Tesla owner configurations begin

[smartypnz]

Interesting that the minimum amount of data still shows a somewhat healthy chunk of invites. Of course we are only seeing member results and even then it could be missing a few that don't, for some reason, wish to post.

If there were only 130 here, then one could conceivably speculate 200 - 300 in the real world (not counting those that passed on the invite - which probably is a higher number on the second wave due to uncertainties of the tax situation).

Just how many Tesla sent out is a curiosity; given they took the chance that all may accept putting them in a crunch to fulfill the 4 week delivery estimate.

I would guess the Delivery Specialists will be under some pressure - and it's just beginning.

 

[llngoc]

Did anyone notice that their "Manage" button on My Tesla page turned from red to black? I noticed it just 1-2 days ago, I wonder if it signifies anything. I have a Powerwall 2 reservation and it was red then turns into black after Tesla sent me a reservation agreement. It seems like it does mean something when the color changes.

Or am I just reading into it too much?

 

[JenniferQ]

Sometimes red, sometimes all black. Who knows with Tesla?? And I for sure know nothing is happening with that Roadster for a long time.

 

[Mika]

I bet it means nothing, but yes, my button changed from red to black during this most recent wave, and I'm also a bay area current owner. Now if someone still has a red button, I'd think there could be something to it...

 

[ccutrer]

My solar roof went from red to black a few months ago, and my model 3 went from red to black within the last 24-48 hours. Nothing else seems to have changed.

 

[rxlawdude]

If we do not see any 12-09 invites going out, then the next data point is days between batches of invites. It was 15 days from 11-22 until 12-07. Of course we have the Holidays approaching and F***ing things up

There's a high likelihood that Tesla is not sending invites out on weekends, so I would expect nothing until 12/11.

 

[run-the-joules]

There's a high likelihood that Tesla is not sending invites out on weekends, so I would expect nothing until 12/11.

I don't know what makes me more uncomfortable: The idea of a broken automated system being responsible for how badly they're handling this situation… but also means they might send out invites on any day, or the idea that there is a human actively screwing everything up but he's got the weekend off and maybe someone might realize how screwed up it us before he goes back to creating chaos.

 

[gdouglas70]

Did anyone notice that their "Manage" button on My Tesla page turned from red to black? I noticed it just 1-2 days ago, I wonder if it signifies anything. I have a Powerwall 2 reservation and it was red then turns into black after Tesla sent me a reservation agreement. It seems like it does mean something when the color changes.

Or am I just reading into it too much?

Non owner, no invite. changed to black also.

 

[smak]

I don't know what makes me more uncomfortable: The idea of a broken automated system being responsible for how badly they're handling this situation… but also means they might send out invites on any day, or the idea that there is a human actively screwing everything up but he's got the weekend off and maybe someone might realize how screwed up it us before he goes back to creating chaos.

They're handling this just fine.

 

[run-the-joules]

They're handling this just fine.

How do you explain owners of a single tesla configuring multiple model 3 orders before other owners who waited in line in the Bay Area are getting their first invite?

 

[cpa]

I think the frequency and quantity of invites will be proportional to the availability of materials. We do not know how many battery packs are being manufactured each day at the Gigafactory. We do not know the frequency of transport from the Gigafactory to Tesla. Do they go by truck or rail? (Maybe you know, but I do not.) There could be parts from other manufacturers that are on back order or have to be reworked.

As others have posited, perhaps Tesla is working out the kinks in the manufacturing process, and this is taking longer than originally anticipated.

We ordered online around 7:35-7:40; we own a Model S; we live about 150 miles via road from Fremont. We have heard nothing as yet. My wife and I have a bet--I say we will receive the invitation in mid-January; she is holding out for early February.

 

[smartypnz]

How do you explain owners of a single tesla configuring multiple model 3 orders before other owners who waited in line in the Bay Area are getting their first invite?

First, I don't believe everything I read here without plausible proof. And then, I think that Tesla indicated that they would 'focus' on those delivery sequence 'rules'. As any businessman knows, occasionally you veer from a path to mitigate flow of a product.

Not excusing anything.... but if there is some flexibility, I would allow it.

For example... it may have been prudent to add a few of the M3's to a truck carrying a 'configured employee' M3 to the same location knowing that if invited, someone from that area may accept their invitation. Result - good PR, advertising, visibility in places other than Fremont, CA.

Sending truckloads to LA's new delivery center may have been a solution for storage of the battery 'backload vehicles' - if that was indeed the problem which we were guessing at. Thus southern CA area people receive invites.

And they probably don't want to inundate Fremont with too many vehicles at startup.

Who knows?

Or maybe they are all friends of Elon.

Pick your poison.

 

[run-the-joules]

Pick your poison.

My poison seems to be my dedication to getting this car. It’s certainly not doing my mental health any good.

 

[smak]

How do you explain owners of a single tesla configuring multiple model 3 orders before other owners who waited in line in the Bay Area are getting their first invite?

An anomaly. If you want to get worked up about this, and post in 8 threads about it, I guess that's your right.

But is it really that big a deal? Do we really know all the facts? Was it really a promise from Tesla that they wouldn't stray even the tiniest bit from the plan. A plan that is nowhere in writing, and that you were never promised at any time? And that we aren't even certain that they did.

 

[smak]

I think the frequency and quantity of invites will be proportional to the availability of materials. We do not know how many battery packs are being manufactured each day at the Gigafactory. We do not know the frequency of transport from the Gigafactory to Tesla. Do they go by truck or rail? (Maybe you know, but I do not.) There could be parts from other manufacturers that are on back order or have to be reworked.

