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Coal has too little hydrogen per carbon to extract H2 from it (economically speaking). It is so much easier to make gasoline, diesel and jet fuel from coal than making H2 or CH4. It might make sense to make butane from coal since it has much more Carbon per Hydrogen than methane (C4H10)...

Even with batteries that can't take all 135kWh its still handy cause one charger is shared among 2 stalls. Untapped capacity reduces the slowdown from simultaneous charges.

I heard that even that's not true anymore. Any F9 core can be configured to perform the job of either center or side cores of FH. That gives SpaceX massive flexibility. At the same time the biggest competitor of FH is F9 itself. It's lofting some significant payloads into sub GTO already. Lots...

This is so unfair. This needs a LOVE, INFORMATIVE, LIKE and HELPFUL upvotes just from me. :D

I agree it might take longer than expected, but the censorial input and processing power shouldn't be an issue. The key problem isn't having more input, but rather the wisdom to know what's safe and what isn't with existing inputs. And they massively beefed up processing power on the V2 upgrade.

I said I would do this until someone complained, someone complained, so good riddance !

As a current Tesla owner, Have you received your configuration email yet? Yes 196 vote(s) 65.1% No 105 vote(s) 34.9%

Perhaps it should be made clear... If you already have your Model 3, or already ordered it, its the same as I can configure... The goal is to measure how many people haven't been invited yet, vs those that have been invited or at any point beyond that. Well, that's my understanding anyways. The...

Hey if everybody assumed their errors, we could have a running count of the correction to the poll, in my book you're A OK bud !

I feel we need a Full USA owner poll instead. This one is already nearing 2/3s yes. The real number likely is already 3/4 yes or even more. With several analysts saying production is over 1000 units/wk and total production nearing 100 units, a California only poll is kind of outdated.

As a current Tesla owner, Have you received your configuration email yet? Yes 191 vote(s) 64.3% No 106 vote(s) 35.7%

I think the biggest smack down Tesla can do to gasoline cars is to achieve 10 million units/year production. Which would be nearly 10% of worldwide car production. Which with full autonomy could actually move the needle in decarbonization of the worldwide economy. You want Tesla to do it...

Ok, close enough, some people only got their invites a few days ago. So its likely safe to say there are still CA owners that haven't been allowed to configure, if some have only been allowed in the last few days. I mean if you own ONE MS/MX/RR it only applies to your first reservation. Your 2nd...

Is there any CA owner that has a reservation they can't order today ? Doesn't matter if you never got the invite e-mail, only if you go into your reservation and still can't order. It seems we still have CA owners that can't order yet.

If nobody opposes, I'll keep posting the up to date numbers every 10 days or so, so this thread pops up at the top again and people see it (and update the poll): As a current Tesla owner, Have you received your configuration email yet? Yes 180 vote(s) 61.9% No 111 vote(s) 38.1%

I think Elon time only applies to things claimed to be coming in 6 months or more. Its an issue with design and engineering, not with production execution. Before people say, but Model 3 problem is production. I really *think* its installation of new production equipment. Its training new people...

The funny part for those who really understand whats going on is everybody else really thinks the roadster is going to mars (to land or stay in orbit). Actually its so sad its funny !

A lot of people will say, great, one less person ahead of me. Go ahead an cancel ! I'm not one of them. I don't own a car. I bike and use borrowed cars in a year less than many of you use in a week.

Correct, but AFAIK 1-3-1 is the most aggressive in use. To my knowledge the 1-3-1 sequence is the most aggressive in use. The spacing between events is quite short. Little benefit to a pure 3 engine landing. And plenty of risks. Of course I'm not qualified to know if it actually makes sense at...

Look at the video and you will see the 1-3-1 landing sequence. The same one the center core was going to use. Its the most fuel efficient/aggressive one.

The pool is just if you received your configuration e-mail or better yet, if you can configure now (e-mail present or missing). In your case, you should answer yes. VIN/no VIN, delivery performed or delayed, doesn't mater.

TEA/TEB doesn't boil. Not my theory, but it makes perfect sense. TEA/TEB isn't dispensed in discrete shots, but rather dispensed until some parameters are hit, indicating combustion. The center core was going about Mach 1 faster than every previous recovery that worked. The re-entry burn used...

The roadster is just a cool mass simulator. Its batteries aren't used for anything. Apparently the stage and the roadster stay together forever. The reasoning is when a payload is ejected it receives something like 1 m/s separation push that sounds like little, but over a day it adds up to...

Posting a summary to pop the thread back to the top: As a current Tesla owner, Have you received your configuration email yet? Yes 176 vote(s) 61.5% No 110 vote(s) 38.5% I'm certain many people won't update the poll if the thread is among the dying threads. PS: Past 60%, yeay !

Its called the barbeque roll. Keep your payload/upper stage rotating so they don't get too much sun heat on one side and too cold on the other side, which can damage both pieces. Everything else is just a normal result of the BBQ roll.

Better. Quite a bit better. If I understood correctly, the apogee of the orbit was twice as much as a TMI. Keep in mind, this was a Block III/IV FH, and they limited thrust to reduce Max Q pressure. The next heavies, which will be all Block V, which using full performance likely would be able to...

