Hi everybody. UK 2015 numbers were just published today. There has been a huge increase in Q4. With 800 units in Q4 registrations were more than double the estimate. Compared to 347 units in Q4 2014, that's an increase of 231%. Here is how the situation looks like:
Source (Excel file from gov.uk, 14 Apr 2016 )
You can find the latest 2015 EU sales table HERE. In that table you can see the UK was the second best performing country in Europe in Q4.
Inside the source file it says next update will be in June 2016. We won't know Q1 numbers until then. We need to use estimates. So I looked at Tesla's sales distribution in Europe in each quarter in 2015. It looks like this:
21% 3,453 Q1
23% 3,904 Q2
21% 3,517 Q3
35% 5,826 Q4
100% 16,700 2015
Based on that my estimate is (3453/5826)*800= 474 units for Q1 2016 UK (monthly average= 158 units). We can use this number until the update in June.
Source (Excel file from gov.uk, 14 Apr 2016 )
You can find the latest 2015 EU sales table HERE. In that table you can see the UK was the second best performing country in Europe in Q4.
Inside the source file it says next update will be in June 2016. We won't know Q1 numbers until then. We need to use estimates. So I looked at Tesla's sales distribution in Europe in each quarter in 2015. It looks like this:
21% 3,453 Q1
23% 3,904 Q2
21% 3,517 Q3
35% 5,826 Q4
100% 16,700 2015
Based on that my estimate is (3453/5826)*800= 474 units for Q1 2016 UK (monthly average= 158 units). We can use this number until the update in June.
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