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  1. G

    v12 is not e2e AI

    Lol, you can't win them all. It's surprisingly hard to be: - technically compliant with making full stops and stopping at the stop line - a reasonably assertive driver - smooth Tesla has a pretty hard challenge given they're trying to follow rules that humans don't need to follow.
  2. G

    Energy Bar - where's it gone?

    No there's not. If you have a Ryzen MCU + USS you can pick, but not on Intel.
  3. G

    v12 is not e2e AI

    Agreed. We'll probably never know exactly what NHTSAs thinking is on this, but your explanation makes sense. One other factor is that speed limit sign detection still isn't always accurate (after 8 years since HW2 launched and they brought that in-house no less...). There's a decent argument...
  4. G

    v12 is not e2e AI

    Stop sign maneuvers as a whole (both in terms of stopping point and speed profile) feel like a bit of a temporary "solution" to me. It's so conservative it feels like it they just wanted to quickly make something that was obviously compliant with stopping requirements (but kind of sucks) while...
  5. G

    99% calibrating LFP taking well over 10 minutes

    Err I think I might have misremembered the time (sorry), but here are the Tessie logs showing it takes over an hour at least for 98% to done. Less than two hours though. Regardless, top balancing is slooow
  6. G

    99% calibrating LFP taking well over 10 minutes

    Regarding time to top balance, it can be extremely slow. My car has taken over two hours to charge from 98% indicates to actually done charging. As others have pointed out there’s no reason you need to worry about doing this, but it is interesting.
  7. G

    FSD take rate after free trial 2%

    That only leaves a week for people to actually consider subscribing (minus however long it took to actually conduct this survey!). That doesn't seem like very much time to actually gauge what the true conversion rate here is. Note: I'm not expecting a particularly high take rate at this point...
  8. G

    FSD take rate after free trial 2%

    I'm a bit skeptical. Is there any methodology available? Assuming that is an accurate metric, most 30 day trials have barely expired (1-2 weeks, I think). It's reasonable to assume it might take some time to see that flow through to subscriptions. People may elect to go back to basic AP, drive...
  9. G

    FSD Steering wheel nag

    I don't see a connection here. The "nag" is about when the driver is not interacting with the steering wheel. I don't see how it has anything to do with whether the system allows small steering adjustments without disengagement.
  10. G

    Abrupt Phantom Breaking at high speed - scary

    Haven't had a major phantom braking event in years, but if you look back through the old posts around here phantom braking has been a huge complaint over the years (probably most in the 2017 - 2020 era). Anyway, I don't have any suggestions but welcome to the club.
  11. G

    Using AI to improve wipe malfunction

    On the topic of helpful suggestions for Tesla, I wonder if they've considered making FSD just drive smoothly and not mistakes and go the right speed. They just need to refine the neural networks a little bit to consider various variables like speed limits and road geometry and weather to make...
  12. G

    FSD Steering wheel nag

    I’d expect the nagless FSD will require an unblocked cabin camera too
  13. G

    Luminar’s largest customer: Tesla

    Yep, those downsides make sense (I've been wondering for a while how much of a headwind Tesla is incurring already with 9 different camera configurations: 4 models X HW3 & 4, plus Cybertruck). It doesn't make much sense for the robotaxi to have a different sensor suite than HW5 (for reason #2)...
  14. G

    Luminar’s largest customer: Tesla

    Slightly off topic, but a fully end to end single neural network stack might make integration of lidar or radar easier, couldn't it? They could collect training data from real cars pretty easily with more sensor modalities and train it on all of the sensor inputs. Synthetic training data might...
  15. G

    Luminar’s largest customer: Tesla

    To put this in context $2 million worth of lidar sounds like a lot, but it's not that many vehicles: only a couple hundred. Per a quick Google search each sensor is about $1000 and Tesla's fleet validation vehicles look like they're running 8 lidars on the roof rack (based on pictures like...
  16. G

    [idea for] Vision only+personal HD Maps, custom routes?

    It probably depends on what exactly one has in mind for an HD map. Which brings me to ask: What did you all have in mind for what information should be mapped on this HD map? That seems like a pretty big question that I don't seen any discussion of yet. There's a pretty broad range of...
  17. G

    How to disable new charge reminder?

