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Yes - just who is paying all these consultants for all these reports?
Respondents in Asia, China and Japan in particular, predict a higher penetration of fully electric vehicles than the global average by 2025; well over 50 percent of respondents from China expect that upwards of 11 to 25 percent (or 4 to 9 million vehicles) will be new car registrations for e-cars, while 46 percent of respondents from Japan predict that e-car registrations will exceed 25 percent. That is in contrast to the US, where nearly 50 percent believe new e-car registrations will account for only 6 to 10 percent by 2025.
in China and Japan where 33 percent and 46 percent of respondents, respectively, said that battery-electrified vehicles will be the most popular followed by fuel-cell vehicles.
... ( We're at less than 0.01% for EVs right now )....
Great way to introduce yourself. First of all, are you referring to the Model S battery pack at $40,000? Secondly, Tesla isn't going after the mass market with the Roadster or the Model S. The Nissan Leaf is attempting a more mass market car.The only means available for providing a good estimate of EV penetration in the years ahead would be knowledge of
what batteries will be like and , most importantly, cost (initial plus lifespan costs). Without that knowledge, which no one now possesses,
there is no valid means of predicting EV penetration. That goes for both sides of this issue. Someone mentioned that the Tesla has
"proven" the concept, but that's nonsense. Tesla has "proven" what everyone already knew - electric cars work (and have worked for
over 100 years). What Tesla hasn't proven (with its $40,000 battery pack) is that EVs are cheap enough to mass market. hasn't happened
and won't happen until battery prices decline by more than half the reported $535/kWhr Tesla's batteries cost. And Tesla can't do anything about that.
Tom gets an account and immediately spams every post in every thread related to FUD about EV cars. I think he's a troll.