OMFG the bears are shedding their snake scales one more time... time for a new story, the old one didn't work.
After CNBC talked about Tesla and the two pundits basically conceded it was ridiculous that Elon would see his role split into two, this "right plonker" as we Brits would say shifted his tack and closed with this projection -
(Gordon Johnson from "The Vertical Group")
When you think about him promising profitability in Q3 and Q4, based on our analysis, we think the way he's going to achieve that (like he did before when he promised positive cashflow) is by unleashing a plethora of ZEV credits, which are one-time in nature, and are really going to start to hit a wall next year in 2019 as a lot of these manufacturers really start to produce. I also think that the federal tax credit going away is going to pull in some demand for them. The numbers may look good in Q3 and Q4 - possibly - but we think unleashing one-time earnings, and looking to 2019 when there's a lot of competition, we think it's going to be very hard for Elon to execute, so I think that there's big headwinds near-term.
So he's saying "yes, we've been wrong in the past about everything, Tesla are still around, bigger than ever, producing more cars than ever before, delivering to more countries, no shortage of demand, sales of other cars is falling, etc. etc. and we even think that they may make a profit during the next two quarters BUT WE STILL KNOW THEY WILL FAIL, YOU GOTTA BELIEVE US."
They still think that electric vehicles only compete with other electric vehicles. Do we really think that Jaguar's ICE sales, or sales of other mid-luxury ICE SUVs won't be affected at all by the iPace? And the Chevy Bolt isn't really selling that well, to be honest.