johnc11050
Member
Did anyone notice whether they have given new production figures for the X in yesterday's briefing. I read about the3 but nothing new on the X. thanks.
You can install our site as a web app on your iOS device by utilizing the Add to Home Screen feature in Safari. Please see this thread for more details on this.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
My DS said to me in person (I drop by the store now and then :smile some very nice version of "calling to bug me doesn't help."
He's right & I'm a big fan of reality
......
If accurate, and ignoring the 206 delivered in December, total X's would be 1000 at end of January, 2666 at end of February, 5000 at end of March, 8000 at end of April, 11000 at end of May and 14000 at end of June, 17000 at end of July, etc.
my original RN was 16XXX for a non-sig, non-p 90D. Delivery estimates on confirmation was "mid-2016", which spans from April 1 to September 30. Assuming a 12% order cancellation rate (from modelxtracker.com), my RN 16XXX comes down to upper 14 thousand in line. With the presumed application of ramp up based on supplied info from conference call, it still seems likely that I will see my beast delivered in the summer months. Anyone want to correct my math/logic?
I do know that TM makes many forward looking statements that it fails to deliver. I look at the half full glass, but have a full water pitcher nearby for insurance...
One of the delivery managers told me that there were people who come to the stores every day to ask about it, sneaking about to see if some X's have arrived, and they pretty much need to post guards to keep them from trying to sneak into back areas of the delivery center. I can only imagine the phone traffic that must take place.
I made it a point to keep it down to an e-mail every few weeks or so - it picked up as we approached the St. Louis Auto Show (we missed the date).
Some tips: When in doubt, remember that DS's "don't know". They can see the basic steps in the process -- entering production, entering QA, put on transport. They only get more details about the vehicles when they're put onto a manifest for shipping -- then they have more information. They have to escalate to someone to get more information on the vehicle if it's beyond this basic information.
Black Onyx wheel were not an option available on Founders and Signatures. So with 1 to 2 Production Models delivered in the last two days, I wouldn't draw any conclusions at this point. The only "example" given on the Tesla 4th Quarter call was the seal for the Windshield and bright metal parts (the seats were mentioned, but was old news from the 3rdQ call). There was no mention of the rims, not to say that means they are not constrained. I called Tesla a few weeks ago, and the Sales rep reviewed my design (includes the Onyx Rims), said he saw nothing that would cause a delay - since it was a P90D with Premium, UHD sound, etc. Elon did mention on the call that the highest margin vehicles will be produced first to pay to the tooling and initial material cost of the Model X as well as contribute to the Model 3.
I guess everything is more speculation at this point. That is why I don't call. Elon mentioned that December and January were highly stressful. I can only imagine if Elon was stressed, then everyone below him would be equally or more stressed! I just leave them alone, they will get to me when they do -- I have chosen to give them some space.... the DS are most likely doing the best they can to keep the customers updated -- given the issues they had to resolve, things can change.
Number we had yesterday match the previous numbers we had from December. My graph is still potentially good
View attachment 110997
That's correct - no sound upgrade.No uograded sound? If so good news as that means it's not going to be a factor in prioritization
One of the delivery managers told me that there were people who come to the stores every day to ask about it, sneaking about to see if some X's have arrived, and they pretty much need to post guards to keep them from trying to sneak into back areas of the delivery center. I can only imagine the phone traffic that must take place.
I made it a point to keep it down to an e-mail every few weeks or so - it picked up as we approached the St. Louis Auto Show (we missed the date).
Some tips: When in doubt, remember that DS's "don't know". They can see the basic steps in the process -- entering production, entering QA, put on transport. They only get more details about the vehicles when they're put onto a manifest for shipping -- then they have more information. They have to escalate to someone to get more information on the vehicle if it's beyond this basic information.
I think they want to do better, it's just not really easy for them at the moment I guess. The ETA approximation in the MyTesla was definitively a major improvement, way better than having DS aware of all possible ETA for their customers. I hope they get this functionality back soon, maybe with a warning that it's always possible to have extra delays (life is hard !).
Please Tesla, bring back this functionality ?
I have it on pretty good authority that "it only takes a few days to make the car". I also know that it took exactly four days for my X from start of production to finish (entering QC phase). Not sure where my car is now, and I haven't asked. Take that info FWIW. It's not the manufacturing time that is the hold up. It's like software development; it's the debugging that takes the huge majority of the time.
I think they want to do better, it's just not really easy for them at the moment I guess. The ETA approximation in the MyTesla was definitively a major improvement, way better than having DS aware of all possible ETA for their customers. I hope they get this functionality back soon, maybe with a warning that it's always possible to have extra delays (life is hard !).
Please Tesla, bring back this functionality ?
700-800 X produced per week, on average in Q2. Meaning average of 3000 Model X produced per month, or 9000 Model X produced in Q2.
What is Q1 production? Did not answer, but from prior posts I think I recall a rate of 250/week or 1000/month. Someone correct me if I am wrong on this. I do not believe I saw yesterday or in past any guidance of Q1 production of Model X, but if going from 1000/month Q1 to 3000/month Q2, one does not go up 200% overnight, but on a ramp. So best estimation of 1000/month in January, 1666/month in February, 2333/month in March and then 3000/month in April and beyond. How does that ramp sound to y'all?
If accurate, and ignoring the 206 delivered in December, total X's would be 1000 at end of January, 2666 at end of February, 5000 at end of March, 8000 at end of April, 11000 at end of May and 14000 at end of June, 17000 at end of July, etc.
my original RN was 16XXX for a non-sig, non-p 90D. Delivery estimates on confirmation was "mid-2016", which spans from April 1 to September 30. Assuming a 12% order cancellation rate (from modelxtracker.com), my RN 16XXX comes down to upper 14 thousand in line. With the presumed application of ramp up based on supplied info from conference call, it still seems likely that I will see my beast delivered in the summer months. Anyone want to correct my math/logic?
I do know that TM makes many forward looking statements that it fails to deliver. I look at the half full glass, but have a full water pitcher nearby for insurance...
It's actually still on the page, but they make it invisible in the browser. i posted in the FB Tesla Model X Owners group how to view it. Essentially you view source (depending on the web browser) and then amongst all the HTML, search for Estimated Delivery.
Early: [0, 1, 2, 3],
Mid: [4, 5, 6, 7],
Late: [8, 9, 10, 11, 12]
It's actually still on the page, but they make it invisible in the browser. i posted in the FB Tesla Model X Owners group how to view it. Essentially you view source (depending on the web browser) and then amongst all the HTML, search for Estimated Delivery.
It's actually still on the page, but they make it invisible in the browser. i posted in the FB Tesla Model X Owners group how to view it. Essentially you view source (depending on the web browser) and then amongst all the HTML, search for Estimated Delivery.