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  1. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Thursday saw a week Nasdaq that just got weaker as the day came to an end, but TSLA outperformed every stock on my stock app by closing up 1.48% while the Nasdaq was down 1.08%. Not bad. One likely cause for the optimism was Tesla preparing to register Full...
  2. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above The biggest number to keep in mind for Wednesday is that percent of TSLA selling tagged to shorts was a super-high 65%. Even though pre-market shorting pressure brought TSLA down to 174, the stock rallied momentarily to 178 before the sledge-o-matic was turned...
  3. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above No need to spend a lot of time on Tuesday's TSLA trading. Last Friday, the stock closed more than $4 above this Friday's maximum pain of 175. You can see the pushdown getting underway by 7am and really accelerating with market open. With Nasdaq performing in...
  4. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above On Friday TSLA closed just $1.74 above max pain and just 76 cents below the 180 call wall. Coincidence? Nope, not a chance when it happens almost every week like this. Percent of selling tagged to shorts was 59%, suggesting that even this 3%+ climb required...
  5. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Elon made it clear that he wants a path to reaching a 25% voting position (or higher) in Tesla before committing to giving Tesla a prime position in developing AGI. He can maintain a control position of X.ai and so that's where the AGI work will be happening in the near term. Nonetheless, Tesla...
  6. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    No, just no. Most TSLA investors can see through the short-term issues that have been affecting TSLA and most can see the long-term remarkable strengths. Short-term, China has been a difficult auto market for everyone, but if you look at Roland Pircher's charts on x.com, you can see that Tesla...
  7. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Folks, Unfortunately due to the prolonged dip in TSLA that is being supported to 58% or higher percentage of selling tagged to shorts for over three weeks, FUDsters are very plentiful on this investing site right now. In case you forgot, FUD stands for: * FEAR * UJNCERTAINTY * DOUBT Those...
  8. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Ready for a wild ride? Consider Thursday's trading. Both TSLA and QQQ were up in pre-market trading, due to the excellent Nvidia ER Wednesday after hours. Of course we saw an immediate Mandatory Morning Dip for TSLA as market trading began because this is the...
  9. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Consider what just happened to TSLA. After hours on Tuesday, TSLA descended from 186.60 to under the big 185 call wall price even though there was no significant news to prompt such a move and the Nasdaq was definitely rising after hours. Then Wednesday...
  10. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Congratulations longs, TSLA gained 6.66% on Tuesday, compared to the Nasdaq's gains of 0.22%. Naturally the mainstream media will go searching for a news story to explain the big climb. Some latched onto the 13,800 Tesla vehicles insured in China during the...
  11. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Long story short: Nasdaq went up, option sellers didn't want TSLA following Nasdaq so they shorted the "sugar" out of TSLA again during Monday's Mandatory Morning Dip, and brought the price down to a nickel below max pain (also a call wall) of 175. Once...
  12. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Congratulations longs, TSLA managed to outperform not only max pain (170) but also the option sellers Friday target of 175 to close at 177.46 on Friday. Since May 17 was the end of the big options expirations for a while, I suspect that the market makers may...
  13. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Percent of TSLA selling tagged to shorts was 69% today, I've never seen it that high. Also, the stock price got away from the big option sellers even with that effort and closed more than $2 above their 175 line in the sand. Bullish! UPDATE: The newest shorting report for TSLA's Friday now says...
  14. Papafox

