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  1. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Seems like Tesla might really be trying to get more into the European market:
  2. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Toyota doing Toyota things 😂
  3. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Hopefully a good sign for the automotive market, too.. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-05-28/apple-s-china-iphone-shipments-jump-52-as-rebound-gains-steam
  4. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    As usually quickly and nicely plotted by @piloly on X:
  5. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I do have autopark now but it does not seem to be the new autopark where you can pick one of multiple parking spots. Not even sure it went away, I hadn´t used it for a very long time after the initial excitement went away (cool to see what the tech can do, but if you can do it better yourself...
  6. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Interesting that German energy giant RWE (mostly known for brown coal mining around where I live but becoming player in regenerative energies also lately) is building a big battery in Australia, and more interesting that it is choosing Tesla as a supplier. Maybe the popularity of Tesla in...
  7. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    BTW got the spring update 2024.14.8 on my 2019 Model 3 yesterday and really happy with it, especially the wipers now work as they should :). Also love the new visualizations where you can see all the pedestrians and cars the system sees and brake lights and blinkers. Talking about blinkers, also...
  8. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    This plot makes zero sense. Plotting against the battery age in days means nothing if you don´t know how much the car is driven every day. Most likely the car is also driven different distances every day so the data is even distorted. Next, this is only from one car obviously (looking at the...
  9. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Fun fact to end the day 😂... Ahead of the election for the EU parliament, the German Christian Democrats (biggest conservative party, currently in the opposition) put up an online vote asking people whether the 2035 cut off for selling ICE cars in the EU that was already passed should be taken...
  10. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It was @unk45 in this post. Do you have a source for that info?
  11. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Source article linked by Sawyer doesn´t mention the 35%, so likely his quick-and dirty back of he envelope math not having in mind the building for lathrop was already there.
  12. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    And yet another intersting piece ofn information from the impact report - what was our last assumption for growth of enery storage business? EDIT: They are talking about 75%+ growth in deployents, which I take as MWh, so growth in revenue should be less as cell prices come down.
  13. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Info on construction on Lithium refinery, hadn´t heard about that one for a while... seems to be from the new impact report, too:
  14. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Info on 4680 from 2023 impact report. TheLimitingFactor calls pack level gravimetric energy density "middle of the road"= average compared to other packs. Question to the experts here: Does the 4680 pack get some bonus for being structural (because it saves some structural parts that would have...
  15. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Ironically, I never did - got my license in California during my student exchange year in high school there :). IMHO doing some sports goes a long way in keeping your reaction times low. /OT
  16. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Still there for me, not much change in stock price to be expected for today judging from max pain:
  17. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Wow, those are not average human drivers though.. is this slomo ;) ? Really an edge case of slow reaction time here for both IMHO.
  18. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    A lot of detail here, seems a huge improvement in production efficiency from Y to CT:
  19. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    According to Tesla methodology (hat tip @willow_hiller): To ensure our statistics are conservative, we count any crash in which Autopilot was deactivated within 5 seconds before impact (Reposting excerpt to make it more visible)
  20. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    More praise from NVDA earnings call:
  21. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My bank (DKB) in Germany told me And supposedly it is now too late to transfer them. I this something specific to German banks??? Would be surprised it only they keep the shares locally. Or is it an excuse because they don´t want to put up with the administative work?
  22. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    New Gigapress... Cybertaxi? Model 2?
  23. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    In the twitter thread someone who acts like she works at Giga Berlin (where this was filmed) says this is just a regular Y used to drive people around, which has been colored just for fun. Seems legit to me. Tobi Lindh who took the video says it appears to be a tight turning radius due to lens...
  24. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The post you quote from Papafox is from May 1.. but the same mechanisms might apply today.
  25. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Could also have been the rumour about Model 2 coming in 2026
  26. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Seems like they could switch to starlink only when the car is in a rural area where there is no cell coverage.. Could market it as a safety feature for people going out camping/offroading.
  27. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    https://www.gov.uk/government/news/self-driving-vehicles-set-to-be-on-roads-by-2026-as-automated-vehicles-act-becomes-law
  28. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yeah.. I don´t remember the timing exactly, when were we estimating the 1/k per week and when was the stop of deliveries due to accelerator pedals? Maybe that was what was limiting deliveries in March. EDIT: I looked it up, both (1000/wk production and accelerator issue) were only in mid-April...
  29. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Are the two items I put in bold related? If so, the latter might be moot..
  30. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The Grünheide city council has voted for the expansion of Giga Berlin (freight train station and logistics area): https://www-sueddeutsche-de.translate.goog/wirtschaft/gruenheide-protest-tesla-1.7252447?_x_tr_sl=auto&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en-US&_x_tr_pto=wapp...
  31. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I guess that´s part of the deal, Tesla gets Baidu´s maps and Baidu can use FSD for its robotaxies.. Wonder if either party still gets money
  32. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    If WSJ is right it looks like Robyn Denholm will be doing that job. Behind pay wall unfortunately..
  33. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Single/local data point but still nice to see: Model Y first place in passenger car registrations in April 24:
  34. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    ADAC, the German version of AAA, has published the tops and flops of its car breakdown statistics, Model 3 is in the top segment (that was the only Tesla in this statistic of 3-10 year old cars) The article from ADAC below also discusses ICE vs EV breakdown likelyhood in detail, interesting...
  35. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It is a term like "Autopilot", not a very good one (in the sense that is not intuitively understood), but you can´t deny it exists and is used the way as @advocate8 described: Exact sciences - Wikipedia
  36. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    IIRC Elon tweeted that they are waiting for the case on the old/current package to be resolved before creating a new one. That was before things heated up. Can´t find a source right now, does anyone else remember that?!
  37. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    A lot of cars were bought in Germany but resold outside the country, likely to take advantage of the Umweltbonus (which is now gone). I had heard a lot of that over the years but recently there was a report by the German Kraftfahrtbundesamt (DMV) on the fleet changes in 2023 which makes it all...
  38. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It is only a 1 day shutdown. 1 out of the 4 days is a holiday, two are the weekend..
  39. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Good plot with long term comparison my piloly (also see the following tweet for more):
  40. hobbes

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    In the comments someone says that the a Semi with the same licence plate was in the hands of another company a while ago. That would suggest that it might be news that Costco is testing it (and possibly a new video), but it would not be a recently produced semi. IMHO it is more important that...