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I'm still hoping they can figure out how to get the "laser windshield wiper patent" productizedAnd in other news, this looks like a development mule!
I have calculated that if the current trend continues for the next 173 trading days, I will become the wealthiest person in the world.
The reason your prediction did not age well was because you made the classical mistake of assuming linear growth instead of thinking exponential when it comes to Tesla growth.Works well with my now 2 year old prediction:
For context, this rounds up to what was "expected":
11,670 insured units in China.
History:
Tesla MIC 31 Oct-6 Nov: 11,195
Tesla MIC 7-13 Nov: 13,939
Tesla MIC 14-20 Nov: 14,366
Tesla MIC 21-27 Nov: 16,121
Tesla MIC 28 Nov-4 Dec: 11,670
China insured units from 31 Oct-4 Dec: 67,291 units
Retail sales in October: 17,200 units
Quarter-to-date retail sales / insured units: 17,200+67,291= 84,491 units
(One day in October is counted twice, so around 2k units less: 82,500 units)
The incentive is for you not to wait around until Jan 1 when the IRA tax credits kick in. Looking to move 4Q production.Got a text message for 3750 discount for model three or model Y, if delivery before the end of the year, suggest either more incentives coming, or as in the past when they have offered an incentive/discount, a new product line or improvement is coming. With the advent of the semi and the cyber truck on the horizon, I still am curious to know how they are getting That range with those size vehicles. Of course, a larger battery would do it but that is heavier and a detriment to any EV. Perhaps the incentive is being given because next year‘s model three and model Y would have smaller batteries or have a similar size battery and longer range?
Based on Rob's calculations, there were 16k of inventory from previous month shipped or sold in China for NOV, that was how they got to 100k. So with that massive inventory draw down and they were shipping cars like crazy, they most likely ran out of inventory near month end for China. Plus severe lock downs climaxed as well.For context, this rounds up to what was "expected":
Don't think we can draw too much conclusions from this, neither should we. Short term data is so much noise, rather look at yearly numbers and add our own understanding of the technology, the people, the competition etc.
I do not think the FUD will diminish while media, including TV, radio, newspapers, social media, plus investment banks etc...all depend on revenue from advertising while politicians all depend on political contributions. Those activities are funded in turn by oil and gas, automakers and financial services.I have been thinking it may take further market disruption to occur, e.g., consolidation of auto makers, management shake-up in some legacy providers, and/or some companies ceasing to exist. Only then, will it be incontrovertible what is occurring, and I would expect FUD to no longer work. TL;DR - Tesla just needs to continue to execute, and eventually the market will catch up.
Why would people pay for disingenuous and faulty data analysis based on circumspect methods , Unless those paying patreons are shortzees and bears .Maybe Troy is indeed a Tesla bear. Why do people pay him to see some numbers that change all the time?
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So yet another Tesla specific problem that is actually impacting manufacturing and hiring across the entire Western World.Maybe Troy is indeed a Tesla bear. Why do people pay him to see some numbers that change all the time?
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Interesting that Rob Maurer really downplayed Tesla response last night. Sounded to me that he really doesnt believe what Tesla China said.Wonder if it would be source for a lawsuit if they previously acknowledged on-air that Tesla China refuted the claim. CNBS with the Cramer segment stated that Tesla said it was false.
If so, it would be awesome for the cameras, too.I'm still hoping they can figure out how to get the "laser windshield wiper patent" productized