Also missing from your argument is that the biggest change will be how and when we use the grid, not changes to the physical grid itself. Growing the grid 50% is a HUGE undertaking; time shifting usage 50% is not that big a deal.
My home is a microcosm of the larger system. I have a 300 Amp panel, meaning 72 kW. The panel can supply 52,560 kWh a month. My annual consumption is about 500 kWh. The system is vastly (~ 99x) oversized to accommodate theoretical peak power. But it is equally true that I can increase consumption up to 100x without any change to my home 'grid' if I spread out the consumption evenly.