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Well again VERY LOW probability but charts is charts.. but that July 210 has only gotten cheaper at this point, but if it WERE to get to say 12-15$, I’d probably be selling that if I still wanted to hold shares and not quibble about the extra 5%. Overall mkt pain trade AT THE MOMENT is higher...

I have a $237 number target on my charts that I didn’t want to communicate since it’s VERY low probability and closer in than June. But the possibility but NOT probability is certainly out there for a measured move to that level. I’d be selling every day of the week at that point.

PPI WAS hot today but the past months were revised down and one even to NEGATIVE .01. So I think people are thinking that CPI COULD be at or down tomorrow which would spark further pump and most likely BOT for this round.

Not enough absolute short interest for it to work for more than some $10.s for a day or two.

I’m surprised there was no * asterisk that says “oh, and I’ve recently sold $50M in stock this year”. ;-)

Can anyone comment on the HK ION EVO AS for wet performance, or just regular performance.. I’m not talking tracking or track day at LS, but want to have some good grip and water venting capability. Might just do four new HK since they seem to be measurable higher efficiency, and offload my two...

The second one for sure. Just watch the live demo section. It's about 15 min

My guess is that TD mobile apps are gone. You can always setup a paper money trading account to work on learning the app - not your current account. I did that many many years ago to see how alerting worked, to immediately re-create or create orders to execute even some more complicated rolls...

PSA: If you weren’t watching the ChatGPT AI Spring update, you should… once again, its BMM (blow my mind) time.

Monday shod be mkt green. We usually get green before the actual PPI and CPI prints. If PPI is cooler we could moonnthe markets till mid day Tuesday. Then wait for CPI WEDS. But ppl would probably be profit taking by mid Tuesday latest.

Proabably another 20%, THEN in 2025 a 20% reduction. But, by then we’ll be at ~ 120% of 2018 levels, so we’ll be back to just maybe Mid 2023 by EOY 2025

CPUC is just a scam. But, I have read/heard that the rate reduction overall is closer to 5-7 c/kw. Would that make it seem more equitable or economical for low income+low to medium use? And I’m not sure who/what produced that article, but it doesn’t seem to show what the rate expectation is...

Tesla has a lot in treasury, in short duration assets, so its really more about that loss of interest between potential earned interest and the interest rate they make available.. so close to ~ 4.25% they would be “giving up”, or about 3% net of taxes on the interest bearing amount. Certainly...

There have been H5N1 vaccines for many years but deployed only in limited use in some parts of Asia but if I recall also somewhere in Canada.

“The transformation ISSSS COMPLEEEETE” - wringing hands emoji - This is also in conjunction with the reporting thatn the C shift at Texas for Model Y production has been throttled. (Still unconfirmed)

I know a guy.

I think you’re going to make that transition just fine, and in the end I think you’re going to end up enjoying it MORE… I’ve used them all Maybe we can start a campaign to allow some user font changes or typeface changes.. I’m in.

Whew… i was gonna say A) that’s GREAT, and B) send me your bank routing info, I’m sending you half my money to manage. ;-0

I doubt tesla is going to offload any current or currently nearly complete SC’s that are operational or operational within a month… but BP is probably interested in sites that were planned, currently getting paperwork, power lined up, etc.. whatever it is. It would SEEM from reports that third...

Is that a decimal to four dp’s or meant to be a comma?

PSA: All you TDA folks.. t-minus TEN MINUTES till final conversion.. the happening is happening.. GET THOSE SCREENSHOTS of basis if you haven’t already. I’m raising a glass to Ameritrade for the last ~ 30 years of enabling me to make a lot of coin leading into the 2000’s and after, leading...

Oh how I miss Gary Larson.

$NVDA I think we might actually break that support, my AI target was very short term and $967, but I don’t we’ll get there in this run.. could still happen, but I think it’s going to be sub $880, before $960+.

Still holding it, it wasn’t a full position and I still have insurance on my house and cars. ;-). I may move the SPY level up a tad 495/500, but I’ve got sunscreen in my eye at the moment and can’t see the options charts. ;-)

Finally coming over to the dark side.. - wringing hands emoji -

Welp, the next level WAS 5200, and now we’re through that.. I still think it’s going to be rug pull, but not before a blow off top. IF CPI next week WEDNESDAY at 05:30 PST, is anywhere near AT or BELOW expectations it’s going to be a very nice call selling day and or ATH in various places. I DO...

