Here's a weird anomaly for the August expiry...
View attachment 931291
Interesting. I wonder if Aug 125/215 Risk Reversal is a good play.
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Here's a weird anomaly for the August expiry...
View attachment 931291
With neutral IV, this is when that would trigger (used $4.05 put purchase price)BTO 50 x 6/16 100p @ $0.45.
Limit sell order set at $4.5
Closed the Call side just now for $0.75 eachJust opened some collars for next week -
STO $170C
BTO $160P
Net Credit of $0.07 each
Let's see how this works out on Monday!
You think we end the week over 165?Sold 10x -p160 and 20x -p165. Looking to sell a -p150 on further weakness.
You think we end the week over 165?
don't know about that but I think we'll see 169 before the week is over.You think we end the week over 165?
At one time I was selling/buying 100 ATM calls and closing after the SP had moved $2 or so .... which would give me $1 profit ($10k total). For a few days this would only take an hour or so. If SP went in the wrong direction I would double ...Today I discovered why trading ATM options can be very quickly profitable (or conversely, unprofitable).
(near-)ATM options 's are the way to go if you have a clue about what is about to happen during the day, I often do that (today following @dl003 's hunch, that is rolling out (but a bit stuck now above 160, while 157 is not reached yet, so I am in doubt what to do with my -C 170, that already have a nice profit. Waiting for 157 could end up being the wrong way, but I will wait another bit. (did some stock sells/buys too, nice gains, up 60 shares in 1 week)Today I discovered why trading ATM options can be very quickly profitable (or conversely, unprofitable). Looked at pre market this AM and guessed today would be a dump (instead of rise that I thought yesterday). So put in a STO -c165s at $4.20, and went back to bed, on the off chance we might get a brief spike at open. Well, it hit (morning high was about $4.25, so lucked out) while I was sleeping. Woke up about the MMD time, and put in BTC at $1.75, which also hit. So a quick $2.40 profit, probably my luckiest trade in months. Now waiting to resell similar CCs if we get an afternoon reversal, if not, well Not a problem because I’ve already made my monthly expenses. Unfortunately, still worried about those ICs if we drop any farther.
Sold 10x -c160 and 20x -c165. Looking to sell a -p150 on further weakness.
I am in agreement - got out of my bought $160P's this morning before lunch for $4.50 each instead of $5At this small of a degree I try not to rely too much on EWT as the small volume and high gyration can muddy the count. This purple sequence is wave 5 of C - the final drop. It could have been completed at 158.8 or working on wave 5 of one lower degree, targeting 157-156. All within a reasonable margin of error. Selling new calls here I think is ill-advised.