Sitting here waiting for this this to happen...have oct15 -830/880 CAnyway, all that was at $827, and here we’re are in the $830s now. There could still be an afternoon dip, but I’m good with it.
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Sitting here waiting for this this to happen...have oct15 -830/880 CAnyway, all that was at $827, and here we’re are in the $830s now. There could still be an afternoon dip, but I’m good with it.
My personal experience is to open the BPS (or naked put) position in the first half of the week prior to the strike date. If the stock is volatile you can time the long buy and short sell to squeeze a little more premiumFinished up my positioning for next week. Mix of 615-715, 630-730 BPS. I've also observed (as many others have today) that the ones I opened 2 days ago are up around 50% already, while those opened yesterday are at 35%, those opened earlier today much less - of course.
That leads me to my obvious take from all this, which is I need to do a better job of just taking the profit on these spreads earlier than i have been. I've been waiting to see 80-90% profit, which generally means i'm closing on thurs/fri of expiration week. I need to adjust my outlook and start looking to close much more aggressively. Lots of folks on this thread have been talking about this lately, but the numbers today helped drive that home. If I had closed everything for 10/15 at 70% (ish), i would have been out wednesday and back into next week's spreads much earlier, which would already be at a much higher profit %. I could then more easily take advantage of closing them early and re-opening on a dip, or rolling them into narrower spreads for more leverage similar to what adiggs posted just above.
so more profit, and at the same time there's some risk reduction in that a spread a close and take profit from can't later reverse and become a problem.
I know this is probably obvious to most people here, but I wanted to write it out anyway - partially for myself, but also in case there are others working through the same ideas.
Yes. 1x 630/730 became 1x680/730 + 1x700/750. Net added 2.50 in doing so.Just to confirm, for this to work you had to double the number of contracts?
Huh, that's also a 680/750 and a 700/730. Much movement in middle.Yes. 1x 630/730 became 1x680/730 + 1x700/750. Net added 2.50 in doing so.
REALLY REALLY NOT-ADVICE
As I count things this is the #2 management technique used on BPS going against (where #1 is a roll that maintains the spread size). Here I'm using the management technique to generate some additional income, which also means that it won't be available should I experience a significant move against me. It's not free money - it's never free money, but I like the risk / reward for me in this position change.
At risk is 675-620=55*100=$5,500 per contract.So let me get this straight before I pull the trigger.
I have a 10/22 BPS entered at the 675/620 strikes. The legs are saying 2.85 and 1.62 at the moment.
So I'll collect $114 premium per spread, and I calculate my max loss as $2.85 - $1.62 = $1.23? Is this correct?
So max loss is $123 per contract? This means that my buying power reduces by only $123 per spread?
So I could hypothetically trade 1,000 of these 10/22 675/620 BPS and only use up $123,000 of my buying power??? While immediately getting $114k of premium???
If I'm doing my math right, this is ridiculous. It lowers my risk compared to just selling cash secured puts for the same amount of buying power and increases my potential profit by this much?!
Ah okay I see. Spread width is calculated by strike prices, not net credit/debit. This makes more sense. So my hypothetical max loss is $5.5M (dohoho) and that means buying power needed is uh $5.5M. Thank you.At risk is 675-620=55*100=5,500 per contract.
If you were doing a bear debit put spread, your at risk would be the ~123 (ask vs bid shifts things) you pay.Ah okay I see. Spread width is calculated by strike prices, not net credit/debit. This makes more sense. So my hypothetical max loss is $5.5M (dohoho) and that means buying power needed is uh $5.5M. Thank you.
This is one of those things I have been reading about in this thread for a while and it just never really clicked, until it did. I had rolled up whole spreads for more profit, but not played with adjusting spread size and contract numbers.Yes. 1x 630/730 became 1x680/730 + 1x700/750. Net added 2.50 in doing so.
REALLY REALLY NOT-ADVICE
As I count things this is the #2 management technique used on BPS going against (where #1 is a roll that maintains the spread size). Here I'm using the management technique to generate some additional income, which also means that it won't be available should I experience a significant move against me. It's not free money - it's never free money, but I like the risk / reward for me in this position change.
Been following this thread for a while. As the thread evolved it appears that people moved away from selling covered calls and cash covered puts, to start selling spreads. Mainly BPS (bull put spreads). Is that correct? and can someone explain how that is superior to just selling covered calls and cash covered puts?
Holding all 10/22 -p700/+p600 into next week. If we keep going up, I am thinking about selling far OTM BCS to make an iron condor, rather than chasing the SP up with higher strike put spreads.
My guess is the ER will be great but the SP reaction will be muted, especially if we keep climbing into the ER.
Covered calls = not ideal, because stock very likely to go up with all the catalyst on the horizon (Q3 earnings and then Q4 earning) and Austin and Berlin GF coming online.Been following this thread for a while. As the thread evolved it appears that people moved away from selling covered calls and cash covered puts, to start selling spreads. Mainly BPS (bull put spreads). Is that correct? and can someone explain how that is superior to just selling covered calls and cash covered puts?
I've been selling covered calls for about 8 months now with decent profits. But wonder If I could be doing a more profitable / less risky strategy.
Thank you
Thank you. I figured that was the answer but wanted to confirm. So instead of selling covered calls each week, it would make more sense for me to sell bull call spreads?
Well here's an example, from tonights option chain, for oct22.Been following this thread for a while. As the thread evolved it appears that people moved away from selling covered calls and cash covered puts, to start selling spreads. Mainly BPS (bull put spreads). Is that correct? and can someone explain how that is superior to just selling covered calls and cash covered puts?
I've been selling covered calls for about 8 months now with decent profits. But wonder If I could be doing a more profitable / less risky strategy.
Thank you