bdy0627
Active Member
I'm afraid you may be right. It's that kind of a market right now, and TSLA has been trading similar to NFLX in some ways.
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HopJokey
Member
The earnings announcement was released past the after hours trading close of 8PM EST.
bdy0627
Active Member
Another indicator to consider is that when the vast majority here are feeling really good about an ER, the market often reacts differently. Sentiment here is very positive about this ER. We might not get what we expect even with a good ER. I am glad though that Tesla has given no indication about profits or cash flow since their comments at the Q2 ER. I like that silence.
tinm
2020 Model S LR+ Owner
Thing to watch for is Frankfurt exchange late tonight. I suspect TSLA will be up there.
EVNow
Well-Known Member
Anyone knows what happened in the previous earnings reports ? Looks like whatever happens is temporary.
Q2 '18 - 8/1/18 : Went from $300 to $350 and then started going down a bit for 2 days. But was interrupted by taking private tweet.
Q1 '18 - 5/2/18 : Down $20 from $300 to $280. Back to $300 in just 2 days.
Q4 '17 - 2/7/18 : Down $35 from $345 to $310. Back to $340 in 10 days.
Q3 '17 - 11/1/18 : Down $30 from $331 to $300. Back near $325 after 17 days - but took 40 days to be clearly back above $330.
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ZachF
Active Member
My own personal hunch is that waiting so long to announce, then releasing it early is a sign that they a). beat and b). want to catch Wall Street banksters off guard. Could always be wrong.
Oh, thanks! I didn't realize that, usually they make such announcements soon after regular close.
hmmm....
I won't be able to provide my full thesis till tomorrow. But, the gist is - from prior indications and this latest trickery, I'm more inclined to think they are going to try and kitchen sink it, rather than provide a knock it out of the park ER.
More detail tomorrow.
A buyout will occur.
Prepare yourselves.
.4% is nothing to me and in my experience. Gotta be larger than +/- 1% for it to impact my decisions.
Prepare yourselves.
.4% is nothing to me and in my experience. Gotta be larger than +/- 1% for it to impact my decisions.
bdy0627
Active Member
@option_snipper
Option_Sniper Retweeted Option_Sniper
futures daily chart 5ma turning downwards - be VERY careful. $es_f $n
Justin Pulitzer:
$ES_F Told ya! Price only got 1 tickets above & couldn’t sustain. MUST clear for higher. Below is iffy, choppy & has pullback potential. Keep it simple and visual.
Option_Sniper Retweeted Option_Sniper
futures daily chart 5ma turning downwards - be VERY careful. $es_f $n
Justin Pulitzer:
$ES_F Told ya! Price only got 1 tickets above & couldn’t sustain. MUST clear for higher. Below is iffy, choppy & has pullback potential. Keep it simple and visual.
Drumheller
Active Member
I wonder if they were originally going for a later date, but then saw Ford's new commercial and decided to do the call same day as Ford.
I'm inclined to agree with Tivo about a dip again between Q3 results and Q4. However, whenever I try to predict short term movement, I'm usually wrong. So maybe that means it won't happen.
As for the call... I have ONE meeting on my current schedule that cannot be rescheduled. Guess what day and time? I'll look for the recording after the fact.
I'm inclined to agree with Tivo about a dip again between Q3 results and Q4. However, whenever I try to predict short term movement, I'm usually wrong. So maybe that means it won't happen.
As for the call... I have ONE meeting on my current schedule that cannot be rescheduled. Guess what day and time? I'll look for the recording after the fact.
bdy0627
Active Member
Given the proximity to some key support levels, I'm pretty worried the market may not hold here. Once broken, it may fall a lot more than 1%. That's my worry anyway.
The stock is trading near its 52 week low. Tesla’s narrative is being run by shorts/media. I’d say things are looking rather bullish to me. Trade em well.
EVNow
Well-Known Member
Given what happened to Netflix - and my post above about SP coming back to original position rather quickly - the first point makes sense (if you are not really long).
Given the bearish market, the second point is quite likely as well.
TheTalkingMule
Distributed Energy Enthusiast
There is a LOT of institutional money on the sidelines. The tweet/short drama has clearly held back investment, but the M3 is moving now and profitability should be here. Even a moderate just in by institutional money should rationally squeeze us back up over the ATH. Seems logical to me.
One would think this quarter is atypical. Literally 75% increase in revenue in 3 months. It boggles the mind and really has the capacity to change A LOT of perceptions\assumptions (good or bad). Someone write a program to scan for the Q4 gross margin so I can algo trade on it. Greater than 20% buy, under 20% sell like crazy. Make sure it doesn't accidentally read the Q3 number. This isn't autopilot. These things are a matter of life and death and there is going to be NO hands on the wheel.
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