Back when we saw original press releases and articles I had ~80kWh for 300 mile pack, but based on updates, I changed it to 90.
Currently I show this:
- That 90kWh figure in part was based on _this article_
But I keep thinking it doesn't quite fit.
If we guess that current, proven Roadster cells are 2200mAh, then
160 mile modelS = 5500cells*2200mAh*3.6V=~42kWh
245mile Roadster= 6831cells*2200mAh*3.6V=~53kWh
230 mile modelS = 7800cells*2200mAh*3.6V=~60kWh
300 mile modelS = 7800cells*2800mAh*3.6V=~78kWh ???
300 mile modelS = 7800cells*3000mAh*3.6V=~84kWh ???
The above makes some sense since 2200mAh are common commodity 18650 cells right now, and the 2800mAh & 3000mAh are "next generation".
Checking the numbers,
160miles*60/42=~230miles (check)
160miles*78/42=~300miles... OK... So why would they need 90kWh?
So I am still wondering why the quotes of 95kWh rather than 80kWh...
Maybe they already have a "next-next generation" pack in the works that can do 160*95/42=360 mile range (?!)
Anyways, just pondering numbers...
Using given specs, I did some calculations, too.
6831 cells * 3.6 * 2200 = 54,1 kW/h for 244 miles I get 220 Wh/mile for the roadster.
Using 42 kW/h for 160 miles, I get 262 Wh/mile for small pack Model S. That's a hefty 20% more Wh/mile mainly for one reason: weight (~2000 kg).
The Roadster Battery pack contains 11 modules each 621 cells. Assuming they want to keep the voltage level equal and keep using the 11 modules layout, a 160-mile Model S will have:
11x483= 5313 cells * 3,6V * 2200 mAh = 42,1 kW/h.
But more cells for bigger packs means more weight reducing the efficency even more. Just assuming another 5% means the 230 mile pack will need to be around 63 kW/h. My calc:
11*724=7964 cells
7964 * 3.6 * 2200 = 63,1 kW/h
The same pack with the upgrade cells:
7964 * 3.6 * 3000 = 86 kW/h
And using the 4000 mAh cells expected for 2013:
7964 * 3.6 * 4000= 114,7 kW/h
Wow. A small pack with upgraded cells:
5313 cells * 3.6 * 3000 = 57,4 kW/h
5313 cells * 3.6 * 4000 = 76,5 kW/h
Just playing with the numbers but quite some options. The biggest pack will be good for > 400 miles.