neroden
Model S Owner and Frustrated Tesla Fan
It's barely even work to build your own desktop computer these days. I don't like doing the delicate gluing part, so I get the main chip pre-attached to the motherboard... the rest of it is snap-together kit, though, anyone can assemble it.
Very few people want to do the work to make a home conversion; I think the existence of factory EVs certainly reduced the demand. Those who like doing the work will keep doing it. And I suspect that there will be a mini-boom in "kit" conversions for a few years (which will eventually die off).
There will be a year when the masses see the writing on the wall and realize that gasoline cars are obsolete; when gasoline stations are closing fast enough that it's getting hard to refuel gasoline cars. Those who can afford them will buy new electric cars. Many of the remainder will buy used electric cars. This will bid up the price of used electric cars. But at the bottom of the market, there's going to be a market for cheaper options, and I suspect small shops will pop up with conversion kits for the most common chassis still on the road, or the ones with the most emotional attachment. (What *are* the most common chassis, anyway?.... goes to check...)
Ford F-150. If Ford doesn't manage to make an all-electric F-150, I would expect to see a conversion kit appear. Chevy Silverado, ditto.
Very few people want to do the work to make a home conversion; I think the existence of factory EVs certainly reduced the demand. Those who like doing the work will keep doing it. And I suspect that there will be a mini-boom in "kit" conversions for a few years (which will eventually die off).
There will be a year when the masses see the writing on the wall and realize that gasoline cars are obsolete; when gasoline stations are closing fast enough that it's getting hard to refuel gasoline cars. Those who can afford them will buy new electric cars. Many of the remainder will buy used electric cars. This will bid up the price of used electric cars. But at the bottom of the market, there's going to be a market for cheaper options, and I suspect small shops will pop up with conversion kits for the most common chassis still on the road, or the ones with the most emotional attachment. (What *are* the most common chassis, anyway?.... goes to check...)
Ford F-150. If Ford doesn't manage to make an all-electric F-150, I would expect to see a conversion kit appear. Chevy Silverado, ditto.