Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

Search results

  1. scaesare

    Wiki SpaceX Manifest and Launch Cadence

    And is there a category for their return status: alive vs. not.
  2. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Interestingly I'm on a project today and was talking with the electrical contractor about the issues he's had on getting materials, and he said since Covid there just isn't sufficient stock for many things still.
  3. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I think a lot of this discussion about the supercharger team firing (and the re-hires reported to have taken place), and it's potential PR impact, effect on employee morale, possible indication Tesla is getting out of the charging business, etc... misses what happens with many of the moves that...
  4. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Or, as everyone actually calls them, Lambo doors. ;)
  5. scaesare

    SpaceX vs. Everyone - ULA, NG, Boeing, Lockheed, etc.

    Dream Chaser news: First Dream Chaser spaceplane needs more work when it gets to launch site I wonder what the impetus to ship this thing to the launch site is given significant things that still need to be completed...
  6. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    For once I agree with you. Anybody who takes "forward looking statements" as absolutes clearly isn't paying attention. And while they are at it, they can stop calling them "promises".
  7. scaesare

    Mars and Off Planet Colonization - Pros and Cons Discussion

    Hmmm... I think the issue is not the desire to explore, it's the motive. Put folks in in a valley, and they'll want to see what's on the other side of the mountain. Or across the river. Or over the ocean. Or above the clouds. Or on the moon. Etc... It takes more technological innovation for...
  8. scaesare

    Mars and Off Planet Colonization - Pros and Cons Discussion

    Mmm... I don't believe that greed is a required trait for continued exploration. Do some folks want to push the frontier in order to profit/exploit? Yes. Are there also folks who are interested in exploring for the sheer fascination of it, and inclined towards preservation? Also yes. The...
  9. scaesare

    Mars and Off Planet Colonization - Pros and Cons Discussion

    So... your comment in the Polaris thread that I replied to that ultimately started this discussion (I hesitate to call it a debate, not my intent... just interested in everyone's viewpoints) was this: This seemed to indicate that the "objection" to humans in space was the risk associated with...
  10. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Maybe its time dilation in play! We only know a single exoplanet day length? Huh, I wouldn't have thought that...
  11. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    This meshes with Elon's "moats are lame, it's the pace of innovation" that counts.
  12. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I suspect that the development of gigacastings in the interim time frame is part of the reason why. The prototype CT, and its planned construction methodology, may have placed more load on the exterior panels as a method to eliminate the traditional "body on ladder frame" design. As the...
  13. scaesare

    Mars and Off Planet Colonization - Pros and Cons Discussion

    This is an interesting discussion... so a hypothetical question: Given that terraforming is a long shot, and bio-habitats are fraught with risks... what about other "goldilocks zone" planets? Assuming that we found method to cover vast interstellar distances (wormholes, leveraging time...
  14. scaesare

    Wiki Super Heavy/Starship - General Development Discussion

    I was thinking the same now approaching a third of the way thru the month... :( As mishap investigations include planned remedial actions, I wonder if it's often that the root causes of the issues are (thought to be) understood, but the potential remedies need to be worked out and lab tested...
  15. scaesare

    NASA Announcement for the Moon

    I think the issue is the size and mass as compared to the Apollo command modules. A quick search says the Apollo CM was ~12K lbs, whereas the Starliner is ~29K. And quick math says the Starliner's larger diameter yields 57% greater surface area on the bottom, which I undoubtedly plays in to it...
  16. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    What am I missing that you guys are talking about 5 days? My post above that @Cosmacelf replied to has NASA announcing May seventeenth as the new date: That's 11 days from the original date of the 6th. (The originally rescheduled date was Friday the 10th... but that was only 4 days later...)
  17. scaesare

    Mars and Off Planet Colonization - Pros and Cons Discussion

    I don't disagree with the context you provided. Again, I think it's how terms are used. Given that there's probably a very small set of characteristics that 100% of humans have (or even 95%), you'd be technically correct (the best kind!) in saying that "there are <insert trait here> among us"...
  18. scaesare

    Mars and Off Planet Colonization - Pros and Cons Discussion

    I think this may be an issue of how terms are used. Attributing a behavioral characteristic to the race as a whole doesn't necessarily imply 100% of members have that trait. And often the magnitude of the accomplishment offsets the percentage of people who do it. Humans are lovers, creatures of...
  19. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It does seem that Elon feels like there's some threats, be it competitors, market conditions, external special interests, etc..., on the horizon and he's getting in to battle mode. I hope the "frivilous activities" thing doesn't imply folks can't let off steam. If you are working them 80 hours...
  20. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Now targeting no earlier than 6:16 p.m. EDT Friday, May 17. https://blogs.nasa.gov/commercialcrew/
  21. scaesare

    Mars and Off Planet Colonization - Pros and Cons Discussion

    Well, there are lots of mechanical actions where humans are far superior to robots. This is evidenced by looking at Optimus and the Boston Dynamics rigs... So for standard processes that are planned, (I.e. regular maintenance, etc...), it's likely that robotics could be trained, and the...
  22. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Oh... my bad. Now that you mention it I do remember that naming thing... thanks for the info... But yeah, they still seem the least likely to succeed...
  23. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    And where they went... voluntarily I might add...
  24. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I give them the best chance of the startups... they seem like they really tried to build a compelling and practical vehicle, and are actually getting them on the road... I see them reasonably often now. The trade-secrets thing with Tesla was bad... as otherwise they seemed like they were one of...
  25. scaesare