    No, this is the official Tesla app. If your charge limit is 100% you’d get notified at 49% or lower. If the limit is 90% you’d get notified at 44% or lower.
  18. G

    Will 2025 equipped NACS vehicles be able to charge at Tesla Version 2 Superchargers

    It’s a little more complex than that. Some, maybe all, V3 SCs still require a hardware upgrade to support non Teslas. It’s not as simple as V3 works with any car, V2 is Tesla only. That’s why I said it’s not clear if V2s are actually hard to retrofit or if Tesla is just choosing not.
  19. G

    Are Teslas talking to each other?

    Airplanes do yes, but I kind of think you all are wildly overthinking this. Or at least designing complex solutions when there’s 5 - 10 years of more straightforward optimization to do first.
  20. G

    How to disable new charge reminder?

    Just chiming in here I haven’t found a way to turn this off. At a guess they shipped this feature without thinking about or remembering to add it to the notifications settings (downside of moving fast). As far as why I’d like to turn it off, I use shared chargers at an apartment. Don’t want to...
  21. G

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Correct me if I'm wrong, but haven't actually seen what degree of improvement a full retraining cycle can actually lead to. Most public testers at this point started on a 12.3.* release (and the various point releases that have come pretty quickly are not full retraining of the system, as far as...
  22. G

    Should I pull the trigger?

    USS cars without Ryzen didn’t get the new parking visualizations either :(
  23. G

    Can FSD hallucinate?

    There are certainly changes I’d like to see for AV (rolling stops, for instance, with strict limitations). It’s not clear this MUST happen for AV adoption though. It’s more for comfort and fitting in with other traffic.
  24. G

    Supercharger - Arvada, CO - W 56th Ave

    Here are some more pics (no progress since the previous update). In summary: - 2x 4-stall prefab SC slabs installed - Conduit and concrete slabs for 4 more traditional stalls, and the associated cabinet are installed - conduit and concrete for 4 L2s done - no transformer yet - the gap between...
  25. G

    Should I pull the trigger?

    There’s just a short delay when pulling up the cameras, either when the turn signal is on or when switching to reverse. It’s subtle and not the end of the world.
  26. G

    Can FSD hallucinate?

    I guess? Maybe I spent too much time testing V11 that managed to abruptly and jerkily do the wrong thing many times without any AI involvement, so it doesn't really seem concerning to me. At least not any more than systems that have already driven many millions of miles on public roads
  27. G

    Can FSD hallucinate?

    Is that problem unique to an ML based approach to self driving cars though? You can't "validate" a explicitly hand-coded self driving system either, in the sense of writing out a set of acceptance criteria, testing the the system, and then if it passes the tests it's "validated". I mean, you...
  28. G

    Should I pull the trigger?

    It's not that slow - it's the difference of maybe 100-200ms to get the camera feed up to 50ms on newer cars. It makes a difference for the usability of the repeater camera for blind spot monitoring while changing lanes.
  29. G

    Supercharger - Arvada, CO - W 56th Ave

    The site plans show an accessible stall in the middle, separate from the prebuilt Supercharger units. The gap is likely for the extra lateral spacing needed. Strangely the plans show the second prefab unit as a three stall prebuilt unit with a standalone stall. Never seen that before. I...
  30. G

    Should I pull the trigger?

    Slowwww (for some things like the web browser or pulling up the backup camera) and it seems Tesla is slowly not supporting it for new features
  31. G

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Oh interesting. I don't think FSD has ever done that for me, on V11 or V12. Will be interesting to see if I can reproduce this... I've found decreasing speed sequences entering small rural towns are particularly poorly handled at the moment, but will be some time before I can test those again.
  32. G

    Should I pull the trigger?

