Can you explain what you mean by selling puts against the cash? I don’t want to do anything that’s going to make me profit or lose a million $ overnight and I certainly don’t want to bet against this company.
So, a PUT is a bet saying the SP will
not fall
below a certain price--basically, you're bullish on the SP! You can sell puts with margin, but if you have the cash to cover the purchase (strike price x 100) then it's a covered put and "safer." You may lose out some if the SP drops rapidly, such as Feb when it peaked at 900 then dropped to 350-something. If you had a 500 put you'd have missed out on the difference of 150/share, or $15k. You'd still get the 100 shares, though, just a higher cost per in the end.
A call is technically bearish, a bet saying the SP will
not reach at or
above a certain price.
So, this thread specifically is for the "Wheel" style of trading. Selling calls using covered shares, then when it gets called away, using the cash resulting to sell covered puts. I was selling covered calls as a way to earn a bit of cash for my Tesla purchase, and now that my call was called away at 540, I have $54k to sell covered puts. Worst thing that'll happen is the SP drops below my put, and I'll have 100 shiny new shares--hardly a down thing with SP500 inclusion happening!
And, as you add the sell price to the strike to calculate true value (A $10 call for 540 becomes 550 per share if exercised), a put lowers it the same way (A $10 put for 540 becomes 530 per share if exercises).
And you said about post inclusion, it may drop but maybe not. That’s what my play was but now I’m concerned that if it goes above $1025 a week or two before expiration I could get my shares taken away early when the price spikes to $1200 or whatever. Am I not thinking about this correctly?
FOMO is real.
However, Tesla's SP likes to Ford with everyone's mind. The wonderful Q2? Eh. The wonderful Q3? Eh. Stock split? HUGE up... then abrupt drop back down a day or two later, and then only floating about the split price for a few weeks.
You can always buy back your call after the inclusion, if it looks to be heading towards $1k. It may cost you in the end, but you'll keep your shares. I had to do that at a loss once, when I fat fingered a call and accidentally made it the week following the week I intended for. I'd have been down another 100 shares had I not, so the $1k I think it cost me was worth it.
As a small time investor also, I understand wanting to keep a tiny hoard to yourself. I, personally, try to not put a strike far out, because Tesla's SP is crazy, and any strike I do I am comfortable with that price for whatever reason. As I said, my shares were called away, and so now I'm selling puts for fun and profit.
Don't sell the calls if you're not prepared for them being called away, or are wanting to feel the pain of the loss.
Remember though, in Jan Q4 P&D and Earnings both come out. May be a tug upwards for the SP... or the market may ignore it like it did the previous two quarters, who knows.