As others have posited, perhaps Tesla is working out the kinks in the manufacturing process, and this is taking longer than originally anticipated.

We ordered online around 7:35-7:40; we own a Model S; we live about 150 miles via road from Fremont. We have heard nothing as yet. My wife and I have a bet--I say we will receive the invitation in mid-January; she is holding out for early February.

I am pretty sure, the initial batch 3 weeks ago was a batch that Tesla figured they could get out by the end of the year.

After that, i think they thought they couldn't, especially with the factory's vacation, so they waited 3 weeks so "4 weeks" would be January, and people could choose based on that knowledge.

 

[Bad Horse]

How do you explain owners of a single tesla configuring multiple model 3 orders before other owners who waited in line in the Bay Area are getting their first invite?

I think what needs to be more pressed home is a sale is a sale is a sale. Everyone wants one of the cars, and there should be some decorum, but at the end of the day Tesla is deciding all of this. Just be thankful you're in the bay area, and not stuck in the middle of country knowing that most likely it'll be closer to May/June before I can truly get my hopes up, even with a first run.

IMO as long as Tesla is able to shove as many of these out the door as quickly as possible to as many people as possible, I kind of don't care who gets theirs first. Even at a healthy 5k/week (20k a month) deliveries it would take about 2 years just to fill all current orders, and about 6 months just to get all the ones ordered day 1.

At this point, I want to see progress, if there really were ~350 M3 delivered in November, then I hope December is 700, January is 1400, February is 2800 and etc. That will tell me all I need to know.

 

[run-the-joules]

I think what needs to be more pressed home is a sale is a sale is a sale. Everyone wants one of the cars, and there should be some decorum, but at the end of the day Tesla is deciding all of this. Just be thankful you're in the bay area, and not stuck in the middle of country knowing that most likely it'll be closer to May/June before I can truly get my hopes up, even with a first run.

IMO as long as Tesla is able to shove as many of these out the door as quickly as possible to as many people as possible, I kind of don't care who gets theirs first. Even at a healthy 5k/week (20k a month) deliveries it would take about 2 years just to fill all current orders, and about 6 months just to get all the ones ordered day 1.

At this point, I want to see progress, if there really were ~350 M3 delivered in November, then I hope December is 700, January is 1400, February is 2800 and etc. That will tell me all I need to know.

For what it’s worth (nothing), I doubt my presence in the Bay Area is going to mean a damned thing by the time they get to my order. If they hit the Jan-mar window in the first place I’ll be flabbergasted, figuring may or June is more likely and that they’ll be delivering nationwide at that point.

 

[Oil Freedom]

Sure, I'd love to get my Model 3 sooner than later and particularly so with the potential loss of the federal tax credit. [I'll refrain from ranting about the insanity of that while subsidies for the oil industry are left in place. End of micro rant.]

It was the Roadster buyers (thank you!), the Model S buyers (thank you!), and the Model X buyers (thank you!) who all helped Tesla survive and grow to move us toward more affordable and sustainable transportation (not to mention fun and sexy) and to now produce the M3. I'm totally OK with and in fact happy that Tesla is rewarding those people (I'm not one of them) with priority deliveries for the M3.

I'm not particularly concerned about a few things appearing to be out of order or perceived slights. This is a massive and complex endeavor. There are bound to be hiccups along the way. These are first world problems... luxurious problems for us to have!

I remain grateful to Elon Musk and everyone at Tesla for making such an amazing car and giving us the opportunity to buy it. I look forward to my M3 -- whenever it arrives.

 

[Shygar]

Sure, I'd love to get my Model 3 sooner than later and particularly so with the potential loss of the federal tax credit. [I'll refrain from ranting about the insanity of that while subsidies for the oil industry are left in place. End of micro rant.]

It was the Roadster buyers (thank you!), the Model S buyers (thank you!), and the Model X buyers (thank you!) who all helped Tesla survive and grow to move us toward more affordable and sustainable transportation (not to mention fun and sexy) and to now produce the M3. I'm totally OK with and in fact happy that Tesla is rewarding those people (I'm not one of them) with priority deliveries for the M3.

I'm not particularly concerned about a few things appearing to be out of order or perceived slights. This is a massive and complex endeavor. There are bound to be hiccups along the way. These are first world problems... luxurious problems for us to have!

I remain grateful to Elon Musk and everyone at Tesla for making such an amazing car and giving us the opportunity to buy it. I look forward to my M3 -- whenever it arrives.

Couldn't have said it better.

 

[K-MTG]

Sure, I'd love to get my Model 3 sooner than later and particularly so with the potential loss of the federal tax credit. [I'll refrain from ranting about the insanity of that while subsidies for the oil industry are left in place. End of micro rant.]

It was the Roadster buyers (thank you!), the Model S buyers (thank you!), and the Model X buyers (thank you!) who all helped Tesla survive and grow to move us toward more affordable and sustainable transportation (not to mention fun and sexy) and to now produce the M3. I'm totally OK with and in fact happy that Tesla is rewarding those people (I'm not one of them) with priority deliveries for the M3.

I'm not particularly concerned about a few things appearing to be out of order or perceived slights. This is a massive and complex endeavor. There are bound to be hiccups along the way. These are first world problems... luxurious problems for us to have!

I remain grateful to Elon Musk and everyone at Tesla for making such an amazing car and giving us the opportunity to buy it. I look forward to my M3 -- whenever it arrives.

But I mean...it seems only a very small percentage of current owners will take delivery this year. While all employee cars for first production already got their 3 or will get it before the end of the year.