Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

[DrMazeppa]

OK, OK, calm down! No need to be rude shorts. We are not going to go above 730. Geez...

Today, I mean .

 

[M3Rider]

According to
Opricot Open Interest|Volume|Max Pain
this week's options have put contracts in majority up to and including 900$ - so if anything, MM's should have an incentive to move the SP to just above 900$ for Friday's close. Or no?

This url has the number on the bottom of chart.
It will likely adjust some by Fri.

 

[BOBTHEJOCKEY]

Good for you. I just sold 50 myself after reading this, but I'm done selling (and no Options like the one I almost bought yesterday). It brought back last year's drama all over again, and I smell a rat. They don't just give a black eye then wait. I'm thinking either last hour or morning would be the second punch, or maybe Friday?

Sorry people. Been bit like this several times. The broad market is also very HOT and China is on hold (kinda) which is why I sold 50 yesterday at near high (super lucky there).

My prediction is the Tesa stock will keep dropping and stay down until the Shanghai factory opens up again and then it will zoom past $1000 maybe in one day.

 

[lklundin]

This url has the number on the bottom of chart.
It will likely adjust some by Fri.
View attachment 508242

Yes, Max Pain for this Friday is currently at 750$.

However, given that a number of especially put (but also some call) contracts are clearly out of reach for even the most skillful manipulation, these outliers have to be discounted when considering what SP Market Makers's could realistically consider as a target for their manipulation.

Feel free to outline a formula for a more realistic SP target for Friday's close than the actual Max Pain.

 

[neezer]

This url has the number on the bottom of chart.
It will likely adjust some by Fri.
View attachment 508242

Amazing! This - if accurate to within intraday, really gives confidence this baby is gonna fly up again soon.

 

[theschnell]

And meanwhile, I literally just bought 2x4s from Home Depot. I kid you not.

10 $39 March PTON calls for $1.50 in case they blow out after earnings call today. I know very little about the company except that they have 70% short interest and a (currently) popular product and subscription stream.

 

[theschnell]

Amazing! This - if accurate to within intraday, really gives confidence this baby is gonna fly up again soon.

It does not update intraday. Updates each morning based on previous day's activity

 

[BornToFly]

We are higher than the open on Monday. We would be ecstatic with 730 if we climbed here slowly without the insane climb and fall....

 

[TheTalkingMule]

We are higher than the open on Monday. We would be ecstatic with 730 if we climbed here slowly without the insane climb and fall....

And short interest is likely higher than Monday.

 

[dandurston]

I am not under the illusion that I can time the market. Indeed, I expect that those shaking the stock price around have the acumen and resources to make the short term behavior very unpredictable

I agree short term movements are unpredictable, but that doesn't mean it's not worth reacting. Perhaps some piece of news hits tomorrow like a new SEC investigation and FUD associated with that causes a large drop in the share price. The timing of this event and the reaction to it would be unpredictable, but if we can see through it as a "nothing-burger" and realize an excessively large reaction has occurred then we take advantage of the event to buy the dip and sell when the price returns to normal. Of course not every dip is worth chasing.

 

[Mokuzai]

These spike downs are amazing considering the alternate uptick rule currently in effect.

 

[Fobble]

Someone pushed the SP down from 730 to 710, lasted for a few seconds and sprang right back to 725, and my order at 720 got executed. Fingers crossed now

 

[ggr]

After all the discussion about exercising DITM options, yesterday I took my most profitable call off the table near the top. Then sat on the cash. This morning (my time, I'm in Australia) I exercised 4 call contracts that were for March-May, and turned them into TSLA stock with a cost basis around $410. Diversified a little with the spare cash. I'm happy at the moment.

 

[mongo]

These spike downs are amazing considering the alternate uptick rule currently in effect.

Accumulate slowly and dump quickly.

 

[myt-e-s-l-a]

Sold 2 PUTS 200221P650 @ 25

600-625 is key support level on the day after 4Q Earnings. So good probability that it will expire worthless. Let the volatility premium decay over time.

 

[azaz]

clear neither side is giving up, wether we end up 650 or 850 a week from now will be interesting

 

[DrMazeppa]

OK, OK, calm down! No need to be rude shorts. We are not going to go above 730. Geez...

Today, I mean .

Sorry shorts, I lied

 

[EVMeister]

I had a feeling we'd see this sort of price action today. But I didn't sell any shares yesterday or today, because I have no doubt we'll get back up in the near future. And I've yet to sell a single share in Tesla, as a buy and hold long. Why start now?

 

[Cherry Wine]

It's a liberating feeling to see the stock down $152 (17%) and feel nothing. No fear or panic whatsoever. Being deep ITM rocks.

(I guess timing a sell for the local top doesn't hurt either.)

 

[FreqFlyer]

People like to make money.

One can't profit unless they sell the stock. From the looks of it, those who sell at 900 made out like a bandit compared to those who held on today.