Fresh UAW warning below. The next "standup" event will occur this Friday if "serious progress is not made by then".
Shawn Fain's "Standup" strategy seems smart (and I empathize with them, it wasn't fair), but I see it dragging out and then backfire.
As I understand it, the Union pays an employee $500 per week if asked to Stand. But since it's targeted and paced out like death of a thousand cuts, the amount of time they can afford to cause pain is increased dramatically (as compared to an all out strike in past times). Problem is, past profits are not a good indicator for future profits as the EV squeeze continues. So it's quite possible Auto can't pay to match expectations based on the past.
Today's "Standup" at Ford triggered an immediate 600 employee layoff at Ford's same facility. If this trend continues, I see auto riding out the losses in production while cutting out lower tech skills in parallel. But I wonder, are there sufficient replacement workers available to backfill? If so, could they eventually eliminate Union workers? This might be nearly impossible, IDK.
If workers see everyone fired with every standup event, eventually some may decide to remain seated and break the line, but only after a bloody battle. With all factory procedures well documented (ISO 9002), replacement may be possible, if not the only choice for Auto.
OTOH, should auto settle anywhere close to the current demands, they'd be doomed that much faster, would not be able to afford to increase EV research, and all jobs would be lost. This could accelerate the transition to EVs as ICE sticker price would continue to rise. Oh, this will get ugly in slow motion. I'm even hearing how the workers are blaming their problems because Auto is "wasting" money on EVs. This is so detached from reality with comments like that.
And guarantees for the Engine Dept to keep their jobs??? I'm sorry, the rest of the world doesn't work like that. NO JOB IS GUARANTEED! Especially with the automation we see coming.