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I'd like to see how many trucks Tesla can out on the road prior to 2019. Then from the very start of 2019, I'd like to see production rates of at least 1000/week.
There is no way Tesla is building 1,000 week. You're talking about 10X the batteries and 4x the number of motors, that alone will create a bottleneck with M3 ramp up. Not to mention that Class 8 truck sales are usually less than 300,000 units a year. That's ALL class 8 trucks to include dump trucks, garbage trucks, straight trucks, box trucks. And that's all of North America; US, Mexico, and Canada. No way is Tesla taking 20-30% of the US truck market anytime soon, let alone in 2019.
Tesla is going to learn real quick what happens when they can't del
Now, be careful with these projections of market share.
There is this company that almost stole whole premium sport sedan market.
Why would you buy a new diesel truck in 2019 if you can get an electric one in 2020?
Diesel truck market will shrink if electric semi looks promising enough.
And what company nearly stole that sport sedan market? Tesla didn't even come close in the sport sedan market or the luxury market in general. BMW sold 2million cars last year alone. Tesla sells one car BMW or anyone else sells multiple cars. if you want a Tesla you get the biggest car on the market if you want a BMW you have two dozen choices.
Tesla also isn't the only electric semi on the market.
People would by a new truck in 2019 because they need a new truck.