I've lived through several TSLA short squeezes and this appears to be by far the most violent
Who woulda thunk it after garbage Q1 results
Funny old world, eh?
Who woulda thunk it after garbage Q1 results
Funny old world, eh?
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Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House
- Thread starter adiggs
- Start date
So the ferocity of this short squeeze suggests the buyers don’t see us tapering off this week?
If the FSD licensing deal gets announced, stock will go to 300/share before any material pullback. I have zero doubt about that.
Let’s see what happens when the allegedly “smart” money arrives this afternoon.
I'd imagine 200 is going to be tough resistance so I could see it stalling there until the shareholders meeting in a month and a half. Macro could be a material headwind during that next month and a half as well
This barring any sort of FSD development. Stock is clearly trading now based on FSD potential, not earnings fundamentals. As long as the good news flow continues to come in for autonomy
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It must use maps because the right turn at the light out of my neighborhood that FSD always took for 2 years has now turned into going straight through the light then pull a u-turn only to now go left at the light. No reason for it except the road is being widened, but no physical reason why it cannot still go right as it always did.
EVNow
Well-Known Member
This exposes stock to all kinds of news - a single report of an accident can take the stock down 10%.
thenewguy1979
"The" Dog
agreed but that have to be on the new FSD 12.3.x stacks. Else older firmware 11.x issues won't phased it do to FOMO.
Definitely not smartest but maybe luckiest? Way too many P&D and earnings binary events that gone wrong had me grounded. I no longer want the stress on those weeks as its just not worth it when I can place the bets the following week.
thenewguy1979
"The" Dog
@dl003 please advise if you see any changes in your TA based on today PA?
Steamroller it is now......
Steamroller it is now......
TSLA 1 Week After Earnings 7DTE
today's ~16% rise is going to be on the Top 5 since 2011 (if sustained with 4 days to go)
62% probability green this week, 64% probability green next week
today's ~16% rise is going to be on the Top 5 since 2011 (if sustained with 4 days to go)
62% probability green this week, 64% probability green next week
I don't think it's going to be smooth sailing. Even if there's no accidents on FSD, there will be plenty of biased articles, hit pieces, and FUD.
It'll be a constant tug of war between FSD progress, FSD announcements like the licensing deal, etc.. vs the FUD and/or any negative FSD related events.
Which is why I've continually made it a point to say we gotta keep seeing FSD progress and advancements for the FSD fueled rally to really kick in hard and last.
Also while I say the stock is trading on FSD potential now and not earnings fundamentals, I do think there was enough positives from the earnings call that show margin have in fact bottomed and fundamentals will improve (battery prices plummeting, Tesla expecting EV credits to continue and expand, Tesla guiding for 2024 Energy to grow 75% over 2023, etc..)
Knightshade
Well-Known Member
Only the ones with the newer AMD CPU.... most of the USS fleet is Intel-based cars AFAIK and only got the mildly improved self parking
tsla daytrade up 34% in one hour, closing it
there's a thick res and volume profile at 200, tsla blocked at the 100% fib (for now)
tsla is also above the upper-BB for the 1st time since Dec 19 (MM wouldn't like that, i think)
there's a thick res and volume profile at 200, tsla blocked at the 100% fib (for now)
tsla is also above the upper-BB for the 1st time since Dec 19 (MM wouldn't like that, i think)
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I think the ferocity is down to exactly what was discussed over the weekend. Q1 was assumed to be garbage, everyone positioned for it, it was garbage, but with all those puts to play out, the manipulators pulled the plug, assisted by Musk's 24/7 stock pumping
For my side, I too think this is somewhat unsustainable, so rather than sacrifice my Jan +c300's or roll out, I decided to keep the -c175 strike for the moment, but start to buy back
So BTC 100x 5/3 -c175 -> STO 80x 5/10 -c175 + 100x -p180 = slight profit
I figure more like to drop from here than go up, and still have the July +p150's in place, and if it does go up from here then I have 80x to roll, not 100x, will look to do the same next week...
I had also completely forgot, but just spotted that I have 26x Jan 2026 +c270's, so will use those for rolling the 25x 5/24 -c170's, but going to wait-and-see a bit on this first
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Seems like yesterday that I brought up FSD12 as a possible catalyst that could affect our CCs, and the moderator kept deleting my posts. Aaahhh, good times....
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