I think Tesla is focused on being able to make money on electric cars. I don't think it's an accident that while they are cutting jobs here to the bone, they are investing in China. Lower wage workers and much less aggressive environmental laws there should enable them to make more cars faster and with less cost. It's not that Tesla would like to pollute more - it's just the rules there don't require the same amount of paperwork and costs to approve as they do here.
My bet is once they have lines up there, they will start exporting from China to Europe and other countries. And if they need more money, building large production there they could get Chinese investors to write checks too.
I doubt they'll end US production of course - it will take time to get China up and running, and with this administration they would suffer. But with tax breaks ending, they have to cut production costs significantly to make up for that, plus address the demand for lower cost versions. All of that is much easier to address in China than in the US.
It's not clear they can cut production costs enough here to make that happen. They have to go to a lower cost of production country.
Now, if I am wrong, you'll see them slow down their gigafactory and plant work in China, and they will buy an old GM plant and spool up a second production line in the US. But I don't think he can hit the numbers he has to hit and build in California.
My bet is once they have lines up there, they will start exporting from China to Europe and other countries. And if they need more money, building large production there they could get Chinese investors to write checks too.
I doubt they'll end US production of course - it will take time to get China up and running, and with this administration they would suffer. But with tax breaks ending, they have to cut production costs significantly to make up for that, plus address the demand for lower cost versions. All of that is much easier to address in China than in the US.
It's not clear they can cut production costs enough here to make that happen. They have to go to a lower cost of production country.
Now, if I am wrong, you'll see them slow down their gigafactory and plant work in China, and they will buy an old GM plant and spool up a second production line in the US. But I don't think he can hit the numbers he has to hit and build in California.