We drove home today from Pinetop to Chandler via Globe. We left at about 92% charge and the Tesla initially said we should arrive with something around 40% without stopping for charging.
As soon as we started driving, the estimated arrival % started dropping 1% every mile or so. It finally settled around 23% for awhile. We ended up getting home with 17%.
I drove very gingerly once I saw the % dropping, as I was afraid I wouldn't make it home because there aren't any superchargers along my route. I accelerated very slowly, drove the speed limit, and tried to stay under 65 as much as possible. I even turned my AC to 72, low fan, and recirc on. It was over 100 degrees during a large part of the drive.
I've attached the energy graphs to see if anyone sees anything out of the ordinary.
Some notes/questions:
1) Did Tesla change the algorithm for calculating estimated energy usage? It seems like it's calculating estimated energy based on ideal conditions instead of using the actual conditions (which I thought it used previously). It knows the speed limits (knows how fast I'll be driving), knows the elevation changes (so should know usage based on uphill and downhill driving), knows the weather and my current AC setting (so should know climate system usage), and knows my previous driving habits. It displays the wind affecting my range on one of the screens, so why doesn't it calculate that in the beginning instead of showing it as a delta at the end?
2) This can be a dangerous problem if you start out a trip assuming you can make it but get in the middle of nowhere when your range starts dropping rapidly. In the almost 3 years I've owned this Y, I've never had the estimated range be this far off. I'm not a new owner with range anxiety/shock. I'm driving the same vehicle on the same drives and it's suddenly changed. Something's not right. I used to be able to trust what my arrival % would be, now I have no idea.
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