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RobStark
Well-Known Member
Goodcarbadcar says they use Insideevs estimates for their Tesla numbers.
In return, Insideevs publishes articles using goodcarbadcar numbers to put EV numbers in segment context.
Kahneman's third criterion is incorrect: you can have non-immediate feedback and still develop intuition. I mean, this is even what happens in chess, where the feedback can be very slow: your incorrect move on move 3 can lead to trouble many many moves later, and even if you're playing by mail (which is very slow), you can still develop chess intuition. It's not easy, because it requires mentally keeping track of what you're doing, but the feedback doesn't need to be *immediate*, it just needs to be burned into your brain repeatedly with strong emotional content. Perhaps obsession is required in order to develop intuition from non-immediate feedback.
Kahneman also doesn't realize that the stock market actually does meet those criteria. It is most certainly sufficiently regular to develop expert intuition. You have to have studied a couple of hundred years of it, pretty obsessively, I'd say.
Peter Lynch got to the point where he trusted his intuition on stock picking. He also said that he was living, eating, breathing, and dreaming stock analysis. The patterns in the stock market are subtle and tricky -- it's like developing intuition about quantum mechanics or about psychology (I guess it is a limited form of psychology) -- it requires far *more* practice than in other areas. But it's possible.
Thanks, that's starting to make sense now. I guess they just didn't want to wait for InsideEVs and went with last month's number for now.
If we can't talk about issues that impact or may impact SP there isn't much left. You like Trump, many don't. Such is life.
My cognitive dissonance is Tesla vector is up while market vector is down. Seriously torn!!! Anyone else feel this way?
Hoping the pop comes before the crash, not so sure now which means we could ride this down yet one more time. Been here so many times makes me sick it might happen again. Peak $385, sell some to buy back at $305? Or you folks riding this one out too?
Timing here is pissing me off!
Hoping the pop comes before the crash, not so sure now which means we could ride this down yet one more time. Been here so many times makes me sick it might happen again. Peak $385, sell some to buy back at $305? Or you folks riding this one out too?
Timing here is pissing me off!
JRP3
Hyperactive Member
Artful Dodger
"Neko no me"
By Claudia Assis
There will be "limited impact" from competition on Tesla Inc. electric-vehicle sales as the car maker's brand strength and the gradual availability of cheaper Model 3 sedans undercut rivals, analyst Garrett Nelson at CFRA said in a note Tuesday. CFRA raised its rating on Tesla stock to buy from hold and increased its price target on the stock to $420 to $375. "We expect unit costs to continue to fall, reflecting improved operating efficiencies and fixed cost absorption," Nelson said. "We also view the U.S.-China 'tariff truce' as having positive gross margin implications." Shares of Tesla were flat in midday trading and have gained 15% this year, compared with advances of 1.6% and 1.7% for the S&P 500 index SPX, -2.74%.
There will be "limited impact" from competition on Tesla Inc. electric-vehicle sales as the car maker's brand strength and the gradual availability of cheaper Model 3 sedans undercut rivals, analyst Garrett Nelson at CFRA said in a note Tuesday. CFRA raised its rating on Tesla stock to buy from hold and increased its price target on the stock to $420 to $375. "We expect unit costs to continue to fall, reflecting improved operating efficiencies and fixed cost absorption," Nelson said. "We also view the U.S.-China 'tariff truce' as having positive gross margin implications." Shares of Tesla were flat in midday trading and have gained 15% this year, compared with advances of 1.6% and 1.7% for the S&P 500 index SPX, -2.74%.
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the emperor has no clothes. It's all fine in scripted pre-recorded TV, but in real life that just doesn't work.
todays moves are a BIT concerning, Ive been concerned about upcoming earnings recession beginning Q219, and possible technical recession similar or H219, but todays move is much more technical than everyone finally getting on board my thesis.
If you're bold, there are nice buying opportunities out there for swing trades. We'll redraw back to means or possibly higher by next week IMHO.
Btw, I was going to post earlier that we could go to 700 down today intraday, but I figured nobody would believe me. lesson learned.
sweter
Member
Green again (again).
I'd say TSLA is holding up nicely against the bloodbath.
Sold all my other stocks (5% of portfolio) for play money.
I'd say TSLA is holding up nicely against the bloodbath.
Sold all my other stocks (5% of portfolio) for play money.
TSLA’s relative strength is impressive here!
You've got to respect Trump's uncanny ability to personally select the most unsuitable candidates for each post in his regime.
*music notes* Hello 360, my old friend...
PaulRocket
Member
InsideEV estimates Model 3 November sales at 18,650.
Tesla Model 3 Sales Charge Way Past Milestone Of 100,000 In U.S.
Tesla Model 3 Sales Charge Way Past Milestone Of 100,000 In U.S.
"But now, there’s a new #3 as sales of the Model 3 begin to tick upwards again as the quarter moves on. For November,InsideEVs estimates Tesla sold 18,650 Model 3 in the U.S. (*this figure doesn’t include Canada)."
Tesla Model 3 Sales Charge Way Past Milestone Of 100,000 In U.S.
Tesla Model 3 Sales Charge Way Past Milestone Of 100,000 In U.S.
I predicted *that* more than a year ago
(Specifically that Tesla would hold its value or go up during any upcoming stock market drop; I did not predict the timing of the stock market drop)
I do think there are people actively trying to keep TSLA below $360. I still think they won't give up until March. At this point it looks like they may be overwhelmed, though.
We got an upgrade... Tesla stock upgraded to buy at CFRA
From HOLD 375 to BUY 420
There will be "limited impact" from competition on Tesla Inc. TSLA, +0.41%electric-vehicle sales as the car maker's brand strength and the gradual availability of cheaper Model 3 sedans undercut rivals, analyst Garrett Nelson at CFRA said in a note Tuesday. CFRA raised its rating on Tesla stock to buy from hold and increased its price target on the stock to $420 to $375. "We expect unit costs to continue to fall, reflecting improved operating efficiencies and fixed cost absorption," Nelson said. "We also view the U.S.-China 'tariff truce' as having positive gross margin implications." Shares of Tesla were flat in midday trading and have gained 15% this year, compared with advances of 1.6% and 1.7% for the S&P 500 index SPX, -2.64% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. DJIA, -2.67%
From HOLD 375 to BUY 420
There will be "limited impact" from competition on Tesla Inc. TSLA, +0.41%electric-vehicle sales as the car maker's brand strength and the gradual availability of cheaper Model 3 sedans undercut rivals, analyst Garrett Nelson at CFRA said in a note Tuesday. CFRA raised its rating on Tesla stock to buy from hold and increased its price target on the stock to $420 to $375. "We expect unit costs to continue to fall, reflecting improved operating efficiencies and fixed cost absorption," Nelson said. "We also view the U.S.-China 'tariff truce' as having positive gross margin implications." Shares of Tesla were flat in midday trading and have gained 15% this year, compared with advances of 1.6% and 1.7% for the S&P 500 index SPX, -2.64% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. DJIA, -2.67%
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