Given the above, I'm not sure if an awakening of the masses will have that great of an effect on the stock. Of course there will be more buying interest, but possibly the investing part of the population is already with the program. In other words: if someone that never invests suddenly is amazed by Tesla in say 2025, he or she will not start buying stock. This same person was wowed by Amazon or Apple years before and stayed out of the stock market.
Terrific post!
Thinking about it I'm not sure I fully agree. Awakening of the masses won't occur in as short a timespan as awakening of the investment community. That the coiled spring has already sprung is clear so between these two any effect on the stock will be more gradual.
IMO that won't mean the effect won't be substantial if Tesla continues to do splits to hold SP to levels below what people with income to invest will see as too expensive for them.
I think you have left out one important consideration. How actually owning and/or driving a Tesla brings confidence investing is a smart idea and acting on it. Many here had the 'aha' moment soon after a test drive and/or buying their first Tesla. Likewise seeing Teslas every day at increasing frequency and knowing more owners. I'd also posit that awakening of the masses over the next few years will indirectly effect the SP because it will provide the ever increasing demand that will be needed to match the ever increasing supply as Tesla yearly production increases 50+ % each year. The masses will awaken to the investment potential of TSLA very quickly when they learn Model 2 is available and priced at 25K, making it affordable to tens of millions of new customers.