Tesla Model X Tally Statistics as of May 31, 2015
27,393 Global Tally Total / 23,150 Estimated Total (net of cancellations)
[SUP][SUB]*[/SUB][/SUP]
May 2015
| Rolling Averages
| Lifetime Averages
|
933 (30.1 / day)
- Canada: 4.0 /day
- USA: 21.8 / day
- Euro: 4.0 / day
- Asia Pacific: 0.3 / day
|
- 3 Months: 810 / month
- 6 Months: 708 / month
- 12 Months: 952 / month
|
- Monthly: 690.3
- Weekly: 159.3
- Daily: 22.7
|
View attachment 83267
Stats by Region
Region
| Tally
on
May 31
| Tally
on
Apr 30
| Tally
on
Mar 31
|
Tally
on
Feb 28 |
Tally
on
Jan 31 |
Tally
on
Dec 31 | | May
per
Day
| Apr
per
Day
| Mar
per
Day
| Feb
per
Day
| Jan
Per
Day
| Dec
Per
Day
| | Lifetime
Average
Per Day
| Lifetime
Average
Per Month
|
Canada
| 1,139
| 1,016
| 1,016
| 1,016
| 973
| 973
| | 4.0
| 0.0
| 0.0
| 1.5
| 0.0
| 1.9
| | 0.9
| 26.3
|
US
| 19,171
| 18,494
| 17,916
| 17,337
| 16,994
| 16,544
| | 21.8
| 19.3
| 18.7
| 12.3
| 15.0
| 11.9
| | 15.7
| 478.3
|
European
| 4,305
| 4,182
| 4,080
| 3,929
| 3,672
| 3,672
| | 4.0
| 3.4
| 4.9
| 9.2
| 0.0
| 2.8
| | 3.6
| 108.2
|
Asia Pacific
| 2,778
| 2,768
| 2,749
| 2,680
| 2,454
| 2,454
| | 0.3
| 0.6
| 2.2
| 8.1
| 0.0
| 0.0
| | 2.4
| 71.6
|
Global
| 27,393
| 26,460
| 25,761
| 24,962
| 24,093
| 23,643
| | 30.1
| 23.3
| 25.8
| 31.0
| 15.0
| 16.6
| | 22.5
| 684.4
|
Estimated Cancellations[SUP]1[/SUP] | 4,243
| 4,223
| 4,203
| 4,183
| 4,163
| 4,143
| | | | | | | | | | |
Estimated Totals[SUP]2[/SUP]
| 23,150
| 22,237
| 21,558
| 20,779
| 19,930
| 19,500
| | | | | | | | | | |
* Disclaimers
- This collection of the numbers is gathered from posts by members on various threads and other forums. Please note: these aren't official numbers, and are to be taken with a grain of salt. Do not rely upon the total of production + signature numbers in any way as those who have upgraded from a production reservation to a signature reservation have been counted twice. Cancellations after December 31 are guesstimates.
- North America: Signatures assumed sold out as of March 26, 2014 and perhaps limited to 1,200.
- Europe: Signatures assumed sold out as of November 10, 2014 and perhaps limited to 500.
Footnotes
1. Estimated 19,500 net reservations as of Dec 31, 2014 as per Q4 report of having "almost 20,000" on the books. Result:19,500 out of 23,643 = ~ 17.52% up to this date are likely cancelled.
2. Estimated Cancellations after December 31, 2014, currently estimated at 20/month.
For those of you unschooled in the art of Model X chart analysis, let me be of service (Paul, you may have to start another thread, like the Technical Analysis thread in the Investor's section).
1. We are about the have a "Blue Diamond" Cross - and extremely bullish chart formation where the Global Monthly Reservations line crosses the 12-month rolling average.
2. We see the beginnings of the strong "Everest Formation" with the third and most powerful peak forming its left-hand ascent. Bears will I'm sure (incorrectly) view this current pattern as forming a "right-shoulder" for a classic
investing Head-and-Shoulders formation leading to a steep drop....sorry boot-camps, this is Model X chart analysis, not investment chart analysis. The third Peak in a classic "Everest Formation" usually is marked by the exponential nature of the ascent and the staggering heights of its peak.
3. If you look very closely, you will note both the "Unicorn formation" galloping across the entire chart, the obvious signs Daenerys should have never trusted those Meereens, and that your lucky numbers are 7, 23, 29 and 47....all prime.
But seriously, thanks to Paul for keeping this up. I do believe in the "Everest Formation". The Model S US Reservation rate hit a peak of 270/day on December 31, 2012. That was with:
1. No other models in the wild
2. No supercharger network
3. No international reservations
4. Little brand awareness
5. No International deliveries
6. No Falcon-wing doors
All are important, but the last one is being underestimated. There is no production vehicle with those doors and the first time a Model X rolls up at the grocery store, school, the country club - and those doors open like a shuttle craft from Star Trek the Mt. Everest chart becomes more like a SpaceX launch. What do many rich people want 1. Something that only they can have or is scarce 2. Something that is unique and displays their status 3. Something cool. The Model X is all of these.
I have no Crystal Ball but I will put the peak of the "Mt. Everest/SpaceX" liftoff in December of 2015 and will further hazard that in the month we will hit a peak of 600/day and will have over 6,000 reservations in the month....now wouldn't that be a sight to see.
"Houston....we have liftoff."