I am not a ageist.It takes old people a long time to die off, LOL.
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I am not a ageist.It takes old people a long time to die off, LOL.
I was thinking to this matter and I realized that I have been deceived by the English. The author of the graph should have written "coal power plants added and retired" rather than "coal power added and retired" IMO. For you who are English mother tongue it was obvious, but for me English is second language. That's why I misunderstood and I thought it was consumption rather than plants.
In fact I realized that I was wrong only when I saw the sentence written in small letters at the bottom of the graph.
Primary energy (PE) is the energy found in nature that has not been subjected to any human engineered conversion process. It encompasses energy contained in raw fuels and other forms of energy, including waste, received as input to a system. Primary energy can be non-renewable or renewable.
I made a mistake and I took the Capability for real Coal Consumption but from a substantial point of view China is still building Coal Plants and by 2030 Coal will be 50% of China Primary Energy.
That's main thing IMO.
Primary energy (PE) is the energy found in nature that has not been subjected to any human engineered conversion process. It encompasses energy contained in raw fuels and other forms of energy, including waste, received as input to a system. Primary energy can be non-renewable or renewable.
In the case of China Coal of course is non-renewable.
China is a big problem. The US is a big problem. It is not one or the other. India is the next elephant of course....
From the above mentioned article:
Unfortunately international development agencies keep funding coal rather than renewables.From the above mentioned article:
PARIS, Dec 15 (Reuters) - Global coal use is expected to reach a record high in 2023 as demand in emerging and developing economies remains strong, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a report on Friday.
Demand for coal is seen rising 1.4% in 2023, surpassing 8.5 billion metric tons for the first time as usage in India is expected to grow 8% and that in China is seen up 5% due to rising electricity demand and weak hydropower output, the IEA said.
In the European Union and United States, however, coal use is set to drop by around 20% each in 2023, the report said.
Coal use is not expected to decline until 2026, when the major expansion of renewable capacity in the next three years should help lower usage by 2.3% compared to 2023 levels, even with the absence or stronger clean energy policies.
However, global consumption is forecast to remain well over 8 billion metric tons in 2026, the report said. TO REACH GOALS SET BY THE PARIS AGREEMENT, THE USE OF UNABATED COAL WOULD NEED TO FALL SIGNIFICANTLY FASTER, IT ADDED.
You write - "how much progress China has made in reducing their fossil fuel consumption these past decades" - this is patently false. And are we supposed to think coal going from 80% to 60% over 17 years as a percentage of electricity generation is acceptable progress?
China hit an all time high of 17 Mbd this year. This is up from 4 in 1998. Coal consumption for electricity generation went from 1 TWh in 2000 to over 5 TWh in 2022. This is not reducing fossil fuel consumption. It is roughly a 5X in fossil fuels over 20 years. NG consumption is relatively small but about 20X in that time period.
This is not a 100 year timeline - this is a 20. You can use any timeline you want and it will show the same thing. This is not "reducing".
Going from 80 to 60% coal in electricity generation over 17 years is great but about 1/2 of that was on the back of hydro which isn't scalable. It means at same trend line, coal is gone in 51 years. And, again, hydro doesn't scale.
In the same time period, coal consumption has gone down 60% net in the US. Using the same % figures, the US went from 49% to 16% of electricity over the last 17 years. Sure, on the back of NG, but still.
None of this means the US is doing great or there is no reason to do anything because we can't change China. But China is a big part of the problem. Just because fossil interests use China as an excuse to obfuscate and distract, doesn't mean China is doing great.
Since when does being rural mean you need to use coal for cooking? China has been at (or near depending on source) 100% household electricity for a decade. And China can change the way they make steel, right? And that coal consumption does not show up in the 5X growth in electricity generation by coal in the last 20 years.
China is a big problem. The US is a big problem. It is not one or the other. India is the next elephant of course....