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I respect Eberhard - his openness in the early days was something that drew me to Tesla. He seemed like a good guy to boot. He was the early face of Tesla for sure.

One of the conflicts that was not mentioned in the article was the conflict around hybrid vs EV. My memory may be off, but I think Martin was pushing for compromise to get quicker mainstream acceptance and offer a hybrid option, and Elon (and the board?) put his foot down and insisted that Tesla must be 100% EV only. That may be the first that I remember Elon coming into the picture as a leader. As much as I respect and admire Eberhard as a person, I'm grateful that Elon won that argument - he took Tesla farther than Eberhard would have. But please correct me if I'm wrong - it's many years ago!

The two personalities are so different, it's no wonder they couldn't work together (though it sounds like Eberhard has a hard time with the politics required to work with big egos in the auto industry in general)... My job involves helping people understand disparate personalities using a cognitive function model - I see this a lot in both businesses and families. A lot of conflict could be managed more and be less destructive (even very constructive) if we understood specifically how others uniquely perceive the world and gather data, and how we use different criteria in decision-making.

I wish Eberhard all the best, and he's probably better off not getting sucked into sugar by media that just wants to use him as clickbait. (But I think it's also meaningful for people not to forget his contributions, so I hardly blame him).
I also believe Elon has alleged that he misrepresented (or was unaware of) the financial health of the company, and he had to fire him and take over, else the company would likely go bankrupt.
 
So... Tesla releases an OTA upgrade/update in mid-April that addresses and "corrects" the anomalies pointed out by the NHTSA. If Tesla "fixes" them to their satisfaction, then what will the NHTSA do? Apologize? Come out with an endorsement of AP and FSD? Nothing? I mean looking at the 4 main problems, they seem trivial (except for perhaps the lane change issue) and easily modified by Tesla. Are there any analogies for actions taken by NHTSA when other "recalls" have fixed similar issues?

Any input will be appreciated!
These problems were present in the past. But now more people have access. It remains a beta implementation, but if it is even half better than a human then that would imply fewer accidents. NHTSA responding with directed questions and faults is great, instead of saying the whole system should be shut down.
 
These problems were present in the past. But now more people have access. It remains a beta implementation, but if it is even half better than a human then that would imply fewer accidents. NHTSA responding with directed questions and faults is great, instead of saying the whole system should be shut down.
I concur completely (see my previous comment comparing NHTSA to a financial auditor). But what I'm curious about is what will their response be when TSLA corrects all their issues? Say nothing? Issue a report card? Or will it be up to Tesla to issue a press release stating all issues have been addressed and they have NHTSA's blessing?
 
I concur completely (see my previous comment comparing NHTSA to a financial auditor). But what I'm curious about is what will their response be when TSLA corrects all their issues? Say nothing? Issue a report card? Or will it be up to Tesla to issue a press release stating all issues have been addressed and they have NHTSA's blessing?
There will be many edge cases, but NHTSA will need to adapt its own metrics and testing to tesla's system and many others coming as well. On the pathway to blessing would be third party validation of improved safety and decreased accidents using the system, much like a financial auditor.
 
There will be many edge cases, but NHTSA will need to adapt its own metrics and testing to tesla's system and many others coming as well. On the pathway to blessing would be third party validation of improved safety and decreased accidents using the system, much like a financial auditor.
NHTSA should recall every system and hold them to be as reliable as Tesla's system first before going after Tesla. This was complete utter BS. My friends Volvo will run into cars in front of him 50% of the time in stop and go traffic with their Volvo motion or whatever it is on and yet zero recalls.
 
Previously Tesla said 285K purchased FSD and can request for the beta. And since employees get beta for free, they are part of the 362,758 that can have access but not part of the 285K that purchased. The remaining are customers who purchased FSD between December 29 and February 16.

I think you are mistaken about "purchased". What is relevant is whether the car has a version of FSD Beta installed (or pending install). Those who have purchased FSD, but have some other version of the firmware installed, are obviously not going to get a "recall" update.

People who have FSD but have not requested FSD Beta, and people who have been suspended from the Beta are clearly members of this no recall group.
 
I concur completely (see my previous comment comparing NHTSA to a financial auditor). But what I'm curious about is what will their response be when TSLA corrects all their issues? Say nothing? Issue a report card? Or will it be up to Tesla to issue a press release stating all issues have been addressed and they have NHTSA's blessing?
It’s just a recall. Normal processes, same as anything else.

