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Highest production VIN in the wild

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I preface this with "I hope I am wrong":

If I was on a jury and I was being told that the production rate has ramped up, and the only evidence the solicitor was presenting me was what I see and read in all these various Model 3 threads (here, Model 3 Owners, Reddit, etc), I would not be convinced "beyond reasonable doubt".

To me, "ramped up" is, at a minimum, 500 units a day (14,000 a month).

I see no evidence of any rate over 500 units a week (2,150 a month).

YMMV.

Model S never consistently did more than 2,000 a week (biggest US month was Dec 2016 when they did under 6,000 and X was under 4,000). I'd consider anything over 8,000 a month of Model 3 ramped up.

Here is global delivery graphed, with 25,000 being a good quarter (about 8,333 per month at best) Tesla: vehicle deliveries by quarter 2017 | Statistic

If they can do >8,000 a month of Model 3 and still do 8,000 a month of S and X I'd be very happy with that. That would mean they doubled total car production in less than a year (on the way to a 200,000 car year).

If it got to 14,000 a month of Model 3 it'd be leaving S/X combined in the dust. That'd be record breaking not ramped up. We'd be on the way to tripling the prior years production (well over 250,000 cars a year at a 14,000 per month rate of Model 3 plus 8,000 a month rate of S/X).

And before someone talks about 5,000 a week run rate goals, remember that is 5,000 before downtime (holidays, maintenance, upgrades, what ifs). Even if they get the line doing 5,000 a week, it won't do that 52 weeks straight.
 
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Gotta wonder why they're all just sitting, rather than having been delivered and converted to cash for Tesla. Something's amiss.
The parking lot at the delivery center is by definition, for cars that are waiting for delivery... Anyone know where Tesla is parking the cash after they deliver the cars? I'll go there 1st thing in the morning and take pics ;)
 
The parking lot at the delivery center is by definition, for cars that are waiting for delivery... Anyone know where Tesla is parking the cash after they deliver the cars? I'll go there 1st thing in the morning and take pics ;)
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Model S never consistently did more than 2,000 a week (biggest US month was Dec 2016 when they did under 6,000 and X was under 4,000). I'd consider anything over 8,000 a month of Model 3 ramped up.

Here is global delivery graphed, with 25,000 being a good quarter (about 8,333 per month at best) Tesla: vehicle deliveries by quarter 2017 | Statistic

If they can do >8,000 a month of Model 3 and still do 8,000 a month of S and X I'd be very happy with that. That would mean they doubled total car production in less than a year (on the way to a 200,000 car year).

If it got to 14,000 a month of Model 3 it'd be leaving S/X combined in the dust. That'd be record breaking not ramped up. We'd be on the way to tripling the prior years production (well over 250,000 cars a year at a 14,000 per month rate of Model 3 plus 8,000 a month rate of S/X).

And before someone talks about 5,000 a week run rate goals, remember that is 5,000 before downtime (holidays, maintenance, upgrades, what ifs). Even if they get the line doing 5,000 a week, it won't do that 52 weeks straight.

One way to think about it is 2 Model 3s will be about the same as one average model S/X. Not exactly, but roughly. If S/X are regularly 2000 a week production with 2 weeks downtime for 100,000/Y. Tesla can roughly double revenues at 4000/w so 2000/w is a 50% increase in revenues and 1000/w would be 25% increase. These are rough estimates, but make it easy to figure out the impact.
 
Current highest known registered VIN with NHTSA is still #3840: Model 3 VINs (@Model3VINs) | Twitter

At this rate I would imagine they need to register a new block of VINs with NHTSA within a week or two. It will be interesting to see how large of a block of VINs they end up registering.

Someone checked if they already started registering 2018 versions? Either start from 0 again, or more likely continue from 3841.
 
And the next Video from FDC. New highest VIN: 2556 !


34 Tesla Model 3 with VIN

120 Tesla Model 3 at Fremont Delivery Center - recorded 34 VIN(s) - #2556 #2354 #2156 #2097 and more • r/teslamotors

#2556 #2354 #2156 #2097 #2078 #2057 #2055 #1970 #1949 #1847 #1843 #1731 #1722 #1685 #1683 #1679 #1675 #1668 #1537 #1484 #1473 #1472 #1444 #1429 #1401 #1330 #1279 #1216 #1172 #976 #734 #684 #660 #565

Looking at this numbers it seems like they don't correspond with what has been recorded before. In other words cars may have been delivered and new production cars parked. No hard fact but an indication...
 
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Anyone seen any round VIN numbers? 1000? 2000? or famous VINs 1066 1138 1776 1812 1984 2001 2020 4096 ??
I saw VIN #2000 at the Fremont delivery center today. Also #64 at the Kato Rd. SC. There were a total of at least 124 Model 3s parked outside of the delivery center. Fifteen of them had VINs of 2000 or above. The highest was the aforementioned #2556. There were eight Model 3s parked outside the Kato Rd. SC.