Short-Term TSLA Price Movements - 2015

[chickensevil]

Did you just buy a lot of few month out calls, wait for a pop, then sell them to buy the stock, or did you do this some other way?

It is just a reference to the fact that when you buy a call you are essentially purchasing a contract of 100 shares to be bought at some price down the road. Honestly I flip in and out of contracts and roll them forward that I never "officially" own those shares... I essentially have enough shares to say I am a shareholder, while my objectives is realistically to play the swings more than anything. As I make money on the options side, I have been slowly siphoning some of that profit into shares to slowly regrow that side back up and lower some of the risk of being near fully invested in options.

- - - Updated - - -

CVRP data just posted yesterday. Q2 numbers in California looking good:

View attachment 85180

What I like about this is how much more even Q2 is in distribution over Q1 this really shows how they have tried to even out their deliveries a bit more. If I squint it looks like around 1275 for numbers in Q1 and then Q2 is looking like around 1840. Which is a pretty nice uptick while balancing the deliveries.

 

[Causalien]

Only $10 increase since I last checked in. The rise to 300 is quite slow ain't it? I'll go back to suntan at the beach.

 

[ibcs]

Only $10 increase since I last checked in. The rise to 300 is quite slow ain't it? I'll go back to suntan at the beach.

Is that a prediction of $300 in the near future. I like it when you make predictions!

 

[kenliles]

Only $10 increase since I last checked in. The rise to 300 is quite slow ain't it? I'll go back to suntan at the beach.

Solar... good for what ales ya -
-enjoy!

 

[EldestOyster]

Only $10 increase since I last checked in. The rise to 300 is quite slow ain't it? I'll go back to suntan at the beach.

It's all part of my Get Rich Slowly scheme. But, we'll be kicked over to the Long Term thread if we keep talking this way.

 

[Yonki]

I've made the poll here.

Very cool. Want to add a histogram graph to the spreadsheet? Here's an example using the data you've collected:
Histogram Test - Google Sheets

 

[Renaud]

Where's my post lunch recovery? Gettin'used to green but I guess it's healthy to have this little pause before the storm!

 

[replicant]

Very cool. Want to add a histogram graph to the spreadsheet? Here's an example using the data you've collected:
Histogram Test - Google Sheets

Here it is (auto-updated):

 

[doggusfluffy]

Saving the Sun NOVA Next | PBS

“That might be discharging,” suggests Mendenhall. “You’ll hear those clicking sounds throughout the afternoon as the batteries go back into the grid.” The first time he heard it, he thought there was something wrong—Tesla assured them it’s normal—and it’s still so new that nobody at the winery feels like an expert yet. But the plain white box clicking to itself on the edge of a vineyard is one representative of a wholesale shift in the way we think about energy.

 

[Lessmog]

@RubberToe:

Future Model E Signature Series #001 owner. Even if they don't offer a Brown version :smile:

But wouldn't that be after Brown's governorhood? :tongue:

 

[Causalien]

No prediction.

Model X = >$300
No Model X = < $300

 

[hobbes]

Wow, great. Didn´t know you can have a pic auto-updating!
Next step: Try to put in the information about who owns a Tesla
so we can see if people with a Tesla own more or fewer shares!
Maybe two histograms with different color in one plot?

My guess was that the Model S owner have more shares and it
turns out to be true: Average number is 1264 for non-owners and 3011 for owners
(averages unfortunately not auto-updating )

Here it is (auto-updated):

 

[doggusfluffy]

MIT Technology Reviews 50 Smartest Companies 2015, from Tesla to Uber | MIT Technology Review

No. 1, Tesla Motors, has added another audacious idea to go with its electric cars. In April, it announced it would be spinning off a line of batteries in service of a big goal: remaking the energy grid for industry, utilities, and residences.

 

[dalalsid]

MIT Technology Reviews 50 Smartest Companies 2015, from Tesla to Uber | MIT Technology Review

Tesla, SolarCIty and SpaceX - all three are on the list.

 

[austinEV]

Wow, great. Didn´t know you can have a pic auto-updating!
Next step: Try to put in the information about who owns a Tesla
so we can see if people with a Tesla own more or fewer shares!
Maybe two histograms with different color in one plot?

My guess was that the Model S owner have more shares and it
turns out to be true: Average number is 1264 for non-owners and 3011 for owners
(averages unfortunately not auto-updating )

Geez. 10,000 shares is $2.6M in tesla alone, and we have 3 in that class. we have some wealthier members that I would have guessed.

 

[AlMc]

No prediction.

Model X = >$300

in my best Yul Brynnar, Egyptian pharaoh voice...'So let it be written....so let it be done!'

 

[dha]

Latest short interest figures were published today:

Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA) Short Interest - NASDAQ.com

Short interest is down about 2.2% as of the latest reporting period. Days to cover is up significantly, though, as volume seems to have completely dried up. Squeeze dynamics could come into play very quickly upon any positive catalyst.

 

[dha]

For the record, the current days to cover is the highest it has been since March 2013. We all know how that turned out...

 

[Causalien]

in my best Yul Brynnar, Egyptian pharaoh voice...'So let it be written....so let it be done!'

Well, one of you multibillionaires could corner the market and squeeze out the shorts like last time and the stick could go past $300 if you feel impatient.

 

[CALGARYARSENAL]

Well, one of you multibillionaires could corner the market and squeeze out the shorts like last time and the stick could go past $300 if you feel impatient.

I am banking on this. Fellow TSLA investors helping me towards early retirement.