    Supercharger - Kaneohe, HI - Kaneohe Bayview Golf Course

    How many superchargers are planned for the site?
  15. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Trying to repeat their Wednesday move, option sellers pushed TSLA down as it approached the beginning of market trading and then executed a mandatory morning dip once market trading hours arrived. The pushdown certainly took away some of TSLA's strength for...
  16. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Man oh man, the option sellers aren't varying tactics much. We've now seen several instances where the market is starting to have a strong day and we see a ginormous Mandatory Morning Dip such as we saw Wednesday morning. The purpose of the MMD is to signal to...
  17. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Tuesday was a more positive day for TSLA than you might have imagined. The stock gained 3.29% vs. the Nasdaq's 0.75%. More importantly, Tuesday's have recently been a day for a mandatory morning dip and getting the Monday climb back under control. In the case...
  18. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above No big surprises on Monday. The Monday morning buyer exuberance showed up as usual and TSLA ran to 175. Option sellers then started their price walkdown but couldn't keep TSLA below 172 and thus that's the price we ended up with. I was curious to see just how...
  19. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above On Friday the markets had a strong day that was not participated in by TSLA. Let's see how this scenario shook out. On open, TSLA was up about 0.7% while QQQ was up about half that amount, around 0.35%. Small retail investors who buy during pre-market trading...
  20. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above The market went into bad news is good news mode Thursday morning when the weekly jobless numbers came is higher than expected. Although more unemployment suggests a slower economy ahead, it also suggests that the Fed has even more reason to start cutting rates...
  21. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above TSLA got a kick in the ribs early Wednesday when Reuters put out this stinker of a FUD post claiming that Tesla is under investigation for securities and/or wire fraud for misleading its investors about the abilities of its full self driving product. For this...
  22. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above TSLA got off to a red start on Tuesday as China deliveries in April came in lower than the 1st month in Q2 of 2023. Check out the Roland Pircher post below. With the present mess in China (too many EV companies chasing too few buyers until a bunch of the...
  23. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Good grief, percent of TSLA selling by shorts rose all the way to 62% today. Someone is trying very hard to see the stock price go down. The good news is that the majority of the market is so far giving a big yawn and volume was a mere 75M shares. Notice what appears to be a tail and two ears...
  24. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above As expected, the market makers loosened their choke hold a bit on TSLA on Monday and the stock did indeed run higher. It passed 187 about 10am and then came the all too frequent walkdown of the stock price as a lack of recent news minimized volume (83.9M...
  25. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Not surprisingly, TSLA was trading in the red early pre-market on Friday as the option sellers sought to pull TSLA's close below 180. Alas, a 8:30am the jobs report came out and it was weak according to CNBC, suggesting that the oversupply of jobs is...
  26. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Time for a quiz: Which explanation best describes TSLA's trading on Thursday? 1) TSLA has moved into a very narrow trading range of 179.99 to 180.01. We made it to the top of the trading range today and should be happy. 2) Option sellers shorted the "sugar" out...
  27. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above While the main TMC investor forum was busy postulating and pontificating about the recent supercharger staff layoffs, I thought I'd cover everything else here. The pressure by the option sellers to keep TSLA from running higher this week is still evident, with...
  28. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    In other words, the Delaware judge is not interested in how shareholders vote, even after being made aware of the personal connections that she objected to in the first place. She is bound and determined to "protect" the shareholders from themselves, no matter how they vote and what they think...
  29. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above I hope no one was surprised by Tuesday mandatory morning dip. It's the logical play on a Tuesday when the stock price went bonkers on Monday. Scare away the traders with the dip, and then with the lower volume (only about half of Monday's) tweak TSLA so that...
  30. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    My brother and his wife absolutely adore the Model X they bought just before the end of Q1. They comment on the build quality and how quiet it is.
  31. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above A 15% gain day anyone? Congratulations, longs. With Elon working out a deal in China with Baidu for necessary data to enable full self driving in the country (BBC article), TSLA looked like a good buy and we saw the stock gain 15.31% on a day when the Nasdaq...