Put/call ratio for SPY May 17 is pretty high, yet VIX is falling.. I think the PUT buyers are going to win, but it could have just been MM taking advantage of fear.. Hedgies still taking money off the table, in some large amounts so maybe they are just freeing up some powder for the impending...

Maybe this is what you say, when you’re CLOSE to being de-listed? Maybe acquisition target? Even if they didn’t use them/it, they could probably sell the tech to someone else for more $$.

“The change puts fresh emphasis on the need to improve ventilation indoors and stockpile quality face masks before the next airborne disease explodes. Far from a remote possibility, measles is on the rise this year and the H5N1 bird flu is spreading among cattle in several states. Scientists...

Wow. I guess I was pretty spot on. Assuming the 50b is some amount of the legacy 56b deal

Yeah, I don’t really know where the other 130B is coming from, 40% of SpaceX might be worth 70B, I doubt anything else is worth a total of another 60B, but who knows. Dead Bird his ownership MIGHT be 8-10B. But, I do also think that his actual ownership of TSLA is higher than the 12% you list...

Not to be pedantic, but the entire company is only worth 571B TODAY, so how would - even if he had 58% - of 571B be 500B? Are you also adding in some portion (42%??) of SpaceX ~ 170B as well to these maths?

Yes please..

There is indeed NO uncertainty who ‘Bad Cop’ is within the federal governors space.. “I don’t see sub 2% inflation ANYWHERE on the horizon, let alone even 2%” “Frankly, we undershot for so many years sub 2%, that we needed to overshoot 2% for several years. Now, we’ll have to see SEVERAL...

Yes, but, For me, I’m often in this type of ALL IN target (and that doesn’t mean what it means in Texas hold’em)..because that is where I see total value for X at Y timeframe with Zed risk. But, for the most part I’m doing this all in relatively large TAX deferred accounts, so IF I get my all...

Well, nothing is ever truly safe, but we’ll be past Q2 earnings most likely then (7/17/24?), and Q2 P&D, so unless everyone is just assuming BAD/BAD again, we could rally. All these job cuts won’t add TOO much to reducing negative earnings - since everything pretty much comes with 1-3 months of...

I’m more confident with higher volatility between now and July, than in Dec.. Most elections years REGARDLESS of outcome - but this time really could be different, markets rally or at least stabilize post mid November. TWT.

Maybe you missed this post last Friday Update after posting: And It’s now pointing to 967

100% agree.. IDF was literally on the top of the fence…why wouldn’t Hamas just say “uncle, ok, we agree”.. and they change it all a week or two from now. I’ll take it though, time for selling more July calls.

Well they certainly wouldn’t do it all at once, but as for Lease that has nearly as much capital cost as a used can buy back.. actually more. The company is essentially financing what isn’t paid for. It is lower than a retail cost, since it’s only essentially the COGS wholesale cost that much...

This is something that I have brought up for a few years now since the big RT announcement (and been ridiculed for of course) but based on Tesla saying that RT is the future and that a Tesla in the fleet will “earn” easily 30K+ a YEAR for the owner, at SOME point Tesla should/will want to have...

So, you MAY have had a transition this past weekend, but the big one is NEXT weekend 5/10-5/12.. I’m still able to use TOS and TOS apps with my legacy TDA credentials. OT: What scared the BEJEASIOUS out of me last week was logging into my Schwab account where there is apparently a HIDDEN...

Technically the auto market is doing pretty well. Last year was 15.6 million total. This year we’re at a current run rate higher than that. Nearly 5.5m just in the first four months of the year. So something is working I doubt we’ll ever see the 17m years from half a decade ago but 15.5-16m...

Yeah, nobody believes this. We’ve heard it for half a decade now. I don’t care much about RT, but I would pay ~ another $5000 if I could drive to the airport and then just send the car home. More reliable, less stress, less chance of UBER cancellations - even with Reserve.. but sadly that...

There should be a poll with this thread.

I’ve seen a bunch driving around here lately. They do look really nice and sharper in person.

The numbers about EV “on the road” are a bit of a misnomer and I would argue much higher than 1%… while there are ~ 280M vehicles REGISTERED in the USA, there are roughly ~ 100-110M that are DRIVEN each day. We have four cars, ONE gets ~ 5 miles a day of use on avg.. (ok, technically I have a...

True but I thought @thenewguy1979 had contracts for next week not earnings week.

If they were cheap, probably a decent bet. IF we get a run, TAKE the money… as that level probably won’t happen - but it could.. you know, DBG.

My AI is telling me ~ $935 for NVDA in short order. I’m going to look to sell more calls again if we get up there. It would take quite a lot to get us back under $800 in the NEAR term.