We might be getting closer to the coast to coast demo. Back in Sept 2018, Musk said that a coast to coast demo would probably require V10 alpha build.
So looks like V10 that Musk said would be the version that could do the coast to coast is coming soon. V10 is expected to bring improvements to NOA on highway and traffic light and stop sign response.
Here's the issue I see with this line of thinking. V10 is (allegedly) introducing advanced summon. That can be best described as snail's pace, dumb self driving. If the only thing they can do is creep around a parking lot and get stuck from time to time, a coast-to-coast FSD drive isn't in the cards.
I wonder what "improvements to autopilot on highway" involve? Could Navigate on AP actually become L3+ on highway with V10?
Hopefully something like "Doesn't panic brake when approaching signs and overpasses" or "doesn't accelerate toward stopped traffic on the highway". Those would be great improvements.
I am not experiencing any phantom braking anymore.
Then you're driving extremely simplistic roads.
V10 would need to bring some big improvements to make NOA FSD on Highway but yes, I like to be optimistic.
They'd literally need to be solving problems that nobody has solved yet, and no researcher has had insight into what a possible solution would be. FSD is a long,
long time away. Navigate on Autopilot needs major improvements, none of which would make an appreciable dent in the "FSD" problem, but would seriously improve daily experience with NoAP.
I wonder if V10 will require AP3?
No. Tesla releases software to all their cars, they disable features different vehicles can't make use of (like AP3).
I am quite sure that as new FSD features come out and as the car is obliged to brake for more and more things, then
Phantom braking will get a lot worse before it gets better
That's just not what phantom braking means. As the vehicle detects more obstacles it'll need to brake and/or avoid them. But phantom braking is hitting the brakes for no reason. It's an error, and if it gets worse than it is now, it'll cause more serious collisions than it already has. That's simply not a viable option.
- winding hilly sub-urban roads where a car coming in the opposite direction could be seen coming straight at you
Hilly sub-urban and rural roads even without being windy cause severe phantom braking and even kick off AEB for me. When the car is driving down a decline and approaching an incline, it panic brakes 100% of the time. I can easily reproduce it on a test route I use. Obviously the radar unit is detecting a serious obstruction, and the cameras aren't consulted at all.
- going next to a backed up lane where there is some vehicle movement (so the car thinks someone is going to jump into car's lane)
I have the opposite problem. When traffic is backed up during rush hour, my car only uses the vehicle in front of me to handle braking and acceleration. So as the highway slows as a whole, a human driver would begin to slow down a bit anticipating a stop. My car doesn't do this and instead accelerates toward stopped traffic. Not fun.