I just read through the regulations and it looks like Tesla is just responsible for executing the remedy and providing quarterly reports until all affected vehicles have been fixed.

Here’s the relevant section. (I’m not a lawyer and this is the first time I’ve read this part of the CFR.)

Let’s look at the actual recall report.

Basically it went:
  1. Since Aug 2021, discussion and engineering analysis between Tesla and NHTSA about Autopilot and FSD Beta
  2. NHTSA provided specific FSD concerns in January
  3. Tesla disagreed but voluntarily recalled anyway to be extra careful
Chronology :

- On January 25, 2023, as part of regular ongoing communications between Tesla and NHTSA relating to Autopilot and FSD Beta, NHTSA advised Tesla that it had identified potential concerns related to certain operational characteristics of FSD Beta in four specific roadway environments

- In the following days, NHTSA and Tesla met numerous times to discuss the Agency’s concerns and Tesla’s proposed over-the-air (“OTA”) improvements in response.
The information contained in this report was submitted pursuant to 49 CFR §573

- On February 7, 2023, while not concurring with the agency’s analysis, Tesla decided to administer a voluntary recall out of an abundance of caution.
- As of February 14, 2023, Tesla has identified 18 warranty claims, received between May 8, 2019, and September 12, 2022, that may be related to the conditions described above. Tesla is not aware of any injuries or deaths that may be related to such conditions.

On August 13, 2021, NHTSA’s Office of Defects Investigation (ODI) opened a Preliminary Evaluation (PE21-020) to assess the performance of Tesla’s Autopilot system (a system characterized by Tesla as an SAE Level 2 driving automation system designed to support and assist the driver in performing the driving task) available in Tesla vehicles. The investigation opening was motivated by an accumulation of crashes in which Tesla vehicles, operating with Autopilot engaged, struck stationary in-road or roadside first responder vehicles tending to pre-existing collision scenes. Upon opening the investigation, NHTSA indicated that the PE would also evaluate additional similar circumstance crashes of Tesla vehicles operating with Autopilot engaged, as well as assess the technologies and methods used to monitor, assist, and enforce the driver’s engagement with the dynamic driving task during Autopilot operation.

PE21-020 is upgraded to an Engineering Analysis (EA) to extend the existing crash analysis, evaluate additional data sets, perform vehicle evaluations, and to explore the degree to which Autopilot and associated Tesla systems may exacerbate human factors or behavioral safety risks by undermining the effectiveness of the driver’s supervision. In doing so, NHTSA plans to continue its assessment of vehicle control authority, driver engagement technologies, and related human factors considerations.

The attached Detailed Summary further describes NHTSA’s review to date and the basis for upgrade to an EA.
The actual engineering report is available but with a service fee.
 
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You cannot hold funds like these long term. There is time decay. This is a big mistake.

Better to use these products to short instead.
What's long term? If you held TQQQ for 11.5 years from 2010 to mid 2021 you'd have been up about 100x vs. 9x for QQQ. That volatility hurts you just as much in a down market, for sure. Just like anything in investing, timing matters. Most people find it much easier to take profits in that sort of ETF than a company they believe in deeply. At least that's true in my case.
 
I'm pretty sure it would have delivered the Roadster. Then he would have sold the company to the highest bidder and moved on. That's been Eberhard's MO as a serial entrepreneur since he first started doing it -- come up with an idea. build it to the first delivery. sell.

In pretty much all cases, the company that bought it didn't know how to get to the next level, so it died. Even the Rocket e-book, which pretty much created the e-reader market died once it got bought by Gemstar.
To me, that's been Musk's huge contribution -- that he had a vision beyond that first delivery and was willing to push it to that vision.

Absolutely. Musk's tenacity is underappreciated. As is his fund raising acumen. Automotive and rockets are hugely capital intensive industries. Being able to raise lots of money to keep these companies not only surviving but exponentially growing is massively impressive. People denigrate him as a "snake oil salesman", but you have to be willing to convince people of outlandish things to get the investment money.

And then there's his ability to hire incredible talent. Once again, it is fashionable to ding him for firing people on the spot. Yet somehow really good engineers and managers mange to not get fired and thrive (until they burn out) at his companies.
 
Thanks mate. So in other words, NHTSA has no responsibility to state that a recall has been completed/corrected, only if it hasn't?

