Almost 13 weeks in this quarter, and yes each week brings actual data (from some sources, not others) that can be used to further refine the forecast -- and still nobody had exact numbers. This is seriously exactly how forecasting works in any industry where I've seen forecasting used.Actuals… just like the insurance numbers from China and reliable delivery numbers from Europe, and the production milestones from Tesla are actual. By the end of the quarter, there isn’t a huge amount of mystery left. Roughly +-5%. His estimate wasn’t particularly good at any point in the quarter. Ironically it was closest about 1 week prior then he ruined that too.
For reference, the IR analyst consensus being cited was emailed out by Martin three days ago lol (from Gary Black)