Todd Burch
14-Year Member
Almost 500 reservations in just a few days. I assume that's faster than the initial rate of reservations for the Model S?
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tdelta1000
Active Member
Judging by the numbers it looks like Tesla has another awesome product offering. My wife likes the "S" much better and let me tell you that is not a problem. Congratz to every "X" reservation holder. Enjoy it!!!
rogbmw
Member
Followed the Model S for over 2 years, but wanted to see it in person before placing a reservation. Went down to Ft. Lauderdale last week and loved the car and placed a reservation. I was so impressed with the floor pan with the suspension and motor set-up, being a "gear head car enthusiast" and seeing the Brembo 4 piston brakes and vented rotors on all 4 corners, with independent control arms and all on the suspension. Then, watched the premier of the Model X, and placed a reservation for it Friday afternoon. My X reservation number was just over 200, and it was Friday afternoon around 4 est.
In the TMC (very unrepresentative) poll, about 15% (4 of 27) of the Model X reservers were shifting from the Model S.
Did Tesla announce how much Xs they are making in the first year?
I'd guess at least 5000, meaning 400 is one month of production. It's hard to wait, but on the other hand, for Roadster that was one year wait or even more.
I still envy all reservation holders!
I'd guess at least 5000, meaning 400 is one month of production. It's hard to wait, but on the other hand, for Roadster that was one year wait or even more.
I still envy all reservation holders!
Yeah, Tesla will no doubt see cannibalism. I've always thought the X would be more attractive to the general populace
bonnie
I play a nice person on twitter.
I'd expect it would be skewed on TMC, since most of us are here either as owners and/or reservation holders. I've had two friends put down deposits on the Model X - that's new. One was just car shopping online, wanting to replace their BMW & Tesla vehicles showed up in their search of luxury sedans. They weren't considering electric before.
Perhaps we should start a poll on how many people in our circle of family and friends have become newly interested in going electric and have put a deposit down (or are about to).
Did Tesla announce how much Xs they are making in the first year?
I'd guess at least 5000, meaning 400 is one month of production. It's hard to wait, but on the other hand, for Roadster that was one year wait or even more.
I still envy all reservation holders!
The figure I heard was that they plan on 15,000/year when in full blown production. First signature deliveries in late 2013 (I'm guessing December), but presumably the first couple of months will be slower.
If the Model S ramp-rate can be a guide, Tesla expected to be at half-speed for the first six months (5,000 in 2012, vs. 20,000 annual target). Which would suggest 3,750 Model Xs produced in Q1 and Q2 2014.
This is probably conservatively low. Tesla will have the Model S line up and humming, and that should allow it to ramp up faster.
This is probably conservatively low. Tesla will have the Model S line up and humming, and that should allow it to ramp up faster.
I would assume so by a pretty large margin, just because Tesla has a heck of a lot more awareness now than when the S was first available. Tesla has 8000+ folks with S reservations that are all going to be aware of it and help spread the word, plus Tesla has had more media attention in general with the S approaching release.
NigelM
Recovering Member
It ought to be.....Tesla is now a much better, more widely known company than it was last time around! You'd expect more potential buyers seeing, reading and hearing about the X.
Mycroft
Life happens
I hope that most of them are ahead of me in the S line.
Me too! I'm hoping to drop from S510 to S450 at least! :tongue:
I'm just hoping to drop far enough to get mine in 2012! I'm P5651 (if memory serves) so its not overly likely but I can hope, right?
I'd love to move up some, but I think it'd be a bad sign if the X cannibalizes the S noticeably. It'd mean Tesla messed up and has two cars going after the same market. A little overlap amongst EV enthusiasts is a given (folks that wanted an SUV, but took the S since it was the only EV with decent range), but you don't want to see a large overlap.
Mycroft
Life happens
I don't think that's going to be a problem ckessel. They're going to attract far more customers with both a sedan and a CUV than with just one.
Jalopnik is ripping them up for revealing the X before the S is even on the street. I think the reason they did it was more for investor confidence than anything else. They wanted to show the promise of the skateboard and they wanted to show it fast. So four months after the big Model S beta reveal, they bring out the nearly production ready Model X. Four months! FOUR MONTHS!
Jalopnik is ripping them up for revealing the X before the S is even on the street. I think the reason they did it was more for investor confidence than anything else. They wanted to show the promise of the skateboard and they wanted to show it fast. So four months after the big Model S beta reveal, they bring out the nearly production ready Model X. Four months! FOUR MONTHS!
bonnie
I play a nice person on twitter.
That's my take, too. (Four months!!) It sends a strong message of agility, of a good game plan for getting new vehicles to market.
I also personally subscribe to the 'theory of abundance', that one doesn't compete against the other (think of CVS /Walgreens, Lowes/Home Depot - competitors in close proximity- that's not by mistake). While some Model S reservations will be switched (like mine), the publicity of Model X will likely drive additional Model S reservations.
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