My guesses...
0-60mph
SR RWD 5.6 seconds ($35,000)
LR RWD 5.1 seconds ($44,000)
LR AWD 4.9 second ($49,000)
LR AWD Performance 3.9 seconds ($59,000)
LR AWD Performance with Ludicrous Upgrade 2.9 seconds ($69,000)
Love this thread
I am in agreement with commasign's price guesswork - the least-expensive barebones AWD Performance Model 3 would be $59,000
before forced bundled options like wheels, brakes or leather seats etc. The 0-60 times are something else. Our basic problem as idle posters in this thread is that
we are not sure of Tesla's intentions.
1) We know that Elon loves first principles, and this would dictate that they absolutely pack in the best technology that they know about - fuses, inconel, etc. etc. and we could very well see 2.9 seconds if Tesla wants to do that. This would also give them superiority over more cars - i.e. all BMWs LOL and most other brands - with the Model 3. Also would create the biggest possible splashes in the traditional and social media, which we know Elon loves. Continues to push his "electric is better than anything" message.
2) However as we saw with the Model S, 0-60 times shrink over time. First it was 4.2 seconds, then 3.2 with the "D," then 2.8 with Ludicrous mode, then 2.5 with Ludicrous Plus. (those are manufacturers' times, sometimes beaten during independent tests) It is possible that Tesla's AWD Performance Model 3 released this weekend will be its
first version and will be bettered as time goes by. This would be in order to keep the competition chasing a moving target. Also to allow price increases. $59,000 for the initial AWD-P, another $5,000 for some super-option on top of that, and yet another $10,000 option for the super-low-volume boutique drag race oddity, for $74,000 before options. (don't forget the base price of the S is $75,000 and the P100D is $135,000)
In terms of what the time is, the first AWD-P will undoubtedly beat the original S-P85 and and the current S100D. THe question is, where will it fall in relation to the 2014 P85D? This was Tesla's first implementation of dual-motor AWD for speed, and it shaved an entire second off the 0-60 time 3.2 seconds, same as McLaren F1. I'm comfortable believing that the Model 3 will do 3.2 seconds, and I voted for the 3.1-3.3 choice. Any lower than that... is up to Elon's technology push-versus-slow roll of the acceleration. I would also not feel bad if the Model 3 AWD-P time was 3.5 seconds. Because as we can be certain of, this is the first iteration out of the gate... Tesla are like a cat playing with a mouse. When they truly sink their teeth in, the 0-60 time could be less than 3 seconds.
I would go with Model 3 LR AWD doing 0-60 in 4.5 or maybe even lower, near to the original S-P85 time of 4.2. The range of that car will be the astonishing number... and could get within 4% of the current S-100D. As I said in another thread, this development may cause a new release in the Model S with more range.
Last thing... Tesla may force extra options to be bundled, leading to higher ASP. Or... simply elect to build the fully-loaded cars first. This is what they did on Model S and Model X before. No-one should be surprised if this happens. It may be more difficult than you think to order a stripped Model 3 AWD P.