TMI insertion successful: Tactical Sky Guy on Twitter Michael Baylor on Twitter No official confirmation from SpaceX or Elon Musk yet though.

5k/week is in the very best case Q3 2018. Right now the goal is to get to 2k/week, then 2.5k.

I suggest people stop using 3rd party M3 estimates. Please wait until end of Q1. I think Q4 2018 deliveries exceeded most people's expectations. 8 weeks and counting. I think Q1 numbers will exceed the pessimists predictions by a very wide margin. Probably will dissapoint the optimists (like me)...

The assumption that SRs will come before AWD or vice-versa shouldn't be taken as set in stone. Its just a plan. Right now they expect the overall production line to have spare capacity and spare parts but Lithium Ion cell supply to be the bottleneck. If that's the case, offering SRs would make...

You might not be depressed but you certainly are ridiculously pessimistic. So Tesla production levels aren't going to rise ? Whatever reason that's keeping production at 1000/wk isn't going to be solved ? You seem to have no understand of how businesses work. Things are never static. In the cast...

Garlan perhaps you haven't followed Tesla since before the Model S rollout. Tesla has pretty much accomplished everything they promissed up to about 3 years ago. The last 3 years worth of promisses are perhaps half done, the other half is underway. I don't see Tesla as any disappointment. If you...

Unless you've been living under a rock, you would have seen enough information to conclude this independently. Or you would have to assume most people are lying here. No I don't work at Tesla. That's the only way to explain why so many people get their VINs and bam, ready to deliver in a few...

Its not exactly stuck. It has been slowly advancing from 58, 59, 59.5, now 59.9%. Just slow going. I bet quite a few folks answered NO, but didn't realize they're not CA previous owners. Can someone UNVOTE ? I'm assuming no, which would explain at least some of those NO votes. I'm NOT saying its...

I would suggest that everybody that's able to configure will be able to order at the same time, but that delivery order will be employees first, owners next and non owners (if they have been invited to configure) last. I don't see a reason why AWD production will need a slow ramp up. Once...

Tesla isn't custom making your car. They are making large batches of cars of each configuration, then matching cars with orders. So you get your VIN much later than on the MS/MX process. When you get your VIN, your car should be ready for delivery within a few days to a week depending on how...

How many Tesla delivery centers apparently are delivering as many M3 as they can, like dozens a day ? Let's say 4 delivery centers, 25 a day per center, 7 days a week. That alone would come up at 100 cars/day or 700 cars/week, and that's not whats being built today, but rather what started...

In order to believe in 80k for 2018 you have to be blind to the information available or certain that Tesla can't raise production. Why it stops at 1000 or 1500/wk ????? The process of increasing production is the process of removing bottlenecks. Just because there's one today, it's not going to...

If you have the right to get a free PW2 installed, and you have ultra cheap "EV" off off peak electricity rates (say around 1/3 of peak rates) then you have every incentive to install your PW2 and set it to buy electricity in that off off peak rate, and discharge in more expensive periods. And...

I think a new poll is needed, one for the entire USA, existing owners, that says so at the title of the thread to avoid wrongful votes. Clearly invites are going out for the entire USA for existing owners. And even with the problems, this one is reaching 60%

Not fair, those that aren't getting a M3 don't have an answer and can't see the results. Do you really want us to polute the pool with a fake answer just to see the results ??????

There's a wide range of Giga Factory production targets. If they only manage the original 50GWh/yr its one thing, but if they manage the revised 150GW/yr target, its a whole different deal. Besides, Tesla CAN switch to only using 2170 but getting some from its own GF and the balance from 3rd...

2500 !

Wouldn't it make better sense to instead of having this yes/no question, instead have: No invite yet Invited Configured VIN received Delivered I suggest starting a poll thread with this configuration for entire USA. I'm not going to do it myself, since I'm not getting a M3 (live in Brazil for...

Which matches my prediction. Tesla has a delivery center in LA, they have a certain delivery capacity, so as long as there's enough production, they will keep sending invitations to keep their pipeline busy regardless if its previous owners or not. The delivery first for owners and non owners...

I think it makes sense Tesla will mostly follow their promises but not to the letter. If they promised to first deliver to MS/MX/Roadster owners in the USA, starting with California, then rest of west coast, ... They should mostly do this, BUT, I think they will start delivering to non owners in...

I think now that normal customer deliveries have started and we're just 10 days from 2018, this VIN thing has become kinda silly. Tesla will tell us how many M3s have been delivered for Q4'18 in 10 days. How about we wait for that ?

I think such a situation would last for a month or two at most. Model 3 cash flow economics is quite different from Model S. Volume is just as (or even more) important than the type of Model being offered. If the key was making the most expensive models first, Tesla would be delivering only dual...

Wish I could upvote LOVE, LIKE and INFORMATIVE at the same time ! Keep sending the deets !

Hope you and others that had their deliveries will gives in deeeeeeeppppppptttttthhhhh analysis of everything Model 3 ! Congratulations !