    Financially, of course it doesn't make sense (but then again buying a performance vehicle is never going to make sense). How much is this upgrade worth to you? Offhand, given the trade in value of the current car, cost of the new M3P, and interest rates it seems this will cost you about...
  33. G

    Will 2025 equipped NACS vehicles be able to charge at Tesla Version 2 Superchargers

    No, only V3+ Superchargers are opening up in North America (and not even all of those are open at this point). See Tesla's official Supercharger map and filter down to "Superchargers Open to NACS". Note: it's not clear to what extent it's technically impossible to open up V2 stations vs Tesla...
  34. G

    Supercharger - Frisco, CO

    It's much appreciated. The I70 corridor is pretty busy and with mountains and cold snowy conditions the more charging the better! The closer together charging options are the more you can safely roll in at very low state of charge and get top charging speeds (i.e. better utilization of the...
  35. G

    Sketchy FSD situation

    FSD aside, MCU 2 is a pretty nice upgrade. Enjoy the car!
  36. G

    Supercharger - Arvada, CO - W 56th Ave

    The switchboard (?) is installed (note: that’s not a Supercharger cabinet). A lot of conduit is finished. Looks like they’re about ready to plop down those pre assembled Supercharger slabs, they’ll go on the gravel areas. Interestingly they’ve installed conduit for all 12 Supercharger stalls...
  37. G

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Just chiming in that speed limit detection is noticeably worse for me too. 65 mph signs in particular, strangely enough. Annoying on rural CO roads. (Sometimes I wonder what is Tesla doing. Speed limit detection should be a dramatically simpler AI problem than many other things they’re doing...
  38. G

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    FSD has long been able to cross double yellow lines to go around stationary obstacles (like delivery trucks). I saw something today I haven't seen documented anywhere yet: it tried to make a pass around a moving vehicle across yellow lines into oncoming traffic. On a 65 mph highway with double...
  39. G

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    But isn't that simply L2 operation in advance of launching driverless testing in an area? There is no "supervised" L3 operation (and paying an employee to sit in the car without being responsible for the car or even requiring them to pay attention isn't very useful). To be clear, I do expect...
  40. G

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    Which do you all think will happen first? L3 operation for Tesla owners (with a very restrictive ODD, like Mercedes) or L4 operation by Tesla owned vehicles (within a small geofenced area, similar in scope to Waymo), while FSD for owners remains L2 I assume eventually one of these has to...
  41. G

    Supercharger - Lakewood, CO - W Alaska Dr

    It's not bad, but going to Mills or Idaho Springs is probably less wasted time. Either way, the more chargers the merrier!
  42. G

    Supercharger - Lakewood, CO - W Alaska Dr

    Oh finally! I used to live here. Great spot for charging, although not that close to any major roads
  43. G

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Similarly with lane blockages ahead (for construction, for instance, or a bus stopped). It doesn't plan ahead as far as I would and position itself relative to other cars for a merge, or actually move over sooner (I know, zipper merge blah blah merge as late as possible for lane closed)...
  44. G

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Agreed it's a mess (it's a bit of a ridiculous case of "you can break this law this much but not more", and it's highly contextual. There's a 55 zone on I70 in Denver that's that is 100% ignored, lol). That said I've been surprisingly happy with how 12.3.3 has been doing with auto-speed. If...
  45. G

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    The economics of operating, and technical hurdles, for each geographic location can probably explain this.
  46. G

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    Something I haven't seen mentioned yet is that with end-to-end AI Tesla has a pretty big incentive to produce a human drivable variant of this vehicle to generate training data. Even if the camera positions and sensor suite are identical, it's still a small vehicle. Length, width, and turning...
  47. G

    Make your robotaxi predictions for the 8/8 reveal

    I'm expecting a 2 seater, overall similar to the first concept art. I do expect a 4 wheeler vs a 3 wheeler with a single back wheel. Potentially RWD only. I'm expecting it's designed as a shared platform for a small compact personal vehicle (with normal drive controls, same as Model 3) and a...
  48. G

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Or other data like lane topology, positions of signs, stop lights, etc. I don't have the source handy but I believe people have figured out the cars do in fact download supplemental updated map data in real time. Anecdotally I've certainly seen the car improve it's handling of specific...
  49. G

    How to gracefully disengage FSD

    The sound isn't for when you knowingly and intentionally disengage AP! It's for the (rare) case somebody accidentally hits the wrong button on their yoke and (less likely) knocks the stalk unintentionally. There's not much feedback, other than the sound in those cases, and you don't want to...
  50. G

    How to gracefully disengage FSD

    The sound is unrelated to the prompt to record feedback. Autopilot has always had a disengagement sound (and every ADAS system should have audible disengagement mode change alerts IMO). I find this thread a little rediculous.