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That would be me! This was proposed by the states, its not a law yet and to be honest I think it will take a long time until this is passed, if it will ever pass. German car lobby is too strong right now, but I think at some point even they will be in favor of this. Any carmaker who isn't serious about EVs by now will wake up in the next two years.Could a German English speaker please clarify? Has Germany passed a law banning the sales of new ICE vehicles in 2030, or is it just being proposed, or something else?
Could a German English speaker please clarify? Has Germany passed a law banning the sales of new ICE vehicles in 2030, or is it just being proposed, or something else?
Tesla's monopoly on luxury EVs will extend for another 3-4yrs, then they will face an onslaught of EVs from company's with lots of engineering and manufacturing capability. Companies who don't have to figure out how to make 200,000 cars a year, build a media player or implement blind spot detection and alerts. This is not unlike other major industry transitions and history tells us that the first movers in those transitions were trampled by the mainstream and forgotten soon after.
Apple was not the first personal computer (think Osborne, Sol, TI and many others) and proves the case in that they have never dominated the market for PCs and still have less than 10% WW share.You hardly ever hear about the early innovators like Apple anymore.
You hardly ever hear about the early innovators like Apple anymore.
Absolutely correct, just the first with a viable business, just like VisiCorp, Lotus, Sun Microsystems, Motorola, etc.Tesla was not the first electric car.
Absolutely correct, just the first with a viable business, just like VisiCorp, Lotus, Sun Microsystems, Motorola, etc.
I'm only suggesting that the German legislature (and several other European countries) have made it clear that Tesla's monopoly will be gone in 3-4yrs and it's very unprofessional management organization will find themselves competing with corporations that don't struggle to figure out how to make 200,000 cars a year, have functional navigation and media players, and have strong brands. In the face of such competition Tesla will wither.
Nobody, including Tesla, has any really unique proprietary technology in their cars. ICE vendors will claim they swirl the fuel/air mixture better than the next guy, but the reality is that none of them have a technology advantage which gives them a market advantage.
Tesla's only proprietary strategic advantage today is oddly not in the car, but is the supercharger network. An L3 charging network is difficult to replicate (the time, money and jumping through bureaucratic hoops, not the technology) and critical to the success of any car that wants to claim it is a long distance EV. Whether GM, BMW, MB, Lexus et al will wake up to that (and they need to do it very soon), will determine whether or not Tesla gets crushed in 2021, or 2026.