my latest exercise tonight is adding a reality check on my "income projection spreadsheet" :
(all numbers made up)
if my starting capital is $xxx,
and my weekly minimum credit is $3,
and i open only x contracts per week, (ie reduce size)
and i BTC after 70%,
and every 3rd week is a bad week, (ie macros again)
and i have to roll on bad weeks,
and the income of a bad week is only 50% of a normal week,
and i have 2 bad weeks in a row every 2 months,
and every 4th week i need to withdraw $x for living expenses,
then by yearend, the projected total income is $x,
and the new capital for next year is $xxx.
End result is a daily dashboard that shows lowball (but realistic?) estimate of what i think Dec 31 is projected to look like. Every week that passed, actual values replace projected values. The vision board becomes more and more accurate the closer i get to yearend.
The projection exercise also helps see if i can reduce risk. If i change weekly minimum credit to $2 (instead of $3) and the projected yearend income still looks good, then maybe $2 is good enough (ie it's farther OTM).