  32. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Friday began with TSLA and QQQ both elevated in pre-market, but around 7:30am Reuters released this story which was pretty much a nothingburger about NHTSA taking a look at the FSD nags. The bots picked up on the story, and TSLA fell. It bounced back but then...
  33. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Congrats longs, TSLA had another strong day on Thursday. We gained nearly 5% during market hours and then tacked on an additional 1.75% after hours. In contrast, Nasdaq was down 0.64% during regular trading. The strength of TSLA after hours was influenced by...
  34. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above (note that Nasdaq has changed TSLA chart colors to match the new QQQ color scheme) QQQ chart above On Wednesday morning the pre-market trading of TSLA was somewhat subdued from the Tuesday after-hours close near 164. TSLA traded near 160. After the briefest of Mandatory...
  35. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Congrats, longs, including after hour trading TSLA is up more than 15% on Tuesday. The 1Q24 ER showed somewhat better numbers than expected. Automotive margins declined from 18.9% to a still respectable 18.5% (excluding cybertruck). Download the ER pdf here...
  36. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    As expected, Tesla is buying a sugarload of compute to enable FSD and Optimus. This affects cash flow but is a prudent investment, seeing that the AI race is underway including Tesla and other big players.
  37. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Time-constrained post The price cut news impacted the stock on Monday. TSLA closed down 3.40% vs. the Nasdaq's gain of 1.11%. Looking forward to actually hearing Tesla's plans going forward. The Earnings Report will be Tuesday after market close. Elon has...
  38. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Friday's trading was all about a big macro dip, which is a shame because TSLA's loss of 1.92% managed to outperform Nasdaq's loss of 2.05%. Market makers would likely put in some effort to defend the 150 put wall and up until about 1pm it looked like they...
  39. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Here are two factors that may affect this coming week's ER: the recent announcement by Tesla's board that the board has decided to move Tesla incorporation from Delaware to Texas and Elon's previous 2018 awards being voted on again by shareholders. 1) The Tesla board is making sure that it's...
  40. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above TSLA got off to a bad start on Thursday when Deutsche Bank downgraded TSLA with the assumption that Model 2 might be delayed. Nasdaq closed lower due to continued worries about inflation. This has been a tough week of sledding for both Nasdaq and TSLA. In...
  41. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above The big Tesla news came out well before market open when Tesla's Board of Directors announced their decision to not only move incorporation from Delaware to Texas but also to seek shareholder approval of a compensation package for Elon Musk that is a duplicate...
  42. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Tuesday was a second down day from Tesla's layoff news, but it was a much lighter reaction than Monday. TSLA dipped nearly to 154 during the mandatory morning dip shortly after market open but entered a recovery mode for the remainder of the day. Analyzing...
  43. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Constrained time post Monday got off to a tough beginning with not only an announcement of a 10% reduction in personnel but also the loss the Drew Baglino and Rohan Patel. Initially, during the heavy morning trading, TSLA mostly remained above 165 but when the...
  44. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Let's get the Friday trading out of the way quickly so as to move onto bigger topics. The market began with lots of macro red and that situation got worse as the day progressed. TSLA largely followed the course set by QQQ and Nasdaq. With a put wall at 170 and...
  45. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above On Thursday we saw what looked like some real effort to keep TSLA from climbing out of the market makers' sweet spot. Overnight, the threatening put wall shifted from 170 to 165, which allowed the mandatory morning dip to extend below 170 off and on for over...
  46. Papafox

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    In the daily charts forum, @2Pearls wrote: Would like to give an opposing view of Sasha as not every person on the internet is correct, proceed and caution at your own risk. I have listened to Meet Kevin for the last 3 years, and whether you like or dislike him, I do think he keeps it real and...
  47. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above Both QQQ and TSLA were green until 8:30am when the CPI numbers came in 0.1% higher than expected. Mr. Market was disappointed and the immediate pre-market dip receded slightly as the day went on and Nasdaq closed down 0.84%. Meanwhile, TSLA also dipped at...
  48. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above So, FSD/robotaxi fever is still alive and well with TSLA investors as TSLA gained 2.25% on Tuesday, compared to Nasdaq's gain of 0.32%. We saw one of the recurring themes this morning when TSLA performed a half-hearted mandatory morning dip shortly after...
  49. Papafox

    Papafox's Daily TSLA Trading Charts

    TSLA chart above QQQ chart above With the exception of some pre-market and mid morning exuberance, QQQ stayed pretty level for most the day. In contrast, TSLA managed to climb above 174 in late morning trading and then spent much of the rest of the day near 173. My guess is that some capping...