I would think the warmer winters would make for more precipitation in the form of thunderstorms instead of generic atmospheric rivers (like this great one we're in right now). There are some thunderstorms today, for instance. Those will increase the chance of hail. Not sure either way, but that's just my overall logic on how warmer winters will affect it. Of course, if we keep getting ridging in the Pacific, we'll have no precipitation at all, and maybe that's more what you're describing.I'm assuming this is true for Southern California also. And with the global warming we have seen already the last few winters are noticeable warmer here making any hail even rarer.
You're definitely right about the Sierras, though. Here's Tahoe in August 2014: