Just for grins and bragging rights, let's have a poll about which car will be first.
I know we like to sweat the details, so here is my attempt to constrain the parameters:
When I say "base car" below I mean the cheapest configuration of a car that can go 200 miles.
1. Price: under $40k USD after federal incentive. Even if the incentive moves to, say, $10k and the base starting price is 39.999 after $10k incentive that counts.
2. Range: current EPA rating at time of vehicle sales should be 200 miles or better for the base car
3. BEV: it should be a pure BEV, no range extender like gas, diesel, or fuel cell
4. Date: It needs to be owned or leased by an "average" consumer in the US. CEOs, ex-CEOs, EVPs, VCs, journalists, etc don't count.
5. Availability: I think if it has limited availability that is ok. It is reasonable to start slow and limit sales to certain states. I hope that availability scales to nationwide and global soon afterwards, but that is beyond the scope of this poll.
Other stuff beyond the scope of this poll: availability/cost of quick charging network; upsized battery capacities at additional cost; cheaper versions of the car with sub-200 mile range; "must-have" options that would push the base car above $40k
Of course, we won't know the final results of who wins this poll for several years, so be patient!
I'm sure there are more details and caveats, so please let me know and I will consider adding to this first post.
Thanks
I know we like to sweat the details, so here is my attempt to constrain the parameters:
When I say "base car" below I mean the cheapest configuration of a car that can go 200 miles.
1. Price: under $40k USD after federal incentive. Even if the incentive moves to, say, $10k and the base starting price is 39.999 after $10k incentive that counts.
2. Range: current EPA rating at time of vehicle sales should be 200 miles or better for the base car
3. BEV: it should be a pure BEV, no range extender like gas, diesel, or fuel cell
4. Date: It needs to be owned or leased by an "average" consumer in the US. CEOs, ex-CEOs, EVPs, VCs, journalists, etc don't count.
5. Availability: I think if it has limited availability that is ok. It is reasonable to start slow and limit sales to certain states. I hope that availability scales to nationwide and global soon afterwards, but that is beyond the scope of this poll.
Other stuff beyond the scope of this poll: availability/cost of quick charging network; upsized battery capacities at additional cost; cheaper versions of the car with sub-200 mile range; "must-have" options that would push the base car above $40k
Of course, we won't know the final results of who wins this poll for several years, so be patient!
I'm sure there are more details and caveats, so please let me know and I will consider adding to this first post.
Thanks
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