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I guess I am just hoping for another NAIAS surprise.
I always like your optimism!! But, no X or model3. I suspect the 'D' and hopefully some good tid bits that might move the stock a bit.Beta version of MX?
I always like your optimism!! But, no X or model3. I suspect the 'D' and hopefully some good tid bits that might move the stock a bit.
I always like your optimism!! But, no X or model3. I suspect the 'D' and hopefully some good tid bits that might move the stock a bit.
I'm really not sure that NAIAS is going to being any surprises; in particular, I'm becoming increasingly skeptical that Tesla will roll out the Model X then. I do think there's good news ahead with a Model X unveiling sometime in Jan/Feb, along with a good earnings call, so I'm continuing to hold the March calls I bought on the last dip. I'm not ballsy enough to buy weeklies without more confidence in the news stream.Well, I have gone from 'neutral' to cautiously optomoistic in the short term heading into NAIAS. I was sitting on stock/J17 LEAPS only but the Jan23 240 calls at .60-.70 cents were too tempting. I guess I am just hoping for another NAIAS surprise.
I always like your optimism!! But, no X or model3. I suspect the 'D' and hopefully some good tid bits that might move the stock a bit.
Its sad to see this form go from groundbreaking research and realistic projections/expectations to just a bunch of fanboys who expect TSLA to be a $100 then it is, no matter the price. We could very easily have been at $180 a few weeks ago instead of $240, and we can still go there. But people somehow don't want to believe that it will happen. Hope doesn't make you money, disciplined investing does. And when the technicals show that the stock is weak, hope won't change that. While I am not recommending going short at $200, I also don't think its time to put everything into short term calls. We could easily stay here until the conference call and then go down to $170s after.
You make a good point about short-term calls. This is indeed a volatile time. On the other hand, if you weigh the downside potential for the stock to the upside potential of the coming year, it's a great time to buy shares and long-term calls. The release of Model X and the inevitable ramping up of production numbers will surely boost tsla price. I suspect strong guidance at the 4Q ER will have a similar effect. Analysts, for the most part, are maintaining their very bullish price targets for TSLA. For this reason, we find buyers for TSLA even on days like today when the broader markets are down, oil prices are down, and a competitor makes an important announcement.
We could very easily have been at $180 a few weeks ago instead of $240, and we can still go there. But people somehow don't want to believe that it will happen. Hope doesn't make you money, disciplined investing does. And when the technicals show that the stock is weak, hope won't change that. While I am not recommending going short at $200, I also don't think its time to put everything into short term calls. We could easily stay here until the conference call and then go down to $170s after.
I think ~195-200 is a good point to nibble. There is a possibility we re-test 192. why? because it's the last low that we encountered. I am nibbling around that area too. Next low that we encountered is 178 back in May. I will be more aggressive at 178-180. I will be very aggressive if no fundamental change and we drop to 160, which I would not rule out, it's still possible.
I know many of you will get butthurt reading this unconvinient post. but please stop labelling people a psycho FUD for posting something negative. In the past many people has disagreed with me, and I never had any issue, just when people labelled me FUDster, I don't know why I became a sensitive angry degenerates..
Hopefully I am not labeled a FUDster as I have a good amount of money in TSLA and J17 LEAPS that will take a hit with your scenarios....but I agree with much of this particular post of yours. Short term we are in what I referred to in another post as 'insane mode' where we could see sub $200. Long term buying in now versus my next big buy in PT in the 180s will yield some very nice returns.
Another note: Short interest is out after market close today.
Hopefully I am not labeled a FUDster as I have a good amount of money in TSLA and J17 LEAPS that will take a hit with your scenarios....but I agree with much of this particular post of yours. Short term we are in what I referred to in another post as 'insane mode' where we could see sub $200. Long term buying in now versus my next big buy in PT in the 180s will yield some very nice returns.
Another note: Short interest is out after market close today.
I think ~195-200 is a good point to nibble. There is a possibility we re-test 192. why? because it's the last low that we encountered. I am nibbling around that area too. Next low that we encountered is 178 back in May. I will be more aggressive at 178-180. I will be very aggressive if no fundamental change and we drop to 160, which I would not rule out, it's still possible.
I know many of you will get butthurt reading this unconvinient post. but please stop labelling people a psycho FUD for posting something negative. In the past many people has disagreed with me, and I never had any issue, just when people labelled me FUDster, I don't know why I became a sensitive angry degenerates..
You make a good point about short-term calls. This is indeed a volatile time. On the other hand, if you weigh the downside potential for the stock to the upside potential of the coming year, it's a great time to buy shares and long-term calls. The release of Model X and the inevitable ramping up of production numbers will surely boost tsla price. I suspect strong guidance at the 4Q ER will have a similar effect. Analysts, for the most part, are maintaining their very bullish price targets for TSLA. For this reason, we find buyers for TSLA even on days like today when the broader markets are down, oil prices are down, and a competitor makes an important announcement.
From the Q3 call:
Ripping up nicely after the open. Me likey.
Anyone thinking it's time to convert shares to LEAPs? I understand that this is how Teslanaires are made. I've been doing it slowly over the last couple months and so far it's been pretty ugly and I obviously wish I had waited. But sub-$200 with a bright future on the horizon is really tempting.