    Polaris Mission(s) - Commercial Crew prep for Starship

    You make good points about remote/robotic equipment likely being capable for a vast majority of jobs. That's largely how it's done at the bottom of the ocean for many tasks.... That having been said, I suspect there are always going to be times when you may need human intervention if the device...
  26. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Not only do CEO's not have the gumption to do that, their background is finance, MBA, etc... Elon is a nerd. He's an engineer at heart, and a brutally pragmatic one. He does CEO/business stuff because he feels he has to. The result is that he understands what physics dictate CAN be done, doesn't...
  27. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Well, I mean LOX definitely IS cold... I'd chatter too... I believe I read they were going to skip the window today to give extra time to address the issue and target Friday night? On edit: Yup:
  28. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    You are omitting context, and thereby insinuating I'm making a claim I am not. What I said was "not being presented to folks" was in the context of discussing whether it was an unedited single take. What the FSD contract language was revised to say has no bearing as to if they claimed the...
  29. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    What Elon sold the next day was clearly labeled as beta. I.E- "unfinished", "not necessarily working", "work in progress", etc... No?
  30. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My point is that that's not what was being said when presented to folks.
  31. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Saying you are confident of something ≠ lying. 0/1 Forward looking statement based on plans in progress ≠ lying. 0/2 That process exists for where mobile service is possible and available. He didn't say it would be the only option, and anybody who has ever worked on a car knows that some...
  32. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My point is asking where Musk "lied" as per @DarkandStormy, and this is what he gave as evidence thereof . That demo is obviously cut and edited (it jumps from surface streets to freeways, at intersections the cars visible change after cutting to to side cam view, etc...). Elon nor anybody said...
  33. scaesare

    Polaris Mission(s) - Commercial Crew prep for Starship

    More on the spacesuit: https://polarisprogram.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/SPACEX_01_EVA_SuitSpin_Callouts_Detail_16x9_02.mp4-comp-27.webm On edit: and
  34. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It was determined that demo had a route pre-selected and that at that point was tuned to succeed for some specifics along that route. Given what Elon said in the X post you cited was "Longer version of self-driving demo with Paint It Black soundtrack". Where is the lie there? And do you think...
  35. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    When you said "the non Tesla people in my life mock it ceaselessly and my father and brother cancelled their orders", my point was that I don't make my decisions based on what folks who don't care to operate on facts think or say...
  36. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Yeah... for Boeing to pivot that radically, it would likely need to be gutted from the top down... they'd in essence be a new company with the same name...
  37. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    So.... how long before we see Tesla engineered "training harnesses" with cams & sensors on them for the factory workers? Something lightweight and wearable that grabs training data from 1000's of workers rather than a handful of lab trainers?
  38. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Your question implies he has... and assertions require evidence.
  39. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    So, I think we need to distinguish between the NN "framework" itself, and the weights it uses that are generated by training. I consider a written but untrained NN largely complete.
  40. scaesare

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Folks who don't want to be educated on facts and instead prefer tropes despite my attempts to help them understand lose my respect. And my degree of caring is directly proportional to my respect for an individual. It makes life much easier not caring what 97.3% of folks at large think,
  41. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Yup... yup. I guess when I say "rather not play", it's with the idea that it can be done, it just takes somebody who's willing to kill the sacred cow and recognize the old way of doing things may not continue on, and there's a need to re-invent the company to be competitive... after all, other...
  42. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Indeed... in essence: "If we can't have our inefficiency subsidized, we'd rather not play." So, as I am a bit of a documentary wh0re, I'll recommend "The Corporation". (IMDB Link). It explores what has led to some amazingly contemptible choices corporations have made in the name of building...
  43. scaesare

    Wiki Super Heavy/Starship - General Development Discussion

    Not sure I agree it's been solved. While the Shuttle had a reusable heatshield, it was fragile, and required extensive refurbishment between flights. The filght cadence of the shuttle allowed for this (or perhaps was in part because of this). With the plans for Starship reuse, minimal...
  44. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Berger also refers to the change that's gone on at Boeing since the merger with McDonnell Douglas: I recommend "Downfall: The Case Against Boeing" (on Netflix) if interested in some of the issues... although the focus is on the 737Max problems, it speaks to some of the corporate culture change...
  45. scaesare

    Discussion of The Rocket Equation and Different Types of Rocket Propulsion

    Given that it's estimated that every living being on earth has PTFE in its system, that might unfortunately be an effective method...
  46. scaesare

    Discussion of The Rocket Equation and Different Types of Rocket Propulsion

    Well, given that PTFE has turned out to be a not-so-spiffy chemical to have floating around here on earth, maybe obliterating it in outer space is the way to go...
  47. scaesare

    Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

    Yeah, that struck me as "Wow, people?" too... but figured I had just been ignorant of long-standing plans...
  48. scaesare

    NASA Announcement for the Moon

    Looks like you inadvertently used the perlite link from the other post for the article hyperlink... Moderator's note: Thanks. The post now has the proper link attached.