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The next big milestone for FSD is 11. It is a significant upgrade and fundamental changes to several parts of the FSD stack including totally new way to train the perception NN.

From AI day and Lex Fridman interview we have a good sense of what might be included.

- Object permanence both temporal and spatial
- Moving from “bag of points” to objects in NN
- Creating a 3D vector representation of the environment all in NN
- Planner optimization using NN / Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS)
- Change from processed images to “photon count” / raw image
- Change from single image perception to surround video
- Merging of city, highway and parking lot stacks a.k.a. Single Stack

Lex Fridman Interview of Elon. Starting with FSD related topics.


Here is a detailed explanation of Beta 11 in "layman's language" by James Douma, interview done after Lex Podcast.


Here is the AI Day explanation by in 4 parts.


screenshot-teslamotorsclub.com-2022.01.26-21_30_17.png


Here is a useful blog post asking a few questions to Tesla about AI day. The useful part comes in comparison of Tesla's methods with Waymo and others (detailed papers linked).

 
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That works both ways for the good experiences and the bad experiences. Do I have some decent experiences with the Junk driving? Sure. Unfortunately, when it comes up to a 4 way intersection, turns on a right blinker, and goes straight across…. That is just not okay. Normal people do not do that. That sort of behavior will never earn a participation trophy from me and will instead contribute to me calling it…. Junk.
Actually you should call it "beta". And yeah, people DO sometimes do that kinda thing, you know what they are called? Student drivers. And guess what? We have non-student drivers to supervise them. Sound familiar?
 
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Actually you should call it "beta". And yeah, people DO sometimes do that kinda thing, you know what they are called? Student drivers. And guess what? We have non-student drivers to supervise them. Sound familiar?
Are you saying that I can’t tell a student driver that he sucks…. Just because he’s a student?
 
I also never argued it being any sort of safety issue. I just posted a video and said it sucks. Just like if the painters half assed the paint job, I would say it sucks. Is it unsafe for me to live in a house that’s painted like crap with paint splatter, different shades in different areas, paint running down in multiple areas… no… but it doesn’t mean that the paint job is great and “does what it’s supposed to do”

Except in this case it DID do what it was supposed to do. Park the car safely and correctly. Which it did. It was just slower than you wanted. The actual task completely correctly.

So again you fail at analogy :)




. Just like the fact that “driving with FSD is safer”… TO ME… does NOT matter. It’s a useless trophy that YOU are willing to give it.

Fewer accidents and fewer deaths is a useless trophy that does not matter to you?

Which airline do you fly for again, so I know to avoid it?
 
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Unfortunately, when it comes up to a 4 way intersection, turns on a right blinker, and goes straight across…. That is just not okay.
You write as if this happens all the time. This has never happened to me in 18+ months.

The basic problem with #JunkTeam is that they highlight rare failures as if that happens 100% of the time. That is just FUD.

If you don't like it - don't use it. Infact I think less than 10% of FSD owners/subscribers use FSD regularly. But most of them are self-aware enough not to spend a lot of time here posting junk.
 
Except in this case it DID do what it was supposed to do. Park the car safely and correctly. Which it did. It was just slower than you wanted. The actual task completely correctly.

So again you fail at analogy :)






Fewer accidents and fewer deaths is a useless trophy that does not matter to you?

Which airline do you fly for again, so I know to avoid it?
Yea, I’m not going to get excited (moderator edit) if you tell me that turning on FSDj will make my drive 10% safer (while making it 50% more annoying/stressful). There has to be a balance. My driving is safe, and I’m confident in my driving. However I am NOT confident in FSDj’s driving, not in its current state.
 
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Yea, I’m not going to get excited (moderator edit) if you tell me that turning on FSDj will make my drive 10% safer

Good news then! It actually makes it (on average) MUCH more than 10% safer...

FSD Beta users have 0.31 accidents per 1 million miles

Normal average human drivers have about 1.53 accidents per 1 million miles.

So FSD Beta makes drivers roughly 80 percent safer on average.
 
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Good news then! It actually makes it (on average) MUCH more than 10% safer...

FSD Beta users have 0.31 accidents per 1 million miles

Normal average human drivers have about 1.53 accidents per 1 million miles.

So FSD Beta makes drivers roughly 80 percent safer on average.
Very good. My driving is safe 100% of the time, what’s 80% more of 100%?
 
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"I’m not going to come here and only share positive experiences."

Your poor comprehension skills are again on the show when you talk about "FSDPerfection" - when I'm the one always talking about 1 disengagement in 10 miles and needs to improve 100x to become on par with humans.

Yes, keep lying.
Why do I always find you complaining, about my complaining? Almost as if you just want to defend FSDj. Even when there are clear videos of it sucking.
 
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How can you argue the statistics?
It is the British prime minister Benjamin Disraeli who is famously credited with the phrase: "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics" but the expression has been around almost as long as the word statistics (first coined in 1749 for those wondering).

Low hanging fruit there ;)
 
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It is the British prime minister Benjamin Disraeli who is famously credited with the phrase: "There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics" but the expression has been around almost as long as the word statistics (first coined in 1749 for those wondering).

Low hanging fruit there ;)
Well, if KS wants to use accident rate to justify safety, then my math maths.
 
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Are you saying that I can’t tell a student driver that he sucks…. Just because he’s a student?
Well you clearly are not a teacher! Students make mistakes because they are students, and I'm not entirely certain that telling a student they suck is particularly constructive. If you find (say) a doctor who makes bad diagnoses then yeah, he sucks because he is (supposedly) qualified, but a 1st year medical student is still learning. FSD is still a student (beta), so of course it makes mistakes. Does that make it suck? or junk? No, it makes it beta.
 
Well you clearly are not a teacher! Students make mistakes because they are students, and I'm not entirely certain that telling a student they suck is particularly constructive. If you find (say) a doctor who makes bad diagnoses then yeah, he sucks because he is (supposedly) qualified, but a 1st year medical student is still learning. FSD is still a student (beta), so of course it makes mistakes. Does that make it suck? or junk? No, it makes it beta.
So what you are saying is there are no good students and bad students. Just students?
 
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