

Thanks for posting these Jim (and Yoona)… two observations: (1) note Vanna for this week sub 160 as a counterweight? (2) net premiums yesterday were fairly red

Does anyone know why Tesla would have to make this filing, focusing only on this one exchange with an analyst question? I am assuming it might have something to do with Elon’s comment on the pending shareholder vote?

Market participants expecting 160-165?

Ya and Delaware was so beneficial 🤦‍♂️ btw Tesla laid out in detail the differences, pluses, minuses and all considerations of Texas vs Delaware.. its in their lengthy SEC filing if you care to read it

But at some level, isn’t it more important what the market wants to do, based on its positioning, versus what Elon will say.. especially since his words are usually twisted or capitalized on to further the interests of the big players in the market? Of course I have no confidence that the stock...

Gamma and Vanna for this week seems to favor upside, no? But I think events like earnings can override

Just ask Grok

Yes, it’s in the SEC filing itself. You can find a link to the full filing a little further up, but here is the relevant paragraph. This is the way the world works… outcomes in situations like this are pre-determined. Stockholders Want to Speak for Themselves. The Special Committee noted...

Look It has already been reported that 4 of the largest institutional shareholders already went to the company and said for them to do this, that they would support it. You think Tesla would take this step without knowing what Blackrock, Vanguard, T Rowe Price and others will do? That’s not...

His badge still there for me 🤷‍♂️

you're welcome Jim, glad you found it helpful. Those are the three services that make the most sense for a TSLA-specific trader.. pay particular attention to Caroline's timing windows which can identify inflection points. She also helps keep you grounded with her "no-trigger no-trade"...

Just to offer my understanding of this chart, the two targets are actually alternatives.. not successive targets. If price rejects sufficiently at the first target, we will be going lower toward the 170’s again before finally bottoming

I vote that @Yoona gets special dispensation to post whatever she wants here… her contributions to this board are valuable and including NVDA does not bother me one bit. Mods — let’s not screw it up this time!

I do find it useful, just replied to Yoona with an example. To expand on that a little, they are now showing potential waves that range from 200-210 (as a temp high), down to 160ish for a more major low. And the road to 200ish has an alternative path that could take us into the mid-170's...

Yes. You get stock futures/SPX with the base subscription. Zac's TSLA charts (along with a couple other analysts) are under the StockWaves sub service. They update TSLA every day. Carolyn then has her own service that also covers TSLA every day, using an entirely different methodology (not...

I have been an EWT subscriber for many years. Zac Mannes is outstanding at outlining targets based on fibonacci and Elliott wave theory, but requires a separate sub within the site to follow TSLA. Carolyn Boroden has her own paid sub-service which is good too.. Avi Gilburt is the master and...

https://teslamotorsclub.com/tmc/attachments/jan22tech-jpg.1011371/ @Yoona I find your insights on gamma exposures to be very keen, thank you for sharing your work here and I hope you will keep doing so even if you look at NVDA more

I didn't say anything about debits (or credits).. only talking about the extrinsic premium value that you can extract while waiting for price to come into your new strike levels

@Yoona thank you for this GREAT information. An additional consideration, probably difficult to model, is that in some cases by rolling ITM CC at 5 strike increments, you could gain some additional extrinsic premium value each week. For example you MIGHT be getting $2 or even $3 in premium...

More thinking…. What if you had the 150cc at 15% OTM, and got blown out that week… if you simply waited to the end of the week and rolled to the same strike the following week, and each successive week thereafter until late April, you would be picking up some extrinsic value each week, even if...

Awesome post Yoona, thank you 🙌 Another point to consider is that although technically the data shows “max loss” on the call side due to the Jan. 2023 post earnings run, $TSLA did come back down to ~$152 on April 27. It would have been a painful 3 months but even in that extreme scenario one...

Followed you there and here! You are the best

@adiggs seeing your interest in EW, might suggest you follow @zacmannes on X… he sometimes posts TSLA charts to give a glimpse of his regular work which is at ElliotWaveTrader, to which I have subscribed for several years. Zac and his mentor Avi Gilburt are the best (imo) at combining EW theory...

wow what a move today, we have gone quite a ways above your bullish channel, does that negate it and perhaps we have entered a new, parabolic phase?

Your examples are confusing because both reference - gamma magnets sorry still confused, your second example has two different numbers for the -gamma magnet.. maybe you could try again but in short I have seen Yoona explain that -gamma attracts, and +gamma repels.. but I am not a gamma expert...

Your examples are confusing because both reference -gamma magnets

Hope the mods don’t see this, they may question the relevance of your post

Maybe Twitter mods will tell her she is not posting relevant info and then she will come back to TMC

I find this YouTuber to be very informative

For anyone here who misses Yoona, you can follow on Twitter @lastadam. Still posting good stuff.. TMC's loss is Twitter's gain

Hi @dl003 what indicator are you using to identify the bearish divergence? I don't see it on the MACD, but I do see some divergence on the Stoch RSI

For Elon, the problem with this approach is that if he truly needs the cash, which presumably is the case, then he might not have the opportunity to sell more if the SP heads south for other reasons, which likely would have been the case anyway given the macro

whoa in that NVDA example it actually went down to $108 (~20% below the all-time 0.618)… if that were to happen with TSLA we’d be looking at the mid $130’s … and it spent a few weeks below the .618 too

To state the obvious, the first move triggers the stop losses, and the second move is more psychological, fresh selling out of fear

I any data on Fed day reaction when the stock was already down over 10% the two days prior lol

Realistic, yes, and agree with @ReddyLeaf response also.. This is the basic idea of the weekly CC for income, always a question of where do you put your strike. The key question is what do you do when the SP looks like it will end up ITM.. do you roll or do you let your shares get called away...

Ives is a fundamental analyst, and what is happening now has more to do with technicals and macro/extraneous factors, than the fundamentals. In terms of 1-year and out targets based on fundamentals, nothing has changed, and if anything has only gotten better with improved efficiencies at...