the CT production specs aren't even finalized let alone how a rigid and bulletproof stainless steel exoskeleton (in the front) will be compliant with pedestrian safety regulations ... so it's questionable that the CT will even go into small scale production by late 2022 (let alone pumping out in volume).
You'll get your R1T a lot sooner than that and the R1T has been tested/ developed for years now
I wonder if those "pedestrian safety regulations " are a reason Musk said that they would make a Cyber Truck for Europe in the future.
Europe has more regulations for vehicle design to be less fatal for pedestrians than the US.
As for specs ,Musk has stated that the specs are finalized. Are you guessing they aren't?
Supposedly, there are 1M reservations for the CT. Assume that 50% turn into actual sales, that's 500k trucks. As of now, it looks like production will begin at the end of 2022, early 2023. The next question is how fast can Tesla produce 500,000 trucks. It seems to me that it'll be might impressive if Tesla can produce that many trucks in 2 years. So, short answer to your question: 2024 is a maybe but a bit of a long shot in my opinion. Then again, none of us know Elon's actual plans.
Morgan Stanley released a report stating that they thought Tesla would be producing 100,000 Cyber trucks by 2025.
Musk has said 250,000 to 300,000.
One of the reasons for Giga Texas is to build the Cyber truck and isn't part of the reason for it's design to be more quickly constructed?
No paint shop alone helps in that regard.
My guess is more than 1/2 the orders will drop off. Possibly 2/3s
I think limiting factors and delays for CT production is because of extremely high demand for current models in production as well as materials and parts.
The CT needs more batteries and more chips than a Model Y for example.
I have a feeling I'll be getting my reserved CT sometime in late 2025 if I'm lucky.
I really want to see a Rivian when they are out.
I wonder how long a delay there is if your order one today.