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As much as I was wrong on the initial 100k prediction, I would still say not a chance for 1 million by the q1 call. The hype of the lines and the reveal are over. The news cycle has passed and those who were extremely motivated to place a reservation already have. Until they start doing traditional advertising, it is now pretty much word of mouth telling the Tesla story.
As much as I was wrong on the initial 100k prediction, I would still say not a chance for 1 million by the q1 call. The hype of the lines and the reveal are over. The news cycle has passed and those who were extremely motivated to place a reservation already have. Until they start doing traditional advertising, it is now pretty much word of mouth telling the Tesla story.
Remember... there's still another reveal... how did Elon put it? 'Super next level'...
My money is on 500-750k...
Fear of missing out is also a strong emotion, so could provide some push given that at this point making a deposit won't guarantee even 2018 delivery.
Lots of different reactions are possible for a higher reservation number. A couple things though:Sorry, but already with reservation of over 200K I'm not going to place a reservation on a model 3. Why should Tesla have my depositum in 2-3 years - or longer. How many competitors have in the meantime come up with their version of an EV. Sorry but building 200.000 Model 3 will take Tesla a LONG time. In Q4 they only delivered 17.478 cars
Sorry, but already with reservation of over 200K I'm not going to place a reservation on a model 3. Why should Tesla have my depositum in 2-3 years - or longer. How many competitors have in the meantime come up with their version of an EV. Sorry but building 200.000 Model 3 will take Tesla a LONG time. In Q4 they only delivered 17.478 cars
Hope you are right. The second announcement will surely give pre-sales another big kick. However, the current $10 Billion in backlog is already a great indicator of proof of concept and should help to grease the next round of financing.Remember... there's still another reveal... how did Elon put it? 'Super next level'...
My money is on 500-750k...
And some people who didn't know about Tesla may now buy a Model S while waiting for thei Model 3, and some may buy a Model S or Model X to move up in line, and some may get lost in the woods and eaten by bears.The high number of M3 reservations may or may not be the best thing for Tesla, in that many of these reservations are likely cannibalizing from potential future Model S sales. Some people posting on this forum have actually stated that they intend to trade in their MS for an M3. Fine to have another sale, but with $70k less revenue...
The high number of M3 reservations may or may not be the best thing for Tesla, in that many of these reservations are likely cannibalizing from potential future Model S sales. Some people posting on this forum have actually stated that they intend to trade in their MS for an M3. Fine to have another sale, but with $70k less revenue...
The high number of M3 reservations may or may not be the best thing for Tesla, in that many of these reservations are likely cannibalizing from potential future Model S sales. Some people posting on this forum have actually stated that they intend to trade in their MS for an M3. Fine to have another sale, but with $70k less revenue...
Unless they announce the new plan to accelerate the ramp.I can't see that happening. The lead time to delivery is getting to be much too long for the reservation numbers to continue to grow at this pace.