I'm in agreement with @larmor 's statement above that new metrics need to be developed for systems like Tesla's, along with lesser ones like the Volvo one that @Singuy just described. A kind of report card if you will. With all the competing systems out there currently and the ones yet to come, it would be a boon to consumers and I would much rather have the NHTSA create something similar than Consumer Reports.

Edit:. Responded to the wrong person! Sorry @SmokyPeat
 
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Good time to raise awareness that:

1) NHTSA has jurisdiction only over the USA.

Worst case regulatory scenario is FSD gets level 5 ready in America but then NHTSA prohibits it. However, Canada would get FSD some months later. Then Europe etc. Hard to keep justifying to American voters for long if it keeps working well elsewhere. It would really just be a minor delay in the grand scheme of things.

2) NHTSA regulations are required by law (Federal Register :: Request Access) to meet the need for motor vehicle safety and Tesla could fight any unreasonable rules in federal appellate court.

NHTSA, just as with other federal regulators like the FAA or FDA, is authorized to make rules only inasmuch as the actual law allows. NHTSA can’t just arbitrarily do whatever they want to satisfy political desires of the Executive Branch of the federal government. This is part of the system of checks and balances.

US law specifies that the goal is to “prescribe motor vehicle safety standards” so as to “reduce traffic accidents and deaths and injuries resulting from traffic accidents.” “Each standard shall be practicable, [and] meet the need for motor vehicle safety…”

motor vehicle safety
(9) “motor vehicle safety” means the performance of a motor vehicle or motor vehicle equipment in a way that protects the public against unreasonable risk of accidents occurring because of the design, construction, or performance of a motor vehicle, and against unreasonable risk of death or injury in an accident, and includes nonoperational safety of a motor vehicle.

(underline emphasis mine)

A person adversely affected by an order prescribing a motor vehicle safety standard under this chapter may apply for review of the order by filing a petition for review in the court of appeals of the United States…”

Tesla has all the data and I’d have to imagine this would be pretty straightforward to argue in court if it came to that. Since the goal is officially to reduce traffic accidents and resulting injuries and deaths, Tesla could present overwhelmingly conclusive data showing that level 5 FSD would do so. If and when Tesla gets FSD to that level of capability , they’ll have like 100M+ miles of recent data to show. I’m not an attorney so I might be misinterpreting this but that’s how I’m reading it.
 
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My memory may be off, but I think Martin was pushing for compromise to get quicker mainstream acceptance and offer a hybrid option, and Elon (and the board?) put his foot down and insisted that Tesla must be 100% EV only. That may be the first that I remember Elon coming into the picture as a leader. As much as I respect and admire Eberhard as a person, I'm grateful that Elon won that argument - he took Tesla farther than Eberhard would have. But please correct me if I'm wrong - it's many years ago!
You could be correct but I don't remember that discussion.
 
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Former Tesla CEO shares his thoughts on the company

Does any reasonable evaluation reach any other conclusion than Tesla would have folded before delivering even the Roadster had he stayed in charge?
The difference between Wozniak and Eberhard in a nutshell: Woz delivered.

He’s proved over and over in the years since that he’s a kook who shouldn’t be taken too seriously, but nobody doubts that he was a vital part of Apple in the beginning.

Eberhart was gone before their first product was out the door. Seems like the most generous thing you can say is he had some good ideas when it mattered but he failed to execute.
 
Interesting that the law states:
US law specifies that the goal of NHTSA is to “prescribe motor vehicle safety standards” so as to “reduce traffic accidents and deaths and injuries resulting from traffic accidents.” “Each standard shall be practicable, [and] meet the need for motor vehicle safety…”
I would think that a review of all vehicles sold in the US with an augmented cruise control should have "motor vehicle safety standards" prescribed to them. Obvious these vary considerably, from just an adaptive CC to Level 2 systems like offered by Tesla, but if the AP and FSD are subject to a recall, surely some of the others should be as well. Certainly people have had issues with these and not just BEV's. Pardon my ignorance, but what are the systems from GM, Toyota, et al, rated at? Level 2? Is there a Level 1?
 
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I also believe Elon has alleged that he misrepresented (or was unaware of) the financial health of the company, and he had to fire him and take over, else the company would likely go bankrupt.
Elon says many things, you know the phrase about history being written by the victors? I remember Elon insisting on lowering the door sill of the Roadster, a costly redesign which delayed the vehicle. Who knows